“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco

[Torch Tiger]

yeah, must be some concerns with the nam looking like that.  yikes.  it's like 6-8 hours of snow to mix/rain S coast

[WeatherGeek2025]

reggie looks great if we can get the real outcome 25 miles south of Reggie's solution, everyone in ny and this forum would be golden

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

The Canadian models are the least impressive.

Reggie is like less than 1” qpf, which isn’t great 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Icon continues to be a massive event here. Looks like it ticked back up from 12z

~1.5” qpf for most of eastern ma 

[ORH_wxman]

16 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

This has the look of a hellacious 12hr window of dumpage followed by potentially a few hours of sleet before slotted. Then the wraparound moisture on Monday pivots through.

Still pretty skeptical on real sleet getting north of the south coast….not talking about dryslot pellets/snow grains that ends up irrelevant to the snow totals. But actual legit pounding sleet. 

But we’ll see if we get a bump north between now and go time…if so, then maybe real sleet sneaks into places like PYM over to EWB and maybe even TAN-GHG. 

[WeatherGeek2025]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Still pretty skeptical on real sleet getting north of the south coast….not talking about dryslot pellets/snow grains that ends up irrelevant to the snow totals. But actual legit pounding sleet. 

But we’ll see if we get a bump north between now and go time…if so, then maybe real sleet sneaks into places like PYM over to EWB and maybe even TAN-GHG. 

your honest opinion, do i sleet in White Plainsv

[MaineJayhawk]

7 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

yeah, must be some concerns with the nam looking like that.  yikes.  it's like 6-8 hours of snow to mix/rain S coast

 

[weatherwiz]

Wasn't entirely sure I'd get to do into enough detail to make a forecast but alas I did. 

I originally had the whole area of 12-18" but wanted to highlight that potential for some higher amounts in northeast Mass...I think that signal could be very real. Didn't want to go crazy and throw out 18-24" contour so just bumped 12-18 to 10-15 to add a 15-20 area. This is what winter is all about!!!!!!  LFG!!!!!!! Massive snowstorm and a Pats trip to the super bowl incoming. Someone pinch me I'm dreaming 

https://weatherwiz.blogspot.com/2026/01/significant-snowstorm-to-impact.html

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, MaineJayhawk said:

 

I feel like AI has opened up a new playbook for you. We will remember the photoshop days fondly though. 

[Baroclinic Zone]

6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Still pretty skeptical on real sleet getting north of the south coast….not talking about dryslot pellets/snow grains that ends up irrelevant to the snow totals. But actual legit pounding sleet. 

But we’ll see if we get a bump north between now and go time…if so, then maybe real sleet sneaks into places like PYM over to EWB and maybe even TAN-GHG. 

Thats what my gut says as well.

[bristolri_wx]

For those who don't mind weather governance.

[ORH_wxman]

4 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

your honest opinion, do i sleet in White Plainsv

Yes. But you will get smoked before it mixes. 

[CoastalWx]

GFS a little flatter

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, bristolri_wx said:

For those who don't mind weather governance.

Not subtle anymore 

[ORH_wxman]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

GFS a little flatter

Skynet GFS was a tick flatter as well. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Dendy will be shook again 

[bristolri_wx]

5 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Wasn't entirely sure I'd get to do into enough detail to make a forecast but alas I did. 

I originally had the whole area of 12-18" but wanted to highlight that potential for some higher amounts in northeast Mass...I think that signal could be very real. Didn't want to go crazy and throw out 18-24" contour so just bumped 12-18 to 10-15 to add a 15-20 area. This is what winter is all about!!!!!!  LFG!!!!!!! Massive snowstorm and a Pats trip to the super bowl incoming. Someone pinch me I'm dreaming 

https://weatherwiz.blogspot.com/2026/01/significant-snowstorm-to-impact.html

This is a good map.  Sums it up.  Even if there's sleet along the southern areas, it mostly falls after the bulk of the heavy stuff falls.  I think the NAM turns down the volume in subsequent runs...

[Kitz Craver]

4 minutes ago, MaineJayhawk said:

 

This is exactly what I envision. When we are high-fiving for dendrites, TT goes back into the woodshed and stirs the cauldron of magma… LOL

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, bristolri_wx said:

This is a good map.  Sums it up.  Even if there's sleet along the southern areas, it mostly falls after the bulk of the heavy stuff falls.  I think the NAM turns down the volume in subsequent runs...

Yeah I don't see sleet reducing totals anywhere. The bulk of everything already occurs. Its not a big deal

[Baroclinic Zone]

I’d say gfs was not too far from its 12z run. At least consistent. We buying in.

[CoastalWx]

Can't tell if it's a G-wave or maybe the CF?? But something comes flying in from PA late Sunday night. Weird looking. Can see it at H7 too.

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Dendy will be shook again 

Not my storm. No f’s given

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

We take gravity rips…

[Torch Tiger]

close

[weathafella]

7 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

For those who don't mind weather governance.

That ends 7am Monday which could be several inches low.

[Baroclinic Zone]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Can't tell if it's a G-wave or maybe the CF?? But something comes flying in from PA late Sunday night. Weird looking. Can see it at H7 too.

This?

00z Monday 700mb vorticity

[Baroclinic Zone]

Goofus still quite juicy. 1.5” just south of Scott.

[Massplow]

Channel 7 gave the south coast a haircut 

[dryslot]

1 hour ago, WxWatcher007 said:

People were just high fiving and going belly to belly six hours ago over the NAM and now this? How about waiting until it shows a solution in consecutive runs before making a judgement? 

It went from the mantle to the garbage can, Some get shook pretty easy.

[Masswx]

I don’t like these trends