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Extreme Cold, Snow & Sleet: SECS 1/24 - 1/26


TriPol
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1 minute ago, nycsnow said:

RAP which brings the sleet line into nyc Long Island quicker is still another 5-7 inches 

16z hrr rolling and it’s still showing snow along the south shore at 23z

I'm not buying that with how fast it's advancing, I think pings start in Staten Island and the Rockaways in an hour or so but question is does it charge right in or hit snags/retreat for a time. 

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FWIW, HRRR hr 1 (12 PM) is too far south with the sleet line, as it appears to be approaching southern Mercer/Middlesex in NJ (based on CC and mPING). Around 7" so far here, so might be able to pull off low-end double digits with sleet included. But also suspect there will be some compaction with the sleet on top. 

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10 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

 

Heavy rates counter acting the sleet progression here in Monroe, CNJ

 

What's your mix? Some snow, some sleet? Oddly, there's little signal on KDIX base reflectivity (or the other tilts), but KDOX shows it well. 

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1 minute ago, mgerb said:

What's your mix? Some snow, some sleet? Oddly, there's little signal on KDIX base reflectivity, but KDOX shows it well. 

Yea that’s what I wanna know, I see some reports are it’s mostly snow in places with couple of pellets mixed in so I assume you’ll still accumulate well 

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1 minute ago, the_other_guy said:

1. Never discount the HRRR.

2. You guys have been searching for sleet to ruin a snowstorm since Thursday.

Meanwhile closing in on 7 inches…and 12F

 

But the nam nailed a warm wedge back in 1981 so it had to be right 

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Just now, SACRUS said:

Trying to squeeze as much of the anticipated 1.4 LE as snow - up to 0.46 now.

When I checked at 12, I had 0.64" (based on weight). Definitely a tough event to get an accurate SWE. 

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4 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

1. Never discount the HRRR.

2. You guys have been searching for sleet to ruin a snowstorm since Thursday.

Meanwhile closing in on 7 inches…

 

You've been discounting the sleet since this all started and guess what, it's going to sleet.  I think there's only one poster who said this wouldn't be a significant storm for NYC.  Great storm for all and an even better storm inland and up in New England. 

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