stormtracker Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago Atari graphics say 12-15* 3 1 1 2 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 8 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Still stuck. Still looks just a tad flatter out in front, i can't say whether it's going to change much....still a shit ton of moisture gathering is that a technical term? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Here it comes 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, aldie 22 said: so roughly about 9 hours? that's just the heavy parts. not total storm duration Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Maps coming out now, I'll defer to our friends that like to post them, its a FOLKS. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, psuhoffman said: is that a technical term? Yes, it's a unit larger than a metric ton 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Honestly, the fact that the Euro AI is holding FIRM and has been for the past 2 days has me feeling very good about our chances. It’s been lights out inside D5. Other models show a variation of 6-12+ with the chance of some sleet at the end. Can’t be mad about where we are right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 8 3 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Total precip 8 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Total precip Smoked 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Hit us with the 10:1 and Kuchie maps NorthArlington 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Folks for sure 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathercoins Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago EURO looks great? Not THAT much leeway for DC/south but that’s what we’d expect… would take this no questions asked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Dc mixes at the very end but gets smoked before any of it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 hour ago, stormtracker said: Late ECMWF DataSubscribe Investigating - We currently see no 12z data queued or being disseminated from ECMWF. We will process data as soon as they provide it.Jan 21, 2026 - 12:29 EST I know I’m a griper but are the models breaking down because paying customers are trying to use them? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, weathercoins said: EURO looks great? Not THAT much leeway for DC/south but that’s what we’d expect… would take this no questions asked It's the trade off for dealing with increasing qpf, 1.2-1.5" QPF is a prolific storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago @NorthArlington101 Come see me in my office when you're done. 1 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: Wow I can't believe PHL mixes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Why is there very little sleet on the Euro- just really snow and freezing rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, jayyy said: Hit us with the 10:1 and Kuchie maps NorthArlington They take their sweet time. You'll see them about 5s after I do. WxBell still at 68 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umdterps29 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: That is a VERY fast switch over to sleet/ice for east of 95. Not much time to thump before that. This is going to be depressing to watch the NW posters get slammed while I wind up with 4 inches and a boatload of sleet 1 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago I like the 2 mile area of sleet between the snow and the freezing rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, WEATHER53 said: I know I’m a griper but are the models breaking down because paying customers are trying to them? Good question. I mean, it's across all vendors so I don't think it's a specific company. I still don't fully understand the whole dissemination process tho Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Dc mixes at the very end but gets smoked before any of it. Pretty strong trend in the last 24 hours actually. Remember when 24 hours ago the GFS had no snow, was too far south? I think we still have some time to move this thing around a little. It's hard to believe the low pressure will cut much further with strong High pressure to the north though. This LP north is actually creating some stronger wind gradient in the snow zone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
annapolismike Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago I grew up in NW Jersey. All the big storms for the most part seemed to end with a period of sleet and ice. God's way of locking in the snow for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, Amped said: I like the 2 mile area of sleet between the snow and the freezing rain. A lot of that ZR is likely sleet, only 700mb in some of those areas is above 0C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: Atari graphics say 12-15* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, umdterps29 said: That is a VERY fast switch over to sleet/ice for east of 95. Not much time to thump before that. This is going to be depressing to watch the NW posters get slammed while I wind up with 4 inches and a boatload of sleet I actually think most of the damage is done by this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, bncho said: A lot of that ZR is likely sleet, only 700mb in some of those areas is above 0C whats the surface temp? if i may ask Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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