LP08 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Damn…it’s all the way in west Va lol edit. Pittsburgh 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Map please. Pivotal is broken. Lol It's like 12-18", and this ain't even Kuchie.. 2 2 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 This is far from over. I feel many forget that we still have couple days till a final solution. No reason to think a failure still isn't on the table given the last few years. Can’t go against the trend unless proven otherwise. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 7 minutes ago, IUsedToHateCold said: The cliff jumping in here over the CMC is ridiculous. Icon and GFS already smoked us. The King will probably do the same (and yeah, I will always bend the knee for the Euro) Not cliff jumping, just stating facts. You start pushing lows into WV then 80% or more of this forum is waving bye-bye to large snow numbers and hello to 2,3,4 inches of front end then 1-2 inches of sleet or quarter inch of freezing rain, then MAYBE a switch back to snow and another 3-5 inches. Again, only a couple models showing this but a bad, bad trend is starting to rear up. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Damn…it’s all the way in west Va lol edit. PittsburghYeah, I don’t care too much what it showed verbatim. Trend tonight is dangerous and needs to stop. Like ASAP. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, wxdude64 said: Not cliff jumping, just stating facts. You start pushing lows into WV then 80% or more of this forum is waving bye-bye to large snow numbers and hello to 2,3,4 inches of front end then 1-2 inches of sleet or quarter inch of freezing rain, then MAYBE a stitch back to snow and another 3-5 inches. Again, only a couple models showing this but a bad, bad trend is starting to rear up. The north trend started way to early. 1 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, wxdude64 said: Not cliff jumping, just stating facts. You start pushing lows into WV then 80% or more of this forum is waving bye-bye to large snow numbers and hello to 2,3,4 inches of front end then 1-2 inches of sleet or quarter inch of freezing rain, then MAYBE a stitch back to snow and another 3-5 inches. Again, only a couple models showing this but a bad, bad trend is starting to rear up. Once they start cutting, it's hard to bring 'em back is my rule of thumb. Trend so far hasn't been great tonight. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 I’ll be returning my snow boots I just bought and buying an umbrella if this doesn’t stop. It’s comical how quickly these things can change. Hopefully, euro holds steady and gives us more breathing room. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Yeah, I don’t care too much what it showed verbatim. Trend tonight is dangerous and needs to stop. Like ASAP. Bruh I swear if this thing trends all rhe way to being pure sleet and ice... You gotta wonder if the models got new data this evening because these aren't just ticks north but a big jump. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: Yeah, I don’t care too much what it showed verbatim. Trend tonight is dangerous and needs to stop. Like ASAP. I’ve lived here way too long. Even through the clown maps say over a foot. That is a front ender of 3-6 to sleet. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, ravensrule said: I think @SnowenOutThereis unfortunately losing his mind tonight. I think I've just been saying what the models have been showing. We still have 4 days to go and the Ukmet gets quite close to a really concerning solution where we get into a dryslot if the models shift as far north as they have today over the next four days. This isn't a chance I want to be taking. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, LP08 said: I’ve lived here way too long. Even through the clown maps say over a foot. That is a front ender of 3-6 to sleet. It actually says 15-18”. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Remember how cold it was modeled not long ago? Ukmet gets above 32 in dc Sunday when the forecast is like 19. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Fun fact. Literally only two maps showed any real mixing in our sub. And they were the UK and the fuckin canadian. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, Nomz said: Fun fact. Literally only two maps showed any real mixing in our sub. And they were the UK and the fuckin canadian. Be careful the euro was heading that way at 18z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxMan1 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Like the CMC, Ukie begins to change to sleet around midday over DCA, but not much precip after that. Almost like ending as a period of sleet that lightens up quickly by mid/late afternoon. Still a nice front end THUMP before that. Considering how intense that front end WAA snow is...I'll take it. Notice the low in WV by 18Z Sun. Yeah, not the kind of Miller B you want, but again, this would be one hell of an acceptable front-end thump. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 50 minutes ago, baltosquid said: Verbatim, the radar panels you'd get out of that at game time would become profile pics all over this forum. Epic sig material Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, SnowenOutThere said: I think I've just been saying what the models have been showing. We still have 4 days to go and the Ukmet gets quite close to a really concerning solution where we get into a dryslot if the models shift as far north as they have today over the next four days. This isn't a chance I want to be taking. I definitely agree with you, but I don’t understand why you assume it’s going to keep happening. It is slightly concerning because it’s the Ukie which i believe has the second best verification numbers, let’s see what the Euro says in 45 minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, LP08 said: I’ve lived here way too long. Even through the clown maps say over a foot. That is a front ender of 3-6 to sleet. I'll wait for the next two runs of models to see if this was a 'blip', but yeah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 We are quickly turning to putting our eggs back into the GFS basket though 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MDsnowPRO Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, Nomz said: Fun fact. Literally only two maps showed any real mixing in our sub. And they were the UK and the fuckin canadian. The reactive emotional roller coaster some weenies ride is completely nauseating 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 21 Author Share Posted January 21 1 minute ago, MDsnowPRO said: The reactive emotional roller coaster some weenies ride is completely nauseating Unfortunately, routine here. Gonna wait for the Euro to see if this jump/trend is real 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 3 minutes ago, ravensrule said: I definitely agree with you, but I don’t understand why you assume it’s going to keep happening. It is slightly concerning because it’s the Ukie which i believe has the second best verification numbers, let’s see what the Euro says in 45 minutes. It was a really big jump. I mean...we legit don't know if that's the northern extent or not--it's just Tuesday night. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Happy to see an intense moisture bomb. Tired of the dusting or 1 inch every 6 hours with marginal temps. Bring an intense storm, and if you get some wintry mix enjoy it. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AGardiner87 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Y’all cliff jump more than the SE thread it’s ridiculous! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jewell2188 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 3 minutes ago, MDsnowPRO said: The reactive emotional roller coaster some weenies ride is completely nauseating I mean you can’t go against the theme and trend the past 10 years 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathervswife Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just a reminder. On Pivotal, the UKIE snow map counts ice as snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 the WAA is so insane that this is really hard to fuck up for MD/DC. the UKMET drives the low to Buffalo and you still get 12" of snow 6 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 Just now, Maestrobjwa said: It was a really big jump. I mean...we legit don't know if that's the northern extent or not--it's just Tuesday. Agreed, what’s to say it doesn’t jump back the other way tomorrow. At 12Z you thought the storm was gone if you saw the GFS, look where it is now. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 21 Share Posted January 21 2 minutes ago, WxMan1 said: Like the CMC, Ukie begins to change to sleet around midday over DCA, but not much precip after that. Almost like ending as a period of sleet that lightens up quickly by mid/late afternoon. Still a nice front end THUMP before that. Considering how intense that front end WAA snow is...I'll take it. Notice the low in WV by 18Z Sun. Yeah, not the kind of Miller B you want, but again, this would be one hell of an acceptable front-end thump. Verbatim its much better than a supressed weak sauce run. The trend is concerning however. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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