DDweatherman Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 It helped a ton that it snowed for long duration and the phasing got DC/Balt into the goods there after h129. Wide precip field. Through 129 there wasn’t that great of totals Qpf wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20 Author Share Posted January 20 @NorthArlington101 you know what time it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Well got a general idea but will be nice to see when the pretty non 1967 maps come out shortly. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 The euro has been insistent on the “part 2” picking up the slack on its runs. Later hours allows the low to creep north and the n/s element keeps the snow guns on for quite a while. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: @NorthArlington101 you know what time it is I’ll be able to get total QPF shortly but think it’s about 9” 10:1 for DCA. Please hold Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, DDweatherman said: It helped a ton that it snowed for long duration and the phasing got DC/Balt into the goods there after h129. Wide precip field. Through 129 there wasn’t that great of totals Qpf wise. gonna be a long week. still kinda way out there...not waaayyyy out there but enough out there in time to make our underwear feel scratchy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1" QPF all the way to DC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 DC pushing 10” 10:1 at 138 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, BristowWx said: gonna be a long week. still kinda way out there...not waaayyyy out there but enough out there in time to make our underwear feel scratchy I gotta see the maps. I thought h5 looked pretty good that run but qpf seemed kinda paltry on Randy’s maps for the phasing being “clean” coming east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, BristowWx said: gonna be a long week. still kinda way out there...not waaayyyy out there but enough out there in time to make our underwear feel scratchy Yeah it will, the good thing is even in a less phasey solution we're most likely gonna snow. Very likely we get at least a moderate hit. The extra coastal stuff will take more time to be resolved. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: I’ll be able to get total QPF shortly but think it’s about 9” 10:1 for DCA. Please hold 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, DDweatherman said: The euro has been insistent on the “part 2” picking up the slack on its runs. Later hours allows the low to creep north and the n/s element keeps the snow guns on for quite a while. Part 2 will have terrific ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T. August Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 My favorite thing about this run is we got the start time under 5 days 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, NorthArlington101 said: 0z comparison? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 definitely a step back from 6z with the phasing 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: Part 2 will have terrific ratios. I'd rather have 8 inches over 24 hours than 24 inches over 8 hours..personal preference to watch snow fall I guess. bet the final solution no where near final. 4 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: 0z comparison? 0Z had around .97 QPF in the city, so a very slight step back but mostly just noise 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 minute ago, Ji said: definitely a step back from 6z with the phasing Close enough at this range though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 12z Euro holds Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Nothing wrong with this run at all. It's 8-12+ for everyone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winter Wizard Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Definitely good to see a more meridional height field. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 3 minutes ago, Ji said: definitely a step back from 6z with the phasing This is 6z same time. That trough in Canada is further south this run and looks a bit stronger. That could be messing up the full phase for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 20 Author Share Posted January 20 I'm good my 6 to 10 goal is still in range. What's next? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StormyClearweather Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Close enough at this range though. It seems to me a slight trend toward holding back that energy on most of the guidance (GFS obviously being the worst and most extreme offender), a trend we obviously need to stop. What's the cause of that? Is it the stronger high to the north or something else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 14 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alfoman Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 3 minutes ago, Ji said: definitely a step back from 6z with the phasing Actually think that is the fault of our NS SW as it digs deeper over the Midwest but moves a bit faster than 6Z did which led to a messier downstream phase Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, stormtracker said: I'm good my 6 to 10 goal is still in range. What's next? Euro snow maps? Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, bncho said: I mean...that is indeed a hold! Just gotta stay level-headed (good luck with that, lol). 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Definitely like seeing no sharp cutoff. Good snows make well north of us. 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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