Storm potential January 17th-18th

[LoboLeader1]

3 minutes ago, BobbyHolikWillFindYou said:

Smidge under 3 inches on Clifton/Passaic border.

Just got the WWA for tomorrow 7am to 7pm. I thought it was starting at 4am?

WWA posted here as well.....

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM TO 8 PM EST SUNDAY

Snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 2 and 4 inches.

[Jt17]

I wouldnt bet against the HRRR. It pegged this band today

Sure seems to like it actually. Second wave is main event


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[EastonSN+]

Take an inch off the 10 to 1 for today below.

[EastonSN+]

Kutchera more realistic given temps. Take off half inch for today.

[LoboLeader1]

Snow has ended here,  just under 2 inches OTG. Currently 30F.

[Jt17]

Kutchera more realistic given temps. Take off half inch for today.

3-4 inches tomorrow. 1-2 inches today. Pretty solid 36 hours for NYC if tomorrow pans out.


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[MANDA]

Final total here 3.4".  

Exceeded my expectations.  Was thinking 1.5" for an upper limit as of yesterday afternoon.  Truly exceeded expectations in and around NYC.

We'll add more tomorrow and whatever is on the ground at the end of the day tomorrow will stick around for a while with upcoming Arctic surge.

Going to look and feel wintry around here for a while.  So much for the January pause.  

[Winterweatherlover]

2 minutes ago, Jt17 said:

Sure seems to like it actually. Second wave is main event


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Yea my bad I missed the second wave.

[WeatherGeek2025]

13 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said:

Not sure how useful at this range but HRRR not too interested in tomorrow, not even too far east but just dry. 

 

[EastonSN+]

1 minute ago, Jt17 said:

3-4 inches tomorrow. 1-2 inches today. Pretty solid 36 hours for NYC if tomorrow pans out.


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I just wonder if we will get an actual CPK measurement.

[SnowGoose69]

Don’t underrate the impact this accumulation may have on tomorrow.  At least in areas that got snow today.  It could definitely keep things 1-2 degrees cooler overnight which can be a factor tomorrow in a setup like this 

[Winterweatherlover]

Just now, SnowGoose69 said:

Don’t underrate the impact this accumulation may have on tomorrow.  At least in areas that got snow today.  It could definitely keep things 1-2 degrees cooler overnight which can be a factor tomorrow in a setup like this 

if a band forms somewhere from northern NJ/LHV/into interior CT could pick up 6 inches tomorrow on top of what fell today. The models often miss a band on the NW edge of the main snow. 

[EastonSN+]

2.1 inches Easton CT.

[EastonSN+]

FWIW the RAP looked like it was doing the two wave thing for tomorrow too.

[BoulderWX]

4.1” today with a WWA for 2-4 tomorrow. Very nice 

[SnoSki14]

17 minutes ago, the_other_guy said:

I wouldnt bet against the HRRR. It pegged this band today

It's still useless beyond 12hrs and it was too far west with the heavier stuff. 

[lee59]

Snow ending here maybe a half inch.

[Krs4Lfe]

12 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

I just wonder if we will get an actual CPK measurement.

Might be up to 1" at the next update, had 0.5" at 1 pm and the rates from 1-1:30 were quite heavy. Finished with around 1.5" here in Bayside. Around 11.5" for the season

[NorthShoreWx]

1 hour ago, NorthShoreWx said:

It's projectile vomiting snow.  Temp 35⁰

New snow accumulation since last report - T

Snow depth - 0.0"

Snow getting lighter.  Down to a dry heave.  33⁰

New snow accumulation since last report - 0.3"

Snow depth - T

[mob1]

An inch here and 12.8" for the season. Nice pleasant surprise, I wasn't expecting anything. 

[WeatherGeek2025]

ai models for the win?

[Stormlover74]

Snow on snow. Its been a while

[Winterweatherlover]

NAM looks west maybe too far west for the coast but probably overamped.

[cleetussnow]

44 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Wow  15 feet

You got me

[weathermedic]

.75 inches of snow here at my station

[Stormlover74]

2 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said:

NAM looks west maybe too far west for the coast but probably overamped.

Yeah its warm

[Krs4Lfe]

3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Yeah its warm

Warm and not as much snow as before. Both HRR and NAM were further south and east this run as opposed to last run. Also, with the storm slightly weaker, there's less dynamic cooling

[ForestHillWx]

Just finished shoveling the driveway and walkways; easily 4” here. 

Who knows about tomorrow out this way, but mission accomplished in getting the kids outside. 

[Winterweatherlover]

3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Yeah its warm

Also has two waves

[EastonSN+]

14 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said:

Might be up to 1" at the next update, had 0.5" at 1 pm and the rates from 1-1:30 were quite heavy. Finished with around 1.5" here in Bayside. Around 11.5" for the season

I just hope they don't wait till half melts