January Banter 2026

[SnowenOutThere]

1 minute ago, Nomz said:

Yeah. College though, not high school.

Hey, what college do you go to and what are you studying! I'm a student at UVA planning to major env sci and politics. Good to have another college kid on here.

[mappy]

4 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Hey, what college do you go to and what are you studying! I'm a student at UVA planning to major env sci and politics. Good to have another college kid on here.

Thank you for moving that discussion over to this thread 

[Herb@MAWS]

10 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

I've missed many a snowstorm in Puerto Rico. It's beautiful, hope you get to make it there (on Wednesday).

Yep, missed snows last year while in PR but nbd last year. 

[AlexD1990]

17 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

I’ve had both my kids and a neighbor text me about the storm today. And it was just mentioned in a work meeting (although they didn’t ask for my opinion). Normies gonna get crazy in another day or two if things stay on track.

Yep, ive already had co workers and family members telling what they heard, and expecting me to agree, only to be let down with "its too early to talk amounts"

[NorthArlington101]

1 minute ago, Herb@MAWS said:

Yep, missed snows last year while in PR but nbd last year. 

Missing the early Jan storm last year hurt my soul. You might be a sturdier weenie than I

[North Balti Zen]

Quote

Yeah I do not get why some models reduce their run lengths on off hours.

Saving 0s and 1s for Minesweeper games in the off hours. 

That's just science. 

[mattie g]

1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

@Herb@MAWS I’ve got a work flight Monday afternoon. If they suggest I move it to Saturday to get ahead of the storm that’s going to get a big ol’ negatory from me.

I have a flight to a conference in Vegas on the morning of February 23. Doesn't really apply to this discussion...just thought I'd mention it.

[NorthArlington101]

Just now, weathercoins said:

NWS grid forecast for DC has “snow” at 80% Saturday night and Sunday… don’t know the last time I’ve seen such a high pop this far out. 

 

Quote

Snow. Low around 15. Chance of precipitation is 80%.

This genuinely gives me chills. I'm such a sicko

[paulythegun]

Putting this in banter (because it's stupid) but we are about to witness the Most Important UKMET Run of All Time

[mattie g]

37 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

I’ve had both my kids and a neighbor text me about the storm today. And it was just mentioned in a work meeting (although they didn’t ask for my opinion). Normies gonna get crazy in another day or two if things stay on track.

 

18 minutes ago, AlexD1990 said:

Yep, ive already had co workers and family members telling what they heard, and expecting me to agree, only to be let down with "its too early to talk amounts"

The moms at the bus stop this afternoon were giving it the old "They're saying maybe we get 4" maybe we get 24! They're leaving themselves a loooooot of wiggle room...really hedging their bets!"

Things is that they all know me and know that I'm a weather nerd and they often ask me for updates, but they just can't help themselves when they get into their gaggles. <ends seemingly, but not really, misogynistic rant>

Fuck's sake...

[mappy]

4 minutes ago, mattie g said:

 

The moms at the bus stop this afternoon were giving it the old "They're saying maybe we get 4" maybe we get 24! They're leaving themselves a loooooot of wiggle room...really hedging their bets!"

Things is that they all know me and know that I'm a weather nerd and they often ask me for updates, but they just can't help themselves when they get into their gaggles. <ends seemingly, but not really, misogynistic rant>

Fuck's sake...

My mom group chat has been asking me all day what’s going to happen lol

[Scraff]

20 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Missing the early Jan storm last year hurt my soul. You might be a sturdier weenie than I

I missed both Feb 2010 beasts. Still so damn mad to this day. lol. However, had a wonderful time at Disney with the wife and kids. And it didn’t have to shovel shit when I got home. My neighbors hooked me up. Meanwhile—I’m still paying them back for it. 

[mattie g]

3 minutes ago, mappy said:

My mom group chat has been asking me all day what’s going to happen lol

Honestly...half the neighborhood is asking me or asking my wife to ask me about it (just like the bus stop moms). I'm pretty involved in the community, so folks know they can ask me about it and I'm happy to engage, but the whole "Meteorologists have the easiest job" crap gets under my skin.

[mappy]

Just now, mattie g said:

Honestly...half the neighborhood is asking me or asking my wife to ask me about it (just like the bus stop moms). I'm pretty involved in the community, so folks know they can ask me about it and I'm happy to engage, but the whole "Meteorologists have the easiest job" crap gets under my skin.

I just send snow maps and say “it might do this, it might not, I’ll update later” and leave it at that haha but yes I agree completely. I have coworkers bash weather people all the time for being wrong and they don’t know I’m a weather nerd. Have to bite my tongue a lot 

[Maestrobjwa]

4 minutes ago, mappy said:

I just send snow maps and say “it might do this, it might not, I’ll update later” and leave it at that haha but yes I agree completely. I have coworkers bash weather people all the time for being wrong and they don’t know I’m a weather nerd. Have to bite my tongue a lot 

Yeah I try to urge people to give forecasters some grace because trying to get it right is much more difficult than they know, that the atmosphere is complex, and that sometimes weather does whatever the heck it wants, lol Mets are using their expertise to make the best prediction possible!

[WxUSAF]

17 minutes ago, mattie g said:

 

The moms at the bus stop this afternoon were giving it the old "They're saying maybe we get 4" maybe we get 24! They're leaving themselves a loooooot of wiggle room...really hedging their bets!"

Things is that they all know me and know that I'm a weather nerd and they often ask me for updates, but they just can't help themselves when they get into their gaggles. <ends seemingly, but not really, misogynistic rant>

Fuck's sake...

My mental response: THEY aren’t saying shit. Your dumbass app is saying 24”. 
 

I wouldn’t say any amounts to normies right now. WTOP just said “at least 1-4” for areas SW of DC.” Like I totally get being conservative, but any amounts looks pretty dumb right now! If I HAD to make a forecast right now, it would be a lot more than 1-4”! 

[Maestrobjwa]

Just now, bncho said:

Baja blast low less closed off hr 51

I have that trademarked--that'll be $5 in lunch money please

[bncho]

3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

I have that trademarked--that'll be $5 in lunch money please

Do you take Zelle? Every these days is wireless. 

[H2O]

All these teenagers posting.  Does this place even check IDs and card anymore?  Sheesh  Worst bouncers ever

[Maestrobjwa]

1 minute ago, bncho said:

Do you take Zelle? Every these days is wireless. 

I take Zelle, Pelle, Dell...

Actually with being a musician I've had to get all the forms of electronic pay, haha

[North Balti Zen]

From 0" to 12" in one run. Good stuff, GFS. Steady as she goes...

[PrinceFrederickWx]

I am tracking a potential HECS in this same house exactly ten years later (but with three more kids this time lol). Time is a flat circle (IYKYK). 

[DownpourDave]

On 11/2/2025 at 5:12 PM, DownpourDave said:

It will be my first winter here, hopefully I can bring the snow from NH down to here. 

Hmm…..

[snowfan]

Dont forget to stock up on beer. 

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

I'd like to take a moment to thank @mappy, @stormtracker, and all the Mods for how they've handled the storm thread.  It is SO MUCH more readable without all the useless childish and whiny posts at every single slight change in the models each cycle.  Even today with the 12Z GFS (and AI-GFS) looking lousy, it was more a discussion and level-headed assessment, and not page after page of (ahem, JI and some others!) with tearing of hair, gnashing of teeth, bitching about how we lost 15" of snow or how we suck, or how it's over, whatever.  Much appreciated!

[Scarlet Pimpernel]

7 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

And one part of our brains knows that. But the other part of our subconscious Ji represents yelled and screamed anyway

Hell, I don't want Ji representing any part of my subconscious!!!!!

[NorthArlington101]

On 1/19/2026 at 10:23 AM, NorthArlington101 said:

If we’ve got a storm thread and we’re rocking later this week we should get a DC crew meetup for a real happy hour Thursday or Friday… 

Reviving this concept... think @yoda and @nj2va said they were interested? I'm in Penn Quarter for work but could meet anywhere in DC/Arlington zone. Open to suggestions, wonder if we want a separate thread.