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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026


BooneWX
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On 1/17/2026 at 11:11 AM, WinstonSalemArlington said:

Bullish GFSIMG-9156.jpg

 

1 hour ago, PackGrad05 said:

yeah the EPS is still solidly showing 1-2" of snow for Raleigh..   very very wrong currently.

 

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3 hours ago, eyewall said:

The models just failed horribly within hours of this event. I am not about to get on board with a 200 hour storm signal. 

Agree. I sent way too much time model watching and hugging the model that showed snow. I need a break, but wait did you see GfS and CMC at 12z. lol 

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15 minutes ago, gamecockinupstateSC said:

1768759320161.png

That would shut this area down for a week. I would rather it be sunny and 70 than more than 2 inches of freezing rain. Trees and power lines would be down, with no power for a week or more. 

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20 minutes ago, strongwxnc said:


Depends on the timing of the cold push. In place cold vs cold with front


.

Need to keep that HP position. Right now it prevents a cutter but scoot it east and a 1040 is going to lead to some bone dry weather. 

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40 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

The new EPS mean might be the highest I have ever seen... 

Yep, for the main snow not starting for 6-7 days out this may be the heaviest I’ve seen on an EPS mean in NC even after taking ~1” off in some areas for today; also there’s quite the falloff S of NC as ZR seems to take over

IMG_7261.thumb.png.69aa653156732551b79eb6ebeddd5e96.png

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Ya’ll know that I’ve been waiting for the these next couple of weeks to get here since December. As each day brings it closer, I’m starting to open up model runs with a squinty eye to make sure the players are still on the field :lol:  It’s gonna be a long week :devilsmiley:

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37 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Yep, for the main snow not starting for 6-7 days out this may be the heaviest I’ve seen on an EPS mean in NC even after taking ~1” off in some areas for today; also there’s quite the falloff S of NC as ZR seems to take over

IMG_7261.thumb.png.69aa653156732551b79eb6ebeddd5e96.png

Which model verified best for today’s event in your eyes? I feel like the Euro AI did really well but I may be wrong. 

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36 minutes ago, andrew29649 said:

Someone should just jump the gun now and make a storm thread for this weekend :snowing:

Let’s just go ahead and be super confident that it’s happening!

I agree.  We have nothing to lose.  And if we can't have some fun on this board, I guess all we have left is a pile of bodies on Thursday night when the rug gets pulled and Sunday is 30° and partly cloudy.  I won't start it, but I would honor whoever does (at least for the next 4 days) :lol:

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