January 2026 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[stormy]

Last night at 10,  I posted that significant changes would occur by or before the 12z runs Tuesday.

A huge change with 12z today. The GEM skyrocketed from 1.3" to 20.5" in my backyard.

More changes are on the way......................  

[mitchnick]

Don't close this thread. It's been good luck!

[TowsonWeather]

8 minutes ago, Ji said:

Disastrous run for Baltimore. 

Short Pump wiped off the map and we only get a foot? Horrible. #Stormcancel

 

[H2O]

Thread won't be closed but just needs to focus back on long range patterns and storms

[TowsonWeather]

7 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

Lol -you skip RVA on purpose???

He probably counted on your ability to extrapolate between 10-14 and 15-20.

[Rvarookie]

1 minute ago, TowsonWeather said:

Disastrous run for Baltimore. 

Short Pump wiped off the map and we only get a foot? Horrible. #Stormcancel

 

Will be rebuilt as Long Pump 

[H2O]

other thread guys

[H2O]

or better yet, banter thread

[Ralph Wiggum]

7 minutes ago, stormy said:

 

More changes are on the way......................  

 

[Eskimo Joe]

For laughs, here's the 336 hr forecast for the 12z Euro AI.

 

 

[wasnow215]

13 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said:

He probably counted on your ability to extrapolate between 10-14 and 15-20.

You're right-Or there's jealousy (and this is totally tongue and cheek because I don't have your kind of sarcasm built-in ha ha), over the fact that where I live had as much or maybe more snow than you guys did last year hahahaha. And had significant snow 10 days after Thanksgiving this year.

[clskinsfan]

17 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

For laughs, here's the 336 hr forecast for the 12z Euro AI.

 

 

Textbook mouth of the bay tucked bomb. Would be an instant classic. 

[Eskimo Joe]

2 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Textbook mouth of the bay tucked bomb. Would be an instant classic. 

That is a legitimate blizzard every day ending in 'y'.

[bncho]

I'm getting literal chills from this pattern. Feb 2010 vibes.

[TowsonWeather]

17 minutes ago, wasnow215 said:

You're right-Or there's jealousy (and this is totally tongue and cheek because I don't have your kind of sarcasm built-in ha ha), over the fact that where I live had as much or maybe more snow than you guys did last year hahahaha. And had significant snow 10 days after Thanksgiving this year.

Yes, we are all very jealous of Richmond. That's why it rarely gets mentioned, because of how much people are thinking about it and wishing they lived there. Keen analysis.

[mattie g]

I’m still a few pages back, so commenting on Euro AI, but that last storm was really flirting with flipping issues. Not that it matters at over 300 hours out, but just sayin’…

[Eskimo Joe]

 

 

 

[Ji]

What’s wrong with Ryan mahue. He used to never talk like this

[wasnow215]

11 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said:

Yes, we are all very jealous of Richmond. That's why it rarely gets mentioned, because of how much people are thinking about it and wishing they lived there. Keen analysis.

I said it was tongue in cheek. Lol-I don't know you so I didn't know you were this easily offended. Have a good day -I will be more careful with your feelings from now on.

[nj2va]

28 minutes ago, clskinsfan said:

Textbook mouth of the bay tucked bomb. Would be an instant classic. 

Check out that CCB, classic blizzard look.

[87storms]

8 minutes ago, nj2va said:

Check out that CCB, classic blizzard look.

Frederick would perform incredibly well with that setup with that extra Blue Ridge upslope.

[ravensrule]

2 minutes ago, 87storms said:

Frederick would perform incredibly well with that setup with that extra Blue Ridge upslope.

It’s not possible, every single one of your posts are debbie downers. How could you actually be optimistic. 

[mitchnick]

EuriAI gives us 2 more monsters after this weekend while the Eps snowfall this run increases by 1.5" imby after this weekend! Lol wtf 

Sure hope technology wins this run.

[87storms]

10 minutes ago, ravensrule said:

It’s not possible, every single one of your posts are debbie downers. How could you actually be optimistic. 

It’s challenging based off the actual outcomes of the past few years lol. With that said…I have honked at the potential of this pattern, but we know the routine by now. Euro runs this ship, period.

[WEATHER53]

So 12-40”.  God  I would adore that but I’ve lived here too long and like being told it’s a gentle dinosaur there is the oohing and aahing followed by the crying screaming and running 

[stormy]

My 7 model blend for Augusta has increased from 6.5" at 7 am to 11.4"  at 3 pm.

I have to admire the GFS for sticking to it's guns with suppression from strong arctic hp., but the tide seems to be going out...........................  

I am reminding myself that this is still 5 days away........................... Honestly, I will be very happy with 6 - 8 inches....................

[87storms]

We’re getting a snowstorm(s) soon and there’s nothing we can do about. Better? @ravensrule

[Rvarookie]

16 minutes ago, WEATHER53 said:

So 12-40”.  God  I would adore that but I’ve lived here too long and like being told it’s a gentle dinosaur there is the oohing and aahing followed by the crying screaming and running 

That’s what she…actually I’m sure @ravensrulegot this one in the bag already

 

[ravensrule]

6 minutes ago, 87storms said:

We’re getting a snowstorm(s) soon and there’s nothing we can do about. Better? @ravensrule

Much better, thank you good sir. 

[ravensrule]

1 minute ago, Rvarookie said:

That’s what she…actually I’m sure @ravensrulegot this one in the bag already

 

I just left it alone, it was way too much of a softball even for me.