tstate21 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 00z GEFS has some large changes from the prior runs, even showing some inland members and the majority of the members are inside the ensemble mean. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDreamer Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 4 minutes ago, caviman2201 said: Ukie LP position looks good but absolutely anemic NW precip shield Yeah, it’s a Norfolk special like the CMC. But at 12Z it was almost completely OTS. Progress 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rjvanals Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 4 minutes ago, SnowDreamer said: Ukie is worlds better than 12Z Everyone in OCMD and Richmond should make a midnight run to the grocery store to stock up on supplies 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 As a lover of digital snow I want to cry 3 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 8 minutes ago, Ji said: What pushed it east last minute? Its not 'last minute'. Look at the orientation of the ridge over S Canada north of the GLs- it folds over- essentially an anticyclonic wave break 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Yeah, it’s a Norfolk special like the CMC. But at 12Z it was almost completely OTS. ProgressSuch a Niña map 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 5 minutes ago, rjvanals said: Everyone in OCMD and Richmond should make a midnight run to the grocery store to stock up on supplies Just like last week's storm. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 GEFS much more NW, much better 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LeesburgWx Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, bncho said: GEFS much more NW, much better Baby steps. We still have time too, but not too much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 8 minutes ago, rjvanals said: Everyone in OCMD and Richmond should make a midnight run to the grocery store to stock up on supplies But they aren't open at midnight anymore since 2020 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 46 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Canadian so far seems relatively unchanged. Maybe a bit north with the overall pattern, though it could just be a bit slower. You mean the same as it was at 6z? 20" for all? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 28 minutes ago, bncho said: @AlexD1990 is going to get 30+" on this CMC run I got a notification for this and clicked it and this was the first new post I saw after 2 hours, I was like WTF. 26 minutes ago, bncho said: congrats, richmond! Then I saw this, and well, you weren't wrong lol. Holy fucking shit. Not that it's ever gonna happen, but I think that would be a record breaker for most of the reporting stations in the area, and I think that would break the state snowfall record too. 11 minutes ago, SnowDreamer said: Yeah, it’s a Norfolk special like the CMC. But at 12Z it was almost completely OTS. Progress JFC that's a razor sharp gradient. A 20 minute drive would take you from 0" to 8-9" 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 4 minutes ago, bncho said: GEFS much more NW, much better Ensembles.. Better at this range anyway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 20 minutes ago, EHoffman said: Randy should be posting the low quality maps for the relevant times in just about an hour or so Indeed. Prob by like 12:35 or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Can someone post the GEFS member snowmaps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 GFS AI Ens continues its trend NW. 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlexD1990 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Thing looks like a fuckin hurricane on the CMC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 34 minutes ago, EHoffman said: That's something They call these clown maps for a reason. Really, multiple reasons. A: They have an unbelievable look. B: They're funny as hell. I mean, I don't understand fluid dynamics, so I shouldn't talk. But I know climo, and there's no way that this map is ever going to verify even if the storm took the track that was advertised. Bring on the King. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 This was the same lead time where everything shifted NW for the storm two days ago. We lost the long flat overrunning look on the 00z runs on Jan 19 and it became evident that we were going to amp up. The CMC was the first to show this. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
overcautionisbad Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 2 minutes ago, bncho said: This was the same lead time where everything shifted NW. We lost the long flat overrunning look on the 00z runs on Jan 19 and it became evident that we were going to amp up. The CMC was the first to show this. Are you saying I need to buy a snow blower? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 And we're off. Euro's a running 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 0z Euro AI worse, OTS I have no idea what h5 looks like though 1 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 3 minutes ago, bncho said: 0z Euro AI worse, OTS I have no idea what h5 looks like though At 12z this and the regular Euro followed copied each other... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nomz Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 5 minutes ago, bncho said: 0z Euro AI worse, OTS I have no idea what h5 looks like though 12z for comparison Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 AIFS is ever so slightly S and E of 18z which is ever so slightly further E of the 12z at 0z Sunday. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wasnow215 Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 PBP? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EHoffman Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 6 minutes ago, bncho said: 0z Euro AI worse, OTS I have no idea what h5 looks like though Doesn't even look that bad up top. Maybe a tick east with the NS energy. I think it just shaved the NW precip shield back 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 1 minute ago, wasnow215 said: PBP? Still early...but AI Euro starting off bad isn't encouraging....brb 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 AIFS-Op definitely trending in the wrong direction today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 27 Share Posted January 27 Trying to see some encouraging changes and so far I cannot. Doesn't mean it's going to be bad, but not seeing anything to be excited about thus far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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