January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[Hoth]

Not gonna lie. Getting a little excited for this potential. It’s been a while. 

[HoarfrostHubb]

Still lots of time.  But glad to see multiple models getting giggy

[ineedsnow]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

15-20 inches down here in NYC and still snowing on the op. Eps made a significant move towards a better solution. 

probably would of been the same up here

[brooklynwx99]

we continue phasing

[tavwtby]

looking like a double digit snowfall for all of SNE on these runs, I'd say as it stands now I'll go 8-14" here, very nice trends and upper lvl looks, also, one that's not in and out in 8 hours would be excellent, miss those storms of yore where we get either a stall, retrograde or just cut off creeping by throwing back CCB firehose type stuff... and I would not sleep on the 29th either, like the H5 look there.

[Ginx snewx]

18z Euro is what we all draw up in our dreams 

[Ginx snewx]

1 minute ago, tavwtby said:

looking like a double digit snowfall for all of SNE on these runs, I'd say as it stands now I'll go 8-14" here, very nice trends and upper lvl looks, also, one that's not in and out in 8 hours would be excellent, miss those storms of yore where we get either a stall, retrograde or just cut off creeping by throwing back CCB firehose type stuff... and I would not sleep on the 29th either, like the H5 look there.

Up the ratios 

[Masswx]

We hope

[ineedsnow]

the ceiling is pretty damn high on this I think..  but a modest snowfall is also on the table.. still need a couple more days atleast to figure this out..

[Masswx]

I haven’t looked much but seems like this storm needs a lot of work

[Prismshine Productions]

I haven’t looked much but seems like this storm needs a lot of work

Not as much as 24 hrs ago

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[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Just now, Masswx said:

I haven’t looked much but seems like this storm needs a lot of work

Don’t listen to dad. 

[Prismshine Productions]

4 days of wiggle room, keep that in mind, lot can change

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[Damage In Tolland]

4 minutes ago, tavwtby said:

looking like a double digit snowfall for all of SNE on these runs, I'd say as it stands now I'll go 8-14" here, very nice trends and upper lvl looks, also, one that's not in and out in 8 hours would be excellent, miss those storms of yore where we get either a stall, retrograde or just cut off creeping by throwing back CCB firehose type stuff... and I would not sleep on the 29th either, like the H5 look there.

Could also start at 18-28

[brooklynwx99]

this phasing trend has been happening for days now

[Torch Tiger]

Yeah I'd be careful with big #'s, looks more light/mod for us

[ineedsnow]

Just now, Torch Tiger said:

Yeah I'd be careful with big #'s, looks more light/mod for us

on the GFS which trended back north sure.. Euro is a monster though

[Typhoon Tip]

looks almost exactly like the 12z GGEM ... doing the same thing with the lag back pivot low formation.  

here's the 12z GGEM

[Typhoon Tip]

it seems the operational runs are trying to organize/manifest on the short side of the index signal... which is fine.  Prior it was 29/30/31 ... there's still tussle between which tho -

[CCHurricane]

Storm thread is not allowed to be opened until inside of D3 

[ineedsnow]

18z CMC looking better for tomorrow night 

[Hoth]

9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

18z Euro is what we all draw up in our dreams 

Sucker should have a pretty impressive NESIS rating one would think. Huge areal coverage. 

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

18z CMC looking better for tomorrow night 

We plow ?

[ineedsnow]

Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

We plow ?

couple not out of the question

[JKEisMan]

Winter of yore

[mattinmass]

Days and days… as they say?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

8 minutes ago, CCHurricane said:

Storm thread is not allowed to be opened until inside of D3 

After tomorrow 12z we will be inside day 4 and should create a thread if it doesn’t shit the bed the next 18 hours 

[MJO812]

Anyone doing a radio show or zoom call ?

[Torch Tiger]

13 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

on the GFS which trended back north sure.. Euro is a monster though

not saying it won't be a big 'un, it's not impossible at all

[Damage In Tolland]

8 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

couple not out of the question

If that actually happens it means the years of bad things happening has flipped