January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[Typhoon Tip]

so, still haven't formulated an opinion of these AI tools ... but, if the assertion of superiority in that extended range is true this actually lands ideally in the best time

[Damage In Tolland]

17 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

so, still haven't formulated an opinion of these AI tools ... but, if the assertion of superiority in that extended range is true this actually lands ideally in the best time

They seem to be better than the ops at the storm track and areal extent of snowfall . But they are too heavy on the hand with qpf 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said:

so, still haven't formulated an opinion of these AI tools ... but, if the assertion of superiority in that extended range is true this actually lands ideally in the best time

SSTs are going to be pretty well tamed by that point....NE winds will just add moisture.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Next few weeks look cold.  Hopefully we can get something juiced riding into the cold dome but we are certainly primed to have some epic pond ice.  I know how that tickles so many fancies.