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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread


Baroclinic Zone
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Couple nice beefy SWFEs in the extended on 18z GFS. EPS hinted at this too which is why it has been showing some snow in the 11-15 day. 
 

Would be nice to track some higher QPF systems. These less than half inch QPF events are getting brutal. 

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Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Couple nice beefy SWFEs in the extended on 18z GFS. EPS hinted at this too which is why it has been showing some snow in the 11-15 day. 
 

Would be nice to track some higher QPF systems. These less than half inch QPF events are getting brutal. 

Hate to say it because Scooter will just mock me with his passive aggressive one word posts but that's a snow blitz. We just want that Jan 20th week to snow every year. But hey Scooter Epicosity is saved for ya know big stormy periods. But maybe soon enough there summer boy.

FYI New Englands 4 seasons are the absolute best. Ski Sun Surf we have it all.

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Rope? Knife? Gun? Your Choice ! Because it would take you to a Better Place ! 

On 1/1/2026 at 8:09 PM, kdxken said:

Writing is on the wall. Hopefully we can get a couple nickel and dime events in February.

Painfull rope or gun ? Based on your track record i would do rope because if you do gun you would miss like most of your response here! Personally i would 

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9 minutes ago, nianticct said:

Rope? Knife? Gun? Your Choice ! Because it would take you to a Better Place ! 

Painfull rope or gun ? Based on your track record i would do rope because if you do gun you would miss like most of your response here! Personally i would 

What's with the folks from the nutmeg state? So sensitive.

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17 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It’s truly amazing how some folks have gotten so scarred . That’s a snowy interior look 

Needs some work but I wouldn’t rule out an interior shovelable event yet for 1/18. I’m more optimistic beyond that timeframe though. 

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1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said:

Couple nice beefy SWFEs in the extended on 18z GFS. EPS hinted at this too which is why it has been showing some snow in the 11-15 day. 
 

Would be nice to track some higher QPF systems. These less than half inch QPF events are getting brutal. 

Should be some good SWFEs in short order.

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31 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Is it just my amateur eye, or did 18z euro improve significantly for the 15th?  I don't know where to post now, Torch Tiger has effed up the forum with his bullshit.

And then the he says you’re confused….lol…what a putz.  

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1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

As long as the extended range looks active with hits that's all we can ask for right now. The extended shows plenty of cold around and looks active...can't ask for anything else really. Obviously we're going to want to see this continuing as we get closer but the look is hopeful. 

Hope never lets us down…but the extended manages to.  

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13 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

I am guessing you are referring to TT, but I wouldn't know, I have him on ignore.  Unfortunately, I still have to deal with his asinine threads.

He emojied your post with the confused face. I have him on block too, but you could still see if he emojis you. 

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7 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

The final few weeks of the month are going to be interesting...just have to hope the storm track sets up and work in our favor. But at lease these two look like a decent bet

1) Active storm track

2) Plenty of cold air around 

Storm track is going to be the critical component here because despite the cold around things could evolve to where we predominately see cutters. We can hope for a more negative NAO with favorable structure orientation but there is a quite a bit of spread in the direction of the NAO. 

:huh: There’s only a few weeks in a month… so basically you mean the whole month?

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just keep in mind that in 2015 we still hadn’t switched the pattern by this date …

… which I guess you could have said that every January 11 since 2015, but we’ve been flirting with a lot of these tall positive PNA negative EPO looks with a generalized coupled minimum over Southern Canada for the end of the month

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Yup. Basically we have to double todays date of 1/12.   It was the night of 1/23-24 that we had a little 1-3/2-4” wet snow event. And That’s the night that the 0z 1/24th run of the Euro brought the storm back from the dead for Monday the 26th.  Up to that point it sucked…and it was said that it would be a season of nickel and dimes. And we needed to enjoy whatever we got. 

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GFS was opposite of what you wanted to see Toniht. Thursday is just a cold front with minor inland snow. Sunday is another front that looks dried out. And GFS drops a big trough in the west during our favorable period in 3rd-4th week of Jan. Awful 

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