January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread

[40/70 Benchmark]

10 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

@GaWxLarry,  it has that El Niño look because of the Pacific airmass....that is what I tried to capture in my January composite....pretty similar look with months like January 2006 and 2002 in there.

Pacific trough says what up, b1tches.....

[40/70 Benchmark]

Kicking myself for not hitting 2017 harder in my December composite....would have mitigated missing on the magnitude of the cold. 

[powderfreak]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Lazy ass observer…never legitimately measured depth and accounted for compaction. They just kept adding new snow values to the pack. lol

Going from 42" to 6" in 48 hours would be quite a feat, though I guess we saw similar after that Dec 2020 time period in CNE to E.NY.  But this is presumably a pack that is dense enough to see no settling at all.  That stuff would take an absolutely substantial energy to melt that fast, even with 2" of rain.

Obviously some wild unlikely things in that snow depth listing.

[Typhoon Tip]

Slightly colder run again but moving too fast would mitigate 

[40/70 Benchmark]

3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Slightly colder run again but being in the 2020's would mitigate 

 

[kdxken]

 

[TheClimateChanger]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Lazy ass observer…never legitimately measured depth and accounted for compaction. They just kept adding new snow values to the pack. lol

Isn't the more likely explanation that the snowfall totals were underdone and only given as change in depth?

[TheClimateChanger]

Here are the candidates for highest snow depth in Massachusetts. The first three are data entry errors and can be excluded. The next three are legitimate, in the sense that they are what was reported in those winters from those locations, but they could be other than data entry errors.

[TheClimateChanger]

1 minute ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Here are the candidates for highest snow depth in Massachusetts. The first three are data entry errors and can be excluded. The next three are legitimate, in the sense that they are what was reported in those winters from those locations, but they could be other than data entry errors.

Is the 62" at Arlington plausible? Taunton reached 45" and Ashburnham 48" at the same time. How about the 60" at Washington 2 in 1963? Snow depth reached 4 feet at West Cummington at the same time. Also, two locations (Hoosac Tunnel and Adams) reached 50" depth in 1947. I knew 1947-1948 was a doozy, but I guess 1946-1947 was quite harsh as well. The most recent 50" depth was at Boxford 2.4S - a CoCoRaHS observer - in 2015. A number of 40"+ depths were recorded that winter, including 45" at Blue Hill Coop.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

2 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

lol I mean the look in general

I know, I know. I’m bullish though rest of season. LG, one time.

[40/70 Benchmark]

8 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said:

Is the 62" at Arlington plausible? Taunton reached 45" and Ashburnham 48" at the same time. How about the 60" at Washington 2 in 1963? Snow depth reached 4 feet at West Cummington at the same time. Also, two locations (Hoosac Tunnel and Adams) reached 50" depth in 1947. I knew 1947-1948 was a doozy, but I guess 1946-1947 was quite harsh as well. The most recent 50" depth was at Boxford 2.4S - a CoCoRaHS observer - in 2015. A number of 40"+ depths were recorded that winter, including 45" at Blue Hill Coop.

The first one that I buy is the Adams total.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

Uh oh…

[ariof]

Congrats ACK on the op GFS.

[RUNNAWAYICEBERG]

[SnoSki14]

4 hours ago, WinterWolf said:

For sure. I think lots of times we all can get hung up on this. As we all know, snowfall systems are so very nuanced, that sometimes an area(ours lately) can just get into a rut, and can continually get porked.  While up steam or downstream gets slammed. It’s Just some bad dam ju ju.  Eventually that will change, as it always does. And another region will spend some time in the shit barrel. 

It's not just bad luck. CC is affecting the weather patterns. This is why the Great lakes storm track has been so dominant and we've had a pacific jet on steroids over the last decade (record warm ssts western Pacific). 

The classic coastal track and even miller Bs have been practically non-existent for several years now. 

[WinterWolf]

10 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

It's not just bad luck. CC is affecting the weather patterns. This is why the Great lakes storm track has been so dominant and we've had a pacific jet on steroids over the last decade (record warm ssts western Pacific). 

The classic coastal track and even miller Bs have been practically non-existent for several years now. 

Wrong! 

[Ginx snewx]

12 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

It's not just bad luck. CC is affecting the weather patterns. This is why the Great lakes storm track has been so dominant and we've had a pacific jet on steroids over the last decade (record warm ssts western Pacific). 

The classic coastal track and even miller Bs have been practically non-existent for several years now. 

Do some research 

[brooklynwx99]

15 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

It's not just bad luck. CC is affecting the weather patterns. This is why the Great lakes storm track has been so dominant and we've had a pacific jet on steroids over the last decade (record warm ssts western Pacific). 

The classic coastal track and even miller Bs have been practically non-existent for several years now. 

i’m sure New Orleans and Virginia snow weenies are loving climate change right now 

[Torch Tiger]

35 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

[WinterWolf]

12 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

i’m sure New Orleans and Virginia snow weenies are loving climate change right now 

Alabama and Florida too. 

[NoCORH4L]

Grandpapi says it snowed so much this one time, that them crawfish froze solid in the mud, so CC can't be real!

[brooklynwx99]

5 minutes ago, NoCORH4L said:

Grandpapi says it snowed so much this one time, that them crawfish froze solid in the mud, so CC can't be real!

if you think what i said implies that i don’t think climate change is real and has an impact, you must be mistaken. the over attribution is just a lazy cop out most of the time 

[brooklynwx99]

we trend

[Torch Tiger]

Euro AI likes the 18th.  Big 'un

[CoastalWx]

Big uns on guidance last night. We pray. 

[MJO812]

34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Big uns on guidance last night. We pray. 

Gfs getting closer 

[kdxken]

3 hours ago, Torch Tiger said:

Euro AI likes the 18th.  Big 'un

Must be what my Google app uses or their AI version.

[kdxken]

21°. Not much of a warm up in the overnights that's for sure.

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, kdxken said:

21°. Not much of a warm up in the overnights that's for sure.

Today and tomorrow mild and then again next week. Not like 60 every day but a wipe it clean.

[Kitz Craver]

Pretty much all camps have something brewing, hold the line!