Typhoon Tip Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago It needs a chunk move. Which would take a pretty radical change in the azimuth of the N stream … I guess it could happen but it’s difficult to see how. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It needs a chunk move. Which would take a pretty radical change in the azimuth of the N stream … I guess it could happen but it’s difficult to see how. I wouldn't be shocked if it did. Models have been terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, MJO812 said: I wouldn't be shocked if it did. Models have been terrible. Not at this range and not that much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Not at this range and not that much The last storm moved within a few days . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, MJO812 said: The last storm moved within a few days . Different scenario… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It needs a chunk move. Which would take a pretty radical change in the azimuth of the N stream … I guess it could happen but it’s difficult to see how. Jan 2015 pulled it off.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago The N stream is definitely trying to tug those isobars back and invert a trough. But aside from that scenario, this thing needs to go about 80 yards with 15s remaining and no timeouts. But like Tip said, we need a big chunk play out of bounds and then a hail mary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Jan 2015 pulled it off.... The morning after a 1-3” storm I looked at the models and was shocked . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 39 minutes ago, Diggiebot said: A day late and a dollar short!?! Always Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Still … one would have to be a nimrod not to be impressed with that anomaly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Jan 2015 pulled it off.... Is that a circulation mode analog? The problem isn’t the chunk move. It’s how can that happen with a Northwest of Southeast moving rampaging jet, and the progressive ridge, which is bulging east across the country at the same time It’s not a matter of whether it’s happening in history it’s a matter whether it can now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago But like I said… Supply a radical enough reconstruction of those flow components and then it’ll happen maybe Nothing is impossible 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 14 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Is that a circulation mode analog? The problem isn’t the chunk move. It’s how can that happen with a Northwest of Southeast moving rampaging jet, and the progressive ridge, which is bulging east across the country at the same time It’s not a matter of whether it’s happening in history it’s a matter whether it can now Not implying it's an analog...just saying. Do I expect it to do that? Negative lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Of course now that this has been pointed out. The gfs promptly slides back SE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 28 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Of course now that this has been pointed out. The gfs promptly slides back SE Hey, can always go partake in the 'ole one-finger-salute-style prostate massage while watching BAM Weather blow snot rockets, if that comforts ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krs4Lfe Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Still … one would have to be a nimrod not to be impressed with that anomaly That was the running theme during Jan-Feb 2023. Let’s hope this is real transient. Deep western troughs are nightmares for snow and cold over here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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