Typhoon Tip Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 It needs a chunk move. Which would take a pretty radical change in the azimuth of the N stream … I guess it could happen but it’s difficult to see how. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 2 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It needs a chunk move. Which would take a pretty radical change in the azimuth of the N stream … I guess it could happen but it’s difficult to see how. I wouldn't be shocked if it did. Models have been terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, MJO812 said: I wouldn't be shocked if it did. Models have been terrible. Not at this range and not that much Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, Typhoon Tip said: Not at this range and not that much The last storm moved within a few days . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Just now, MJO812 said: The last storm moved within a few days . Different scenario… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 7 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: It needs a chunk move. Which would take a pretty radical change in the azimuth of the N stream … I guess it could happen but it’s difficult to see how. Jan 2015 pulled it off.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 The N stream is definitely trying to tug those isobars back and invert a trough. But aside from that scenario, this thing needs to go about 80 yards with 15s remaining and no timeouts. But like Tip said, we need a big chunk play out of bounds and then a hail mary. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Jan 2015 pulled it off.... The morning after a 1-3” storm I looked at the models and was shocked . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 39 minutes ago, Diggiebot said: A day late and a dollar short!?! Always Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Still … one would have to be a nimrod not to be impressed with that anomaly 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 15 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Jan 2015 pulled it off.... Is that a circulation mode analog? The problem isn’t the chunk move. It’s how can that happen with a Northwest of Southeast moving rampaging jet, and the progressive ridge, which is bulging east across the country at the same time It’s not a matter of whether it’s happening in history it’s a matter whether it can now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 But like I said… Supply a radical enough reconstruction of those flow components and then it’ll happen maybe Nothing is impossible 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 14 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said: Is that a circulation mode analog? The problem isn’t the chunk move. It’s how can that happen with a Northwest of Southeast moving rampaging jet, and the progressive ridge, which is bulging east across the country at the same time It’s not a matter of whether it’s happening in history it’s a matter whether it can now Not implying it's an analog...just saying. Do I expect it to do that? Negative lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Of course now that this has been pointed out. The gfs promptly slides back SE 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 28 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: Of course now that this has been pointed out. The gfs promptly slides back SE Hey, can always go partake in the 'ole one-finger-salute-style prostate massage while watching BAM Weather blow snot rockets, if that comforts ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krs4Lfe Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said: Still … one would have to be a nimrod not to be impressed with that anomaly That was the running theme during Jan-Feb 2023. Let’s hope this is real transient. Deep western troughs are nightmares for snow and cold over here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 If we could finagle a couple blockbuster clown-range storms, it would help keep the mood up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 I see some warming and some rain mid to late next week up here. Second day in a row on the weather underground forecast. Not sure I buy a big warming up here, at least one enough to bring us rain. But I’m wrong a lot. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 50 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: I see some warming and some rain mid to late next week up here. Second day in a row on the weather underground forecast. Not sure I buy a big warming up here, at least one enough to bring us rain. But I’m wrong a lot. It’s coming. Models seem mild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahk_webstah Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s coming. Models seem mild. Maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 6 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said: Maybe It’s coming. Guaranteed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 What a meh mild up . Couple days of 40’s 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Not too much in the pipeline for winter enthusiasts. Enjoy what we have now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Having said that it was a solid holiday period, I can’t remember the last time I had a snow pack down here the entire Christmas break. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Sunday night and Monday looks good for more snow. Then we’ll see what mid week does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Basically a garbage look from the 7th to the 14th or so. Seems like it gets better after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wx_observer Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Snow Squall Warning until 8:30 AM. Don't see those too often! Looks pretty intense just south of Grafton, heading towards Milford right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Great Snow 1717 Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 ...as things stand right now at least the next 7-9 days are likely to not have any significant winter weather . At that point it will be approaching the middle part of January... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 Could see a couple inches in the 1/6 disturbance if it doesn’t weaken too much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 1 Share Posted January 1 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: Could see a couple inches in the 1/6 disturbance if it doesn’t weaken too much. Don’t sleep on Sunday / night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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