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January 2026 OBS and Discussion


TriPol
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Just now, Stormlover74 said:

Looks like a improvement. But not in the Ai/cmc/ukie camp

Euro was late to the show for this past weekend event too. Kept showing out to sea.........up until Friday

prateptype_cat_ecmwf-imp.us_ne.png

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2 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

This reminds me of a lighter version of PDII. 

Wish it were a few days closer however large systems usually stay on guidance and don't shift that much. 

That's what gives me a bit more confidence. These large sprawling long duration events are generally more accurately modelled than the thread the needle faster moving ones. As of now, it's just nice to have something to track.

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25 minutes ago, CPcantmeasuresnow said:

45 inches in Richmond? That would set their seasonal record in a one week period. Unlikely but there's always a first for everything. 

We all know that isn't going to happen. We don't have a +PDO (like 2014-15) or +ENSO (like 2009-10). Those are the types of winters you need to produce a lot of snow in such a short period of time in the 2nd half of January and February. You're not going to get that in a -PDO/-ENSO like this year.

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ok amwx family. 

 

i studied photography. i like snow. my understanding of how weather works has greatly improved over the past 3 years ive been on the board but compared to the rest of you... im an idiot

 

i have a flight scheduled to san diego sunday. girlfriend (who is already in SD) birthday celebration is monday

 

should i start thinking about switching my flight to saturday? 

 

pls don't weenie me to oblivion... im vegan

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