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December 14th - Snow showers or Plowable snow?


Sey-Mour Snow
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1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

NAM just kinda looked delayed, I thought it lost it at first lol 

Slowing it down is prob actually good because it gives it time to buckle a bit…we don’t want it blowing up completely after our longitude. If it can be allowed to buckle a bit and blow up further west, then the warning-level goods could scrape the south coast and Cape 

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Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Hrrr really hammers the Cape and maybe parts of adjacent SE MA with legit fronto banding. 

Some signs it lingers near the coast too. 
 

@SouthCoastMAnight be a good spot for this. East of him may initially have boundary layer issues, but winds go light NW which is good trajectory for him. 

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43 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Should see advisories up to MA/CT border with afternoon package . Maybe even southern tiers of 4 MA counties 

I remain cautious and quite conservative anywhere along and north of the I-84 corridor; a general 1.5 to 2, with low pop of iso 3"?  Cape area looks good; 3 to 5, spot 5+; and a general 2 to 3 with isolated 4's across southern CT; maxing out in New London County...

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7 minutes ago, FXWX said:

I remain cautious and quite conservative anywhere along and north of the I-84 corridor; a general 1.5 to 2, with low pop of iso 3"?  Cape area looks good; 3 to 5, spot 5+; and a general 2 to 3 with isolated 4's across southern CT; maxing out in New London County...

Trending slower further Northwest. Nice

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Conservative final call, may be nudged north 5-15 miles tonight if mesos beef up. 
 

I wouldn’t be surprised in 5-7” amounts along the immediate south coast if that fronto band clips there. 
 

With .25-.45” qpf model blend in southern CT 2-4” should be easily attainable and if we can get those ratios to :15:1 there will be some surprises. 

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12 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Conservative final call, may be nudged north 5-15 miles tonight if mesos beef up. 
 

I wouldn’t be surprised in 5-7” amounts along the immediate south coast if that fronto band clips there. 
 

With .25-.45” qpf model blend in southern CT 2-4” should be easily attainable and if we can get those ratios to :15:1 there will be some surprises. 

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Agree... 

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27 minutes ago, FXWX said:

I remain cautious and quite conservative anywhere along and north of the I-84 corridor; a general 1.5 to 2, with low pop of iso 3"?  Cape area looks good; 3 to 5, spot 5+; and a general 2 to 3 with isolated 4's across southern CT; maxing out in New London County...

Looks to me like 2-4 most of state north of 95 and 3-6” south. Exception CTRV north of HFD with 1”or less especially BDL north 

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1 hour ago, WinterWolf said:

Yes, from what we had the last few years…an inch more is “Much” now. :lol::snowing:

LOL exactly.  I remember one storm in 1987 where we had 10 inches. We were in such a terrible winter stretch that it seems like 3 feet. CC aside, hopefully the pattern continues to evolve and we get better flow characteristics or just better luck as we move forward. 

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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Should see advisories up to MA/CT border with afternoon package . Maybe even southern tiers of 4 MA counties 

I would agree. Someone may be confused,  but get an inch or two on cold roads, the general SEVERE LACK of driving skill by many now and the holiday season warrants advisories if this keeps looking like current guidance 

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