ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 Hrrr really hammers the Cape and maybe parts of adjacent SE MA with legit fronto banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 Yes, from what we had the last few years…an inch more is “Much” now. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: NAM just kinda looked delayed, I thought it lost it at first lol Slowing it down is prob actually good because it gives it time to buckle a bit…we don’t want it blowing up completely after our longitude. If it can be allowed to buckle a bit and blow up further west, then the warning-level goods could scrape the south coast and Cape 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 Just now, ORH_wxman said: Hrrr really hammers the Cape and maybe parts of adjacent SE MA with legit fronto banding. Some signs it lingers near the coast too. @SouthCoastMAnight be a good spot for this. East of him may initially have boundary layer issues, but winds go light NW which is good trajectory for him. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 Should see advisories up to MA/CT border with afternoon package . Maybe even southern tiers of 4 MA counties 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 So far the mesos like FV3 and Wrf NSSL came north from 00z…albeit some were paltry at 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rimetree Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 Seeing a hint of an IVT reaching back to the coast as this departs. Hoping for at least some Currier and Ives here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 31 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Hrrr really hammers the Cape and maybe parts of adjacent SE MA with legit fronto banding. 12z NAM looks decent too 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 2 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: 12z NAM looks decent too Yeah the NAM popped a bit late but really looked good down there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 Looks like ICON and Reggie nudged a little north too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 12z RRFS is pretty robust. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 43 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Should see advisories up to MA/CT border with afternoon package . Maybe even southern tiers of 4 MA counties I remain cautious and quite conservative anywhere along and north of the I-84 corridor; a general 1.5 to 2, with low pop of iso 3"? Cape area looks good; 3 to 5, spot 5+; and a general 2 to 3 with isolated 4's across southern CT; maxing out in New London County... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 7 minutes ago, FXWX said: I remain cautious and quite conservative anywhere along and north of the I-84 corridor; a general 1.5 to 2, with low pop of iso 3"? Cape area looks good; 3 to 5, spot 5+; and a general 2 to 3 with isolated 4's across southern CT; maxing out in New London County... Trending slower further Northwest. Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted December 13, 2025 Author Share Posted December 13, 2025 Conservative final call, may be nudged north 5-15 miles tonight if mesos beef up. I wouldn’t be surprised in 5-7” amounts along the immediate south coast if that fronto band clips there. With .25-.45” qpf model blend in southern CT 2-4” should be easily attainable and if we can get those ratios to :15:1 there will be some surprises. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 ACK MVY should see WSWarnings today 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 I’m going to make a map once the rest of the 12z suite comes out 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 NAM has some really good snow growth on the south coast predawn and early morning tomorrow. So if they can get into some decent rates, they could fluff their way to low end warning. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FXWX Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 12 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Conservative final call, may be nudged north 5-15 miles tonight if mesos beef up. I wouldn’t be surprised in 5-7” amounts along the immediate south coast if that fronto band clips there. With .25-.45” qpf model blend in southern CT 2-4” should be easily attainable and if we can get those ratios to :15:1 there will be some surprises. Agree... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 27 minutes ago, FXWX said: I remain cautious and quite conservative anywhere along and north of the I-84 corridor; a general 1.5 to 2, with low pop of iso 3"? Cape area looks good; 3 to 5, spot 5+; and a general 2 to 3 with isolated 4's across southern CT; maxing out in New London County... Looks to me like 2-4 most of state north of 95 and 3-6” south. Exception CTRV north of HFD with 1”or less especially BDL north Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 12z gfs looks about the same as 6z. On my phone though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 Subtle but did look better at 500 too. Just keep an eye on that from rt 44 south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 28 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: ACK MVY should see WSWarnings today Nantucket sleigh ride? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Subtle but did look better at 500 too. Just keep an eye on that from rt 44 south. Did look a touch better to me. Liking the trend today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: Yes, from what we had the last few years…an inch more is “Much” now. LOL exactly. I remember one storm in 1987 where we had 10 inches. We were in such a terrible winter stretch that it seems like 3 feet. CC aside, hopefully the pattern continues to evolve and we get better flow characteristics or just better luck as we move forward. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 Gonna be a lot of “surprised” posts tomorrow morning 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said: Should see advisories up to MA/CT border with afternoon package . Maybe even southern tiers of 4 MA counties I would agree. Someone may be confused, but get an inch or two on cold roads, the general SEVERE LACK of driving skill by many now and the holiday season warrants advisories if this keeps looking like current guidance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 11 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Nantucket sleigh ride? Nantucket Sleigh Ride... sounds like what they must call coke and lsd after hearing that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 7 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Gonna be a lot of “surprised” posts tomorrow morning Not sure why. We tried. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 13, 2025 Share Posted December 13, 2025 Canadian a tick better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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