Kay Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 3 minutes ago, nj2va said: You’re telling me Take 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Man that would wreck that morning commute. Cold powder falling at sunrise on cold roads after several days of temps below normal. Yeah this will accumulate efficiently on roads, especially side roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 Just now, WxUSAF said: Yeah this will accumulate efficiently on roads, especially side roads. The sad part is that one inch of snow on a week day cripples this area. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 I’m sad lol. Least I’ll be at work and maybe see a little something in Jefferson county WV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 Just now, TSSN+ said: I’m sad lol. Least I’ll be at work and maybe see a little something in Jefferson county WV In the long run you’re a lot better off living where you do. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 3 minutes ago, ravensrule said: In the long run you’re a lot better off living where you do. Haven’t been seeing very much in the past few years up here. So many southern sliders in these Nina’s. Hopefully can pull something out soon cause the legit storm drought up here is wild. I haven’t seen a storm over 7” since 2016. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 Just now, TSSN+ said: Haven’t been seeing very much in the past few years up here. So many southern sliders in these Nina’s. Hopefully can pull something out soon cause the legit storm drought up here is wild. I haven’t seen a storm over 7” since 2016. I can guarantee you that over the next 10 years you will do way better. I haven’t seen a storm over 5” since 2016. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winter_warlock Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 1 hour ago, bncho said: Yes, I know it's 90 %tile, but I just don't understand how this is even remotely possible. I don't think any model even shows that lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 14 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: @SnowenOutThere 0z nam 3k soundings look much better for dendrite production. I just looked at DC, but a nice wide DGZ with moderate lift for several hours tomorrow morning. This is 12z for DC. Wow! That is one of the nicer soundings you'll see with this one. Looks like winter will be knocking by morning for many. Along and south of Rt50 may be the spot now, so a bit further north expansion comparted to previous thinking. I'll be on night shift till 6am, so probably driving home in it. Looking forward to the festive feel! 12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 Just now, MillvilleWx said: Wow! That is one of the nicer soundings you'll see with this one. Looks like winter will be knocking by morning for many. Along and south of Rt50 may be the spot now, so a bit further north expansion comparted to previous thinking. I'll be on night shift till 6am, so probably driving home in it. Looking forward to the festive feel! You had a small typo there on I70 and accidentally typed “Rt50” 1 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: Wow! That is one of the nicer soundings you'll see with this one. Looks like winter will be knocking by morning for many. Along and south of Rt50 may be the spot now, so a bit further north expansion comparted to previous thinking. I'll be on night shift till 6am, so probably driving home in it. Looking forward to the festive feel! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 Just now, WxUSAF said: You had a small typo there on I70 and accidentally typed “Rt50” He has sticky fingers. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighStakes Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 4 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Haven’t been seeing very much in the past few years up here. So many southern sliders in these Nina’s. Hopefully can pull something out soon cause the legit storm drought up here is wild. I haven’t seen a storm over 7” since 2016. We had two 7 plus inches storms in 2020/2021 here. March 2018 also. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 3 minutes ago, winter_warlock said: I don't think any model even shows that lol Actually, there are a few SREF and GEFS members that (no surprise) are super wet. Those inputs are driving those high percentile values. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 12 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: Haven’t been seeing very much in the past few years up here. So many southern sliders in these Nina’s. Hopefully can pull something out soon cause the legit storm drought up here is wild. I haven’t seen a storm over 7” since 2016. Stephens City hasn't seen a 6" storm since Jan 2016. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 A few flakes falling now. (Blacksburg, VA) 18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 12 minutes ago, ravensrule said: I can guarantee you that over the next 10 years you will do way better. I haven’t seen a storm over 5” since 2016. We all just need to get clocked 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 1 minute ago, TSSN+ said: We all just need to get clocked Yes. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Demeter Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 I know it’s OT, but I have a Xmas tree farm trip planned for tomorrow. There was 1 other time it was snowing while going and it’s kind of magical for me. I’m such a snow ho. 25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 6 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: We all just need to get clocked We will this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 6 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: We all just need to get clocked We need a good 2009, 2010 or 2016 storm. Everyone here will be in a lot better mood. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 5 minutes ago, TSSN+ said: We all just need to get clocked Get clocked Christmas Day. We wake up to an amber sunrise that leads to a steel grey sky. Just after lunch snow starts falling and it's a solid 8" - 12" of cold powder that ends just before midnight. Then on New Year's Ever we get a nice clipper running along I-64 that put another 4" - 6" of sugar on top. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted December 5, 2025 Author Share Posted December 5, 2025 33 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: @SnowenOutThere 0z nam 3k soundings look much better for dendrite production. I just looked at DC, but a nice wide DGZ with moderate lift for several hours tomorrow morning. This is 12z for DC. Looks like its the band hits Charlottesville a couple hours earlier (4am sounding for refence). Will be a fun Jebwalk! (sorry to my poor roommate who has to deal with that though). But what a thing of beauty compared to the HRRR runs we were looking at earlier. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 Early on, but it's good to see mPING reports following the darker returns. Maybe the dry air won't be stubborn? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Early on, but it's good to see mPING reports following the darker returns. Maybe the dry air won't be stubborn? Get out there with a squirt gun and point it skyward. Do your part. Edit: Also ICON a smidge north/wetter 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted December 5, 2025 Author Share Posted December 5, 2025 700mb frontgen is entering the southern parts of our region were now at Nowcasting time! Also some weird line of 850 frontgen over NOVA that has been strengthening over the past couple hours. Anyone know whats up with that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 Just now, SnowenOutThere said: 700mb frontgen is entering the southern parts of our region were now at Nowcasting time! Also some weird line of 850 frontgen over NOVA that has been strengthening over the past couple hours. Anyone know whats up with that? 850 frontogenesis might be the cold front pressing down. Check out the wind barbs over MD and WV panhandle compared to central VA. Watch this area closely for a deathbed to set up. 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 35/19. gimme a little more temp drop and then let it rip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 Bad RGEM run, drier DC and north. Hopefully just a blip. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted December 5, 2025 Share Posted December 5, 2025 3 minutes ago, baltosquid said: Bad RGEM run, drier DC and north. Hopefully just a blip. Damn locked and loaded. Looks like NoVA DC bullseye. We are ready Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now