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Kick-Off '25-'26 Winter Storm Obs


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6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Temp now creeping above 30F 

 

You can tell the warmth aloft is getting closer to ground as there’s way less sleet now and the accretion is mostly stopped. The previous glaze is still on bushes and other surfaces but the rain is mostly just running off it now. 
 

Short term guidance has been getting better and better for later this evening. Hoping to finish with a few hours of steady snow. 

Is that flip going to happen down this way? Or too little too late?

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Got down to 10 last night and was up to 18 when flakes began about 7:15.   Steady small flakes and 2.0" at 2:15 and my walk to the mailbox had a feel of a somewhat low ratio.  In 7 hours, the temp has risen all the way to 20.  Noted that GYX has cut back the totals a bit.

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1 minute ago, tamarack said:

Got down to 10 last night and was up to 18 when flakes began about 7:15.   Steady small flakes and 2.0" at 2:15 and my walk to the mailbox had a feel of a somewhat low ratio.  In 7 hours, the temp has risen all the way to 20.  Noted that GYX has cut back the totals a bit.

Not sure what they have in the forecast at this poitn, but the AFD had them upping them along the coast.

 

Meanwhile, the HRRR shows the snow hole filling in within the hour and then progressively get better from there with several hours of good qpf coming in.  Fingers crossed.

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3 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

Not sure what they have in the forecast at this poitn, but the AFD had them upping them along the coast.

 

Meanwhile, the HRRR shows the snow hole filling in within the hour and then progressively get better from there with several hours of good qpf coming in.  Fingers crossed.

Maybe a move to the south?  Good for coastal snow, less QPF to the north?

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