Winter 2025-26 Medium/Long Range Discussion

[Powerball]

20 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

gonna be a problem

That's actually not too bad of an outcome, compared to what the EURO's been depicting.

Hearing pingers for hours on end will never not be extremely annoying, but at least it's not cripping / catastrophic unlike 1"+ of freezing rain...

 

[A-L-E-K]

two inches of pingers gonna lead to biblical pileups

texas drivers 

[A-L-E-K]

ggem with a cool 20+ imby this run

by far our premier west side of the lake fantasy LES model

[DocATL]

Euro is a nickel and dime fest with a sharp cutoff.

[HillsdaleMIWeather]

18Z gfs would shut down the southeast for days

Insane run 

[mimillman]

6 minutes ago, HillsdaleMIWeather said:

18Z gfs would shut down the southeast for days

Insane run 

Greensboro, NC with a casual 4x annual snowfall average in a single event 

[cyclone77]

Hope nobody plans on using FedEx for several days.  Memphis gonna get shellacked.   

[sbnwx85]

Went to visit the Southeast forum. First post I saw said “Stop. Final warning.” So they seem to be handling things well…

[Powerball]

The meltdowns to beat all meltdowns incoming (Beavis will have nothing on me) if this happens...

[A-L-E-K]

53 minutes ago, Powerball said:

The meltdowns to beat all meltdowns incoming (Beavis will have nothing on me) if this happens...

Greensboro winter

[mimillman]

Riding the euro for 36 hours of high ratio mood dust 

[buckeye]

9 minutes ago, mimillman said:

Riding the euro for 36 hours of high ratio mood dust 

if the trend on that 18z euro continues with more and more of a big phase....Josh might be reeling this one in.

[Jackstraw]

Some of these model runs temp wise are nuts by Mon and Tues. They have 99% of the lower 48 below freezing and not just freezing, down into the 20's and lower. Not buying it but nationwide freezing pipes? Oh Lawdy lol. I don't think I've ever seen that. I will take the 12Z Canuk weenie land for 100 lol

 

[mimillman]

8 minutes ago, buckeye said:

if the trend on that 18z euro continues with more and more of a big phase....Josh might be reeling this one in.

I can’t believe no one flagged 12z ensemble member 38. Where has the love gone 

[buckeye]

4 minutes ago, Jackstraw said:

Some of these model runs temp wise are nuts by Mon and Tues. They have 99% of the lower 48 below freezing and not just freezing, down into the 20's and lower. Not buying it but nationwide freezing pipes? Oh Lawdy lol. I don't think I've ever seen that. I will take the 12Z Canuk weenie land for 100 lol

 

 

 

December 1989 was the last time I recall such widespread brutal cold across the whole conus.    We hit -18 at the peak of that coldwave.    When it broke, winter was over.

[Harry Perry]

Looks like the Hurricane Hunter is going to make a special flight for some data over the Pacific to ingest into the models. Pretty cool. 

[CheeselandSkies]

*Looks at 18Z GFS and cries*

I HATE prolonged deep cold. Looks like those flagging the 2013-'14 similarities were right. Can only hope unlike that year it breaks in time to not totally bollocks season apart from a 3-day sequence in mid-F*CKING JUNE.