Solution Man Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 4 minutes ago, bncho said: 18z GFS shaping up for a nice small hit on the 4th Not going to be small, gonna be really small 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago it shreds out and its a nothing burger lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago One last shot: Dry first 10 days of January vs. CPC Wet 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Once again the trend of cloudy days continues next week. More cloudy days, versus sunny days that started earlier this Spring. Bad enough its cold without snow, but then to deal with shorter days and no sunshine. Saturday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Sunday A chance of rain after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 44. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Sunday Night Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 38. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Monday Showers, mainly before 1pm. High near 59. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Monday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Tuesday Cloudy, with a high near 36. Breezy. Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Wednesday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. Wednesday Night Cloudy, with a low around 23. New Year's Day Cloudy, with a high near 34. Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 17. Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 30. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 28 minutes ago, stormy said: This is the map that I was using: well thats the wrong map to use number 1. Its the operational. And 2....there is literally no precip on that euro run till January 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago Just now, Ji said: well thats the wrong map to use number 1. Its the operational. And 2....there is literally no precip on that euro run till January 6 17 minutes ago, stormy said: One last shot: Dry first 10 days of January vs. CPC Wet ya your doing this all wrong bro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago the GFS wont even give us a fantasy dusting 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 19 minutes ago, Ji said: the GFS wont even give us a fantasy dusting Euro does Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 29 minutes ago, Ji said: the GFS wont even give us a fantasy dusting HH GEFS If you want better odds drive north, or head to the mid south, or better yet charter a boat and head east. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 8 minutes ago, CAPE said: HH GEFS If you want better odds drive north, or head to the mid south, or better yet charter a boat and head east. No need. 18z Euro 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago No need. 18z EuroGfs and euro are trending closer for that day 6 wave. It’s very synoptically similar to the mid December event. Year of the clipper continues?. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago we get 3” while NYC gets 15” lolSounds like a niña Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 15 hours ago Share Posted 15 hours ago 13 minutes ago, Heisy said: Gfs and euro are trending closer for that day 6 wave. It’s very synoptically similar to the mid December event. Year of the clipper continues? . Yeah, I thought it looked like 12/14 too. I’ll keep my fingers crossed that those of us situated between the mts and ocean don't get skipped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardmeiser Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 1 hour ago, frd said: Once again the trend of cloudy days continues next week. More cloudy days, versus sunny days that started earlier this Spring. Bad enough its cold without snow, but then to deal with shorter days and no sunshine. Saturday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 35. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph. Saturday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm. Sunday A chance of rain after 1pm. Cloudy, with a high near 44. Calm wind becoming south around 5 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Sunday Night Rain likely. Cloudy, with a low around 38. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New precipitation amounts of less than a tenth of an inch possible. Monday Showers, mainly before 1pm. High near 59. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 80%. Monday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 26. Tuesday Cloudy, with a high near 36. Breezy. Tuesday Night Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Wednesday Mostly cloudy, with a high near 39. Wednesday Night Cloudy, with a low around 23. New Year's Day Cloudy, with a high near 34. Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 17. Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 30. If no snow, might as well be warm. At least the days are getting longer! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 36 minutes ago, mitchnick said: Yeah, I thought it looked like 12/14 too. I’ll keep my fingers crossed that those of us situated between the mts and ocean don't get skipped. Yeah I'll take a hard pass on that pass. I cannot remember one time in recent years my yard has benefited from one of those. Baltimore must have some weird geography, because it's either north and south or east and west--the good bans just don't seem to hit here (been almost 10 years, it feels like) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 5 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Yeah I'll take a hard pass on that pass. I cannot remember one time in recent years my yard has benefited from one of those. Baltimore must have some weird geography, because it's either north and south or east and west--the good bans just don't seem to hit here (been almost 10 years, it feels like) We're in a colder base state. This would work for Baltimore City IF you can get precip to hold together over the mts and/or preferably redevelopment once east of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 53 minutes ago, mitchnick said: We're in a colder base state. This would work for Baltimore City IF you can get precip to hold together over the mts and/or preferably redevelopment once east of them. It's weird that during this stretch the worst fails haven't been temperature...just precip! And redevelopment is tricky with areas e/ne more likely to get in on that unless it tucks enough. But eh, maybe this is too granular for a week out, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago I didn't realize that we are getting nearly a +600dm anomaly over Greenland in 2.5 days. Big -NAO. And it reloads 3x. This is the 384hr prog from the 18z GEFS. I like the progression.. building -NAO (again), and a different Pacific evolving from -PNA 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 0z GFS has the NYD clipper—dusting for most of the area. IMO this should trend south (and it has over the last few model runs), and it looks glaringly similar to the 12/14/25 system. It's only 120 hours out, needs to be watched. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kleimax Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 0z GFS develops a hurricane at hour 384 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago 8 minutes ago, Kleimax said: 0z GFS develops a hurricane at hour 384 we need the rain. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 6z GFS gives us something to look at Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 6z GFS gives us something to look atHow does a storm like that miss us lol 1 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 6z GFS gives us something to look at00z ai and 6z ai to a degree as well. Starting to see fantasy events being spit out in LR OP models. The Jan 6-10 frame has me excited personally. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 00z ai and 6z ai to a degree as well. Starting to see fantasy events being spit out in LR OP models. The Jan 6-10 frame has me excited personally.00z ai was a 96 blizzard lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Euro AI lighting up with a few events, one big Miller A as well as the GFS. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Euro AI lighting up with a few events, one big Miller A as well as the GFS. Yea, as always we gotta get lucky, but the pattern looks good. Just gotta see how the pac energy ends up shaking out. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 5 minutes ago, Heisy said: Yea, as always we gotta get lucky, but the pattern looks good. Just gotta see how the pac energy ends up shaking out. . 100% Alot of large scale features have been changing/morphing under 144 hours so I dont expect these exact looks to hold. But yeah, not a shutout torch look. Recurring theme has been 'brief' moderation thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: 100% Alot of large scale features have been changing/morphing under 144 hours so I dont expect these exact looks to hold. But yeah, not a shutout torch look. Recurring theme has been 'brief' moderation thus far. 6z euro and euro ai have my NYD clipper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago We do now have a few trackable events in the Jan 5-12 period (plus the NYD clipper). Even though they’re not showing what we want right now, there’s a lot of time for these to trend in our favor. It’s definitely not a shit the blinds pattern, but we need some luck on our side. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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