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December Medium/Long Range Discussion


yoda
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3 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

Models don't usually correct significantly when there is a PNA projected to be -2 to -3 for an extended period of time. Sometimes you will trend toward a better polar orientation (more -EPO), but that doesn't favor deep cold/snow, it just mutes the warmup. 

https://media.tenor.com/2739Fe1Wj-QAAAAM/whomp-whomp.gif

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1 hour ago, WxUSAF said:

0z euro has Christmas Eve snow 

Not showing up well in the ens (yet?) but ops keep printing variations of a legit -nao in the d10-15 range. Primary reason why they are spitting out some winter wx. Can't really buy it yet but if ens shift towards the idea my interest will jump considerably. 0z EPS had some hints of the idea and 6z gefs took it a step further....

image.thumb.png.358d1231c2c44833e0415eab205904b7.png

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17 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Not showing up well in the ens (yet?) but ops keep printing variations of a legit -nao in the d10-15 range. Primary reason why they are spitting out some winter wx. Can't really buy it yet but if ens shift towards the idea my interest will jump considerably. 0z EPS had some hints of the idea and 6z gefs took it a step further....

image.thumb.png.358d1231c2c44833e0415eab205904b7.png

See Ji's post above yours!

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