LP08 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 2 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: UK looks like the GFS for Sunday Further west and sharper with the SW/PV interaction. Postive steps and vibes lol 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
87storms Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 1 hour ago, WxUSAF said: With potentially another Xmas torch staring us in the face, I decided to make a plot to see if it’s been as real as it feels or has been for years. So this plot is BWI above normal and much above normal (>=10F) occurrences from 2005-2024. Thicker lines are the year by year counts for each calendar day and thin lines are smoothed by 7 days. Short answer is yes…and the week after Xmas before new years has been the most torch prone. It’s like a mini version of Colorado’s two winters per season. Data nerd recommendation…a relative stacked bar (or line) chart based on the past 20 years with the separations based on the different deviations from average temps on that date. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 12 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Nice right entrance region of the jet max over us also around 6-12z on the gfs. Also an extremely strong temp gradient from the 925-700mb levels which contributes to baroclinicity. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 22 hours ago Author Share Posted 22 hours ago Its actually a bit better than the 12z GFS to be fair... C and NE MD get decent hit (12z UKIE 10:1 snow map close up) 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago No thread for this until Saturday. If someone does then weather will punish us for our audacity 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 22 hours ago Author Share Posted 22 hours ago 2 minutes ago, H2O said: No thread for this until Saturday. If someone does then weather will punish us for our audacity Not if we post an image of Superman IV to scare the weather into bringing us some snow 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 4 minutes ago, yoda said: Its actually a bit better than the 12z GFS to be fair... C and NE MD get decent hit (12z UKIE 10:1 snow map close up) I’d sell out for 2” at this point. DC can get 5” just give me some dang snow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago Two camps right now, GFS and UK south and CMC and Euro north. Will be interesting to see how it plays out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 9 minutes ago, SomeguyfromTakomaPark said: Two camps right now, GFS and UK south and CMC and Euro north. Will be interesting to see how it plays out. 0z and 6z euro looked a lot like gfs and ukie? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 1 minute ago, WxUSAF said: 0z and 6z euro looked a lot like gfs and ukie? Euro just further north as usual Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulythegun Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 2 24 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 5 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 0z and 6z euro looked a lot like gfs and ukie? 6z Euro looked a bit north..hopefully we can get it back shortly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 22 hours ago Author Share Posted 22 hours ago 60s for Christmas Eve on the 12z GFS lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago I’ll take a blend of euro and gfs for mby 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 1 minute ago, yoda said: 60s for Christmas Eve on the 12z GFS lol More or less normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 3 minutes ago, yoda said: 60s for Christmas Eve on the 12z GFS lol To 20's Christmas morning! lol That -nao is trying 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 22 hours ago Author Share Posted 22 hours ago 4 minutes ago, yoda said: 60s for Christmas Eve on the 12z GFS lol Around 40 for Christmas Day... so not too bad 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 1 minute ago, LP08 said: To 20's Christmas morning! lol That -nao is trying I'm fine if this is a one or three day event. I don't want to see this ridge just set up and bake for weeks on end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago WB 12Z GFS Christmas temp. anomaly compared to 6Z. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 2 minutes ago, yoda said: Around 40 for Christmas Day... so not too bad 1pm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 1 minute ago, mitchnick said: 1pm Much better. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago I mean...if we can get the ao/nao domain to start latching on to this idea....I know...way out in la la land. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 45 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: DC is a snow town? whoa Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 25 minutes ago, paulythegun said: Legit lol 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 44 minutes ago, yoda said: Its actually a bit better than the 12z GFS to be fair... C and NE MD get decent hit (12z UKIE 10:1 snow map close up) might be 6" depending on ratios in DC 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago Euro AI is consistent with the idea of coastal development on Sunday. Definitely the solution PHL-BOS is rooting for. Don’t know how much snow for our area. Probably 1-3”ish? 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 2 hours ago, Interstate said: Short Pump. Randy only knows about Long Pump. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Nice for dc/balt, the shaft for Mitch, psu and me 8 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LP08 Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Euro had the same trends at 500 that we saw on the GFS. Couple more ticks and the LP gets going sooner... 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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