December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[Damage In Tolland]

Oh boy ….

[dendrite]

22 minutes ago, UnitedWx said:

Logic... not a favorite theme here at times 

Pretty sure he suggested I’m canceling winter which is quite the contrary. It’s long and unrelenting and will be here until April…and I dread it.

Here’s the cliff notes for trying to mentally decipher my posts….

• The only things I care about in winter are my chickens, plants, and energy bill. I’m no longer ACATT. 
• I wish winter was shorter
• I want at least 6” of pack (10” is better) throughout the portion of the season when single digits or colder are common
• I will always enjoy a good snowstorm
• I can do without below 0F temps
• Yet I still enjoy the week of peak deepest winter that we get
• I do not cancel winter before March 
• Despite what weather I wish for I always try to be a realist here
• I like to troll 
• 76% of my posts contain some level of sarcasm and the other 24% usually aren’t serious

[dendrite]

Anyway…haven’t been above 36° here since 11/29. It will be close tomorrow. 

[UnitedWx]

8 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Pretty sure he suggested I’m canceling winter which is quite the contrary. It’s long and unrelenting and will be here until April…and I dread it.

Here’s the cliff notes for trying to mentally decipher my posts….

• The only things I care about in winter are my chickens, plants, and energy bill. I’m no longer ACATT. 
• I wish winter was shorter
• I want at least 6” of pack (10” is better) throughout the portion of the season when single digits or colder are common
• I will always enjoy a good snowstorm
• I can do without below 0F temps
• Yet I still enjoy the week of peak deepest winter that we get
• I do not cancel winter before March 
• Despite what weather I wish for I always try to be a realist here
• I like to troll 
• 76% of my posts contain some level of sarcasm and the other 24% usually aren’t serious

Sorry I didn't see that he was talking to you..  I thought it was a generalization

[Layman]

7 minutes ago, dendrite said:

 

• 76% of my posts contain some level of sarcasm and the other 24% usually aren’t serious

 

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

Anyway…haven’t been above 36° here since 11/29. It will be close tomorrow. 

I'm struggling to determine where this one falls... 

[Krs4Lfe]

18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I know. Ugly.

December 2022 cold and January-March 2023 torch incoming ? Don’t laugh at that idea too much. La ninas usually put their eggs in the basket early. If that basket isn’t full early on, it likely never becomes full 

[CoastalWx]

11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Pretty sure he suggested I’m canceling winter which is quite the contrary. It’s long and unrelenting and will be here until April…and I dread it.

Here’s the cliff notes for trying to mentally decipher my posts….

• The only things I care about in winter are my chickens, plants, and energy bill. I’m no longer ACATT. 
• I wish winter was shorter
• I want at least 6” of pack (10” is better) throughout the portion of the season when single digits or colder are common
• I will always enjoy a good snowstorm
• I can do without below 0F temps
• Yet I still enjoy the week of peak deepest winter that we get
• I do not cancel winter before March 
• Despite what weather I wish for I always try to be a realist here
• I like to troll 
• 76% of my posts contain some level of sarcasm and the other 24% usually aren’t serious

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I know. Ugly.

I’d prefer that to the constantly dangling carrot that we can never reach. Like 2011-12 was great because we knew it was awful.

And by March, it was full blown spring.

[dendrite]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

If you got winter every year you’d feel like me too. 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, dendrite said:

If you got winter every year you’d feel like me too. 

That icon is me now after the last 4 years. 

[CoastalWx]

Only put me in a straight jacket. 

[dendrite]

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That icon is me now after the last 4 years. 

I would like winter a lot more if I didn’t get cold or snow like you. 

[qg_omega]

Looks like winter is over, complete breakdown of the pattern to a full on CONUS torch

[weathafella]

Anthony isn’t posting. Nuff said.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

11 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Anthony isn’t posting. Nuff said.

Theres only so many ways a turd can be polished

[Sey-Mour Snow]

21 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Anthony isn’t posting. Nuff said.

18z gfs gives him 1-2” around Christmas.. 

18z gfs is cold and active almost like the pattern we were just in just further north. 6 disturbances coming down from Canada after the Friday Grinch. Maybe we will be the new “Virginia from the first half of December”. 

[Damage In Tolland]

Weeklies are trash . Recall how abysmal they were last winter. Even earlier in Nov they were not nearly cold enough for December. Absolute trash . Toss

[cleetussnow]

28 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Anthony isn’t posting. Nuff said.

Yeah. There’s your real wooly bear sign right there.  Fat squirrels have nothing on him.  

[Spanks45]

One way to look at it, sure is nice to have the cold air close by. Its seems like we haven't had that for years.....But on the flip side, that is a lot of warm air nearby as well. So yes, there will most likely be a lot of have and have nots moving forward. Hopefully since we have suffered for the past 4 years, hopefully this sets up somewhere in PA and we can all rejoice. But I as well as many know it doesn't work that way, soooo.....We watch

[WinterWolf]

19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Weeklies are trash . Recall how abysmal they were last winter. Even earlier in Nov they were not nearly cold enough for December. Absolute trash . Toss

Have to agree with you there…they were horrible last year.   And anything past week 2 is a complete joke anyway imo..no matter what it shows.  So, as of now, toss that January look is right. 

[WinterWolf]

28 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

18z gfs gives him 1-2” around Christmas.. 

18z gfs is cold and active almost like the pattern we were just in just further north. 6 disturbances coming down from Canada after the Friday Grinch. Maybe we will be the new “Virginia from the first half of December”. 

Off hour runs again…but hey, as TBlizz said the other day, it’s what it shows.  

[CoastalWx]

I’d be cautious about tossing it. 

[WinterWolf]

10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’d be cautious about tossing it. 

Week 3 plus…toss. They sucked ass last year.  

[Damage In Tolland]

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’d be cautious about tossing it. 

Wouldn’t it blow EmassWx winter forecast all up if winter ended next week?

[ORH_wxman]

48 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

18z gfs gives him 1-2” around Christmas.. 

18z gfs is cold and active almost like the pattern we were just in just further north. 6 disturbances coming down from Canada after the Friday Grinch. Maybe we will be the new “Virginia from the first half of December”. 

I think we’re def gonna have chances over the final 10 days of the month. It just will come with a lot of risk. There’s some weird blocking that’s been showing up too and the orientation of that will be a factor too. There aren’t a ton of analog patterns to that look. It’s kind of an unstable wave pattern there. 

[Ginx snewx]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Pretty sure he suggested I’m canceling winter which is quite the contrary. It’s long and unrelenting and will be here until April…and I dread it.

Here’s the cliff notes for trying to mentally decipher my posts….

• The only things I care about in winter are my chickens, plants, and energy bill. I’m no longer ACATT. 
• I wish winter was shorter
• I want at least 6” of pack (10” is better) throughout the portion of the season when single digits or colder are common
• I will always enjoy a good snowstorm
• I can do without below 0F temps
• Yet I still enjoy the week of peak deepest winter that we get
• I do not cancel winter before March 
• Despite what weather I wish for I always try to be a realist here
• I like to troll 
• 76% of my posts contain some level of sarcasm and the other 24% usually aren’t serious

Ditto 

[CoastalWx]

10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Week 3 plus…toss. They sucked ass last year.  

They weren’t all that bad last year and there’s a lot of factors why January could start hostile. I think many called for that.

[WinterWolf]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

They weren’t all that bad last year and there’s a lot of factors why January could start hostile. I think many called for that.

What was said was furnace All of January…I’m not buying that on 12/16…but that’s just me.  

[MJO812]

26 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’d be cautious about tossing it. 

They are horrible and nothing suggests big warmth.

Gefs is also limiting the warmth moving forward once again

[CoastalWx]

Just now, WinterWolf said:

What was said was furnace All of January…I’m not buying that on 12/16…but that’s just me.  

Higher odds for AN January that’s for sure.