December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

Love a melt before Christmas. 

No melt. Just meh.

[brooklynwx99]

meanwhile, RGEM is coming in even more amped lmao

[dendrite]

Kinda glad this one will be south of here. 

I’m already sick of clearing snow. 

[moneypitmike]

1 hour ago, ineedsnow said:

18z HRRR way looks better 

is this post a joke?   Serious question.

[Ginx snewx]

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

No melt. Just meh.

Definitely melted

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Definitely melted

Is what it is son. Let’s talk about Epicosity on Saturday.

[Ginx snewx]

10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Is what it is son. Let’s talk about Epicosity on Saturday.

Your words pops. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

26 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

meanwhile, RGEM is coming in even more amped lmao

The eternal optimist.

[powderfreak]

Just absolutely rugged out.

9F, gusty winds, arctic fine flake snow adding 2-3” more today, blowing snow, sub-zero wind chills.

 

[SouthCoastMA]

6 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Just absolutely rugged out.

9F, gusty winds, arctic fine flake snow adding 2-3” more today, blowing snow, sub-zero wind chills.

 

Banner start for you. Stowe is a magical place

[eduggs]

35 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

meanwhile, RGEM is coming in even more amped lmao

I think it improved early in the run but then shifted east at the end. The ICON did the same.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Gfs might be ever so slightly better through 48?

[Boston Bulldog]

Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Gfs might be ever so slightly better through 48?

Yep, small tick NW with the 500mb low. Tiny move though

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Remarkable consistency from the icon. Barely moved from 12z

[SouthCoastMA]

GFS should be a better graze, but nothing like the RGEM or Euro is my guess. 

[eduggs]

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Gfs might be ever so slightly better through 48?

Yup. But the magnitude of run to run changes is so small at this time range now that it will be really difficult to see big improvements. The range of outcomes has significantly narrowed.

[MJO812]

Just now, eduggs said:

Yup. But the magnitude of run to run changes is so small at this time range now that it will be really difficult to see big improvements. The range of outcomes has significantly narrowed.

Still early for the gfs

[SouthCoastMA]

5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Gfs might be ever so slightly better through 48?

went from like 1.2" to 1.5"

[moneypitmike]

2 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

GFS should be a better graze, but nothing like the RGEM or Euro is my guess. 

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

2 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

GFS should be a better graze, but nothing like the RGEM or Euro is my guess. 

Getting late in the game. It was a closer graze, but it would take 5 more moves like that to just get anything even remotely interesting

[ORH_wxman]

Slightly improvements on rgem and GFS but we’re at the point where it can’t trend back. It has to keep ticking better for this to be a solid event outside of the south coast and far SE/Cape. 

[ORH_wxman]

It’s kind of a tease because if you amped this up just a little, you’d probably have quite an intense fronto band with good ratios…difference between a 1-2” scraper and a 5-8” fluff job. 

[UnitedWx]

4 hours ago, ORH_wxman said:

Lot of posters on tilt already on 12/11 

I don't really expect a "pack" in December... but i feel very lucky for what we have on the ground in my area.  It's SOLID after the showers last night. Hope that's not twisting the knife too much...