December 2025 regional war/obs/disco thread

[Torch Tiger]

It's put-up or shutup time, no doubt about it.  12/6 already, and we know about that pesky sun angle a month and a half from now...tick tock!!

[40/70 Benchmark]

Right on schedule....first major event December 2007.....12/13. December 2008.....12/19. 

Keep the faith-

[Torch Tiger]

4 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Right on schedule....first major event December 2007.....12/13. December 2008.....12/19. 

Keep the faith-

for who?

[40/70 Benchmark]

2005...Dec 9th. 2017....Dec 10th. 1970...12/17. 2000.....Dec 30

I had 7 December analogs, and only one had a major event week 1...1981.   2021  had none, and 2000 was 12/30. The other 4 were all either week 2 or 3. It's not blind-weenie faith, as I have posted a great deal of research. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

Hell, I didn't use 1995...but first warning event in my hood that month was 12/14. 12/9 fell a bit short.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Went look ar 00z

[Torch Tiger]

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

2005...Dec 9th. 2017....Dec 10th. 1970...12/17. 2000.....Dec 30

I had 7 December analogs, and only one had a major event week 1...1981.   2021  had none, and 2000 was 12/30. The other 5 were all either week 2 or 3. It's not blind-weenie faith, as I have posted a great deal of research. 

Yeah we could see a decent snowstorm sometime in December; that's objectively true, you are correct. 

btw 12/17 was forgettable to most

[Torch Tiger]

I would take 12/9/05 every single day for the rest of my life even if I knew the rest of the winter would suck

[Snowcrazed71]

7 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Went look ar 00z

Huh?

[40/70 Benchmark]

4 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Yeah we could see a decent snowstorm sometime in December; that's objectively true, you are correct. 

btw 12/17 was forgettable to most

I keyed in on the second week in my work, but third is possible.

[40/70 Benchmark]

2 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Huh?

Knowing him, he meant "won't look at 00z", because it probably sucked.

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Knowing him, he meant "won't look at 00z", because it probably sucked.

I meant, went poof at 00z lol

[40/70 Benchmark]

12 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

I meant, went poof at 00z lol

I don't need to look at guidance....just posters. I know what is going on by who reacts, and how.

[WxWatcher007]

13th still on the Euro. Models will waffle for a while. Main takeaway is that the pattern is ripe for something. No need to live and die on each run.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

13th still on the Euro. Models will waffle for a while. Main takeaway is that the pattern is ripe for something. No need to live and die on each run.

I won't event look at an OP until like Tuesday.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Right on schedule....first major event December 2007.....12/13. December 2008.....12/19. 

Keep the faith-

I have no doubt it will be a good December.  Already off to a great start in WNE.   Before NYE I'm expecting at least one or two  1"-3" events and at least one warning event for you and me.  

[40/70 Benchmark]

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/12/significant-snows-likely-on-horizon-mid.html

[WinterWolf]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Knowing him, he meant "won't look at 00z", because it probably sucked.

I thought the same…all you need to know. 

[Torch Tiger]

[ineedsnow]

1 hour ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Huh?

[Modfan2]

Clipper mid week looks like a North of Pike deal.

[qg_omega]

5 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

https://easternmassweather.blogspot.com/2025/12/significant-snows-likely-on-horizon-mid.html

Aggressive call

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, Modfan2 said:

Clipper mid week looks like a North of Pike deal.

Been that way for days. More like NNE.