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November 2025 general discussions and probable topic derailings ...


Typhoon Tip
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3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The other concerning thing is lack of coastals this fall. We had 1. The nor’easter . Everything else has been cutters and fropas with a ton of wind which looks to Continue the next few weeks. 

We’ve had a few coastals. Looks like CT is screwed then.

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That U-shape to climate change over North America should be engrained in your brain… where Bangor Maine is +4 while DFW is less than +1 over the same time frame.  This of course follows the behavior of the jet. The cold has increasing propensity to dump over the central US, but warmer SST’s especially with latitude is generating more inland runners. Shortwaves are finding less suppression as they travel east. No surprises here. The observational snowfall in the northeast has also followed with significant winters in Vermont and Upstate NY and the far interiors of NH and Maine. There will be exceptions of course, but this is new key persistence to factor into your seasonal forecasts, especially when this tendency is showing itself in real time, as it is now.

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Nice little scooter high nudging in for the SWFE at the end of the EURO run. It’d be refreshing to see HP timing and placement coalesce with approaching shortwaves for maximum potential rather than decaying HP’s exiting stage right every damn time.

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1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said:

Nice little scooter high nudging in for the SWFE at the end of the EURO run. It’d be refreshing to see HP timing and placement coalesce with approaching shortwaves for maximum potential rather than decaying HP’s exiting stage right every damn time.

Agreed.  It’s a different year, we’ll have our chances.  

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51 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Meh. Been nothing special. Greta.

But It’s also been consistent…that was my point. Doesn’t mean anything with regard to the upcoming winter season, just like only a couple coastals means nothing either..only that it has been consistently cool/cold for autumn and November. 

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1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The other concerning thing is lack of coastals this fall. We had 1. The nor’easter . Everything else has been cutters and fropas with a ton of wind which looks to Continue the next few weeks. 

Well there, you have it. Winter's canceled. Nothing good is going to happen. On to next winter. I guess we'll see you on here then.

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