Brian D Posted October 30 Share Posted October 30 Roller coaster pattern with precip mainly confined to N areas of the sub, and some LER/S for early Nov is what it looks like. Hoping mid month will see some decent organized stuff. I have something possible for Veteran's day on the 11th, and the pattern mid month may produce something worth talking about. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted Saturday at 02:21 PM Share Posted Saturday at 02:21 PM with roughly 4.0" for Toledo (August to October) this puts the area near one of the worst three-month (August to October) drought periods (46% or normal rainfall) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Saturday at 03:01 PM Share Posted Saturday at 03:01 PM Lake spinners today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted Saturday at 07:19 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:19 PM Saw some graupel in Rock Falls an hour ago or so. First winter precip on the books. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spartman Posted Saturday at 07:36 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:36 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted Sunday at 02:41 PM Author Share Posted Sunday at 02:41 PM Wind adv out for today for strong SW winds. Leaves are blowing around pretty good. Last few days, lots of tweety flocks, and even a few geese flocks moving through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted Monday at 02:04 AM Share Posted Monday at 02:04 AM 31 at DTW this morning. 20s in outlying areas. First official freeze of the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Monday at 12:22 PM Share Posted Monday at 12:22 PM b2b2b gfs runs hinting at wintery mix potential this weekend, probably a mirage but it's about that time of year 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted Monday at 02:46 PM Share Posted Monday at 02:46 PM Past few runs of the EPS really trying to sell our first snow chcs of the season up here. Something to keep an eye on, fs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted Monday at 06:24 PM Share Posted Monday at 06:24 PM The GFS is the only model showing any real snow this weekend around here, but all models show the first big push of arctic air. It looks brief, however. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted Monday at 11:42 PM Share Posted Monday at 11:42 PM 8 hours ago, nvck said: Past few runs of the EPS really trying to sell our first snow chcs of the season up here. Something to keep an eye on, fs Mt Pleasant, CMU student? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted Tuesday at 12:53 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 12:53 PM On 11/3/2025 at 6:22 AM, A-L-E-K said: b2b2b gfs runs hinting at wintery mix potential this weekend, probably a mirage but it's about that time of year gfs still selling, others not far off gonna be a raw one either way, especially lakeside 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OrdIowPitMsp Posted Tuesday at 02:07 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 02:07 PM Watching the first potential action of the season bump south with each GFS run. Model mayhem season is underway. If anything falls here this weekend it will most likely be frozen. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted Tuesday at 04:14 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 04:14 PM 16 hours ago, Stebo said: Mt Pleasant, CMU student? yessir! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian D Posted Tuesday at 04:45 PM Author Share Posted Tuesday at 04:45 PM And so it begins (on the MN Deer Hunting opener) on Sat. YAH U Betcha! Saturday A chance of snow, mainly after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 37. Calm wind becoming southwest around 5 mph in the morning. Saturday Night A slight chance of snow before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 22. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Sunday A chance of flurries. Partly sunny, with a high near 36. Northwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Sunday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 20. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph. Monday Mostly sunny, with a high near 36. Northwest wind 5 to 10 mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted Tuesday at 05:13 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 05:13 PM 58 minutes ago, nvck said: yessir! Nice, FIRE UP, class of 08 here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted Tuesday at 08:03 PM Share Posted Tuesday at 08:03 PM Looks like about 60% of members on the 12z EPS have some snow during the day on Sunday, with that percentage closer to 90 when you include Monday, and the possible LE snow. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted yesterday at 01:32 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:32 PM it's boring but these sunny 60 degree days in november are quite nice first flakes showing up in my point now tho 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Some models had already been teasing some snow mixing in across Iowa. Now the Euro has finally joined them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nvck Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Not sure why the gif is reversed, but I like the trend on the eps honing in on a deeper low, located right near the MI/OH/IN border, which would be pretty favorable for snow for us in michigan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stevo6899 Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Now the euro is showing a more respectable storm. Bullseye around lapeer with 6+. Giving me Nov 11 historic early snow vibes. Looks like a slow mover as it digs and deformation snows deliver the goods. It seems like yrs since ive tracked a legit snow threat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Starting to get excited about the potential on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 9 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said: Some models had already been teasing some snow mixing in across Iowa. Now the Euro has finally joined them. Euro seems to be trending towards what the GFS has been showing for days. Looks like the Euro may be getting schooled by the GFS if trends continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago track would be a banger month or two later but should be a white rain event at best imby few models selling some LES making it's way into NE IL, riding obviously 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago track would be a banger month or two laterbut, would it be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jackstraw Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 2 hours ago, A-L-E-K said: track would be a banger month or two later but should be a white rain event at best imby few models selling some LES making it's way into NE IL, riding obviously Hopefully it's a trendsetter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frog Town Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Curious to see if these new AI models, and their more southern tracks, win out on this one?? Very consistent and did well this Summer and Fall... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sbnwx85 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago It was the frostiest morning of the season so far. If you squinted it kind of looked like snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
roardog Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 44 minutes ago, Frog Town said: Curious to see if these new AI models, and their more southern tracks, win out on this one?? Very consistent and did well this Summer and Fall... Since AI is supposed to learn, it probably just looked at the last 10 years of every winter storm tracking south and weaker of the projected track a few days out. lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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