Damage In Tolland Posted Thursday at 06:11 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:11 PM Euro alone. CMC drops 5-15” of rain and loop de loops for days 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted Thursday at 06:22 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:22 PM 25 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Zzzzzzz up here just like always, although a good wind out of the E tends to be somewhat destructive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Thursday at 06:34 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:34 PM JMA is days and days. Loops back like 91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted Thursday at 06:36 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:36 PM 26 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Euro alone. CMC drops 5-15” of rain and loop de loops for days GFS has been consistent on showers Sunday into Monday with 20-30mph wind for most (besides immediate coast) with coastal flooding the biggest issue. The hype on this storm is ridiculous. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Thursday at 06:37 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:37 PM 2 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said: JMA is days and days. Loops back like 91 Hopefully we can get some big solutions once models figure all this out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Thursday at 06:38 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:38 PM 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: GFS has been consistent on showers Sunday into Monday with 20-30mph wind for most, with coastal flooding the biggest issue. The hype on this storm is ridiculous. I don't know.. some of these solutions are pretty wild.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Thursday at 06:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:44 PM 31 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Euro alone. CMC drops 5-15” of rain and loop de loops for days that's the wildest solution I've seen so far.. loops back and still going day 10!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted Thursday at 06:49 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:49 PM We all know how these go… they wrap up, loop a little and then drift east. And if the loop is too soon then zzzzzz 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Thursday at 06:59 PM Share Posted Thursday at 06:59 PM 50 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said: Euro is just another model now. Has been for years as you know. Also, hope all is well man. Good to have you back. Thanks Don…good to be back and tracking something for a change…been a long stretch of boring weather. And yes, you are so right…it’s just another model now is right. You’d think they’d go and put it back to whatever setup/algorithm or whatever it was that made it so darn good…And go with that set up. Because it ain’t even close to the model it was decade ago..it’s regressed so badly. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Thursday at 07:04 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:04 PM It'll end up being a climo nor'easter in the end. most likely ... 2 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Thursday at 07:20 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:20 PM 43 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Hopefully we can get some big solutions once models figure all this out I hope not, was hoping for extended nice wx. Also have a job interview Monday :p Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted Thursday at 07:30 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:30 PM 29 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Thanks Don…good to be back and tracking something for a change…been a long stretch of boring weather. And yes, you are so right…it’s just another model now is right. You’d think they’d go and put it back to whatever setup/algorithm or whatever it was that made it so darn good…And go with that set up. Because it ain’t even close to the model it was decade ago..it’s regressed so badly. The more likely scenario is the other models have caught up is what happened… instead of the Euro going backwards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Thursday at 07:36 PM Share Posted Thursday at 07:36 PM 4 minutes ago, powderfreak said: The more likely scenario is the other models have caught up is what happened… instead of the Euro going backwards. I don’t think so…yes the other models got better, but the euro jumps all over now…and close in. Didn’t really do that before(very rarely)..that’s the difference. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Thursday at 08:18 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:18 PM I prefer all-or-nothing, heavy flooding and damage or coc sunny and 60. Looks like the worst-case scenario with light steady winds/gusts, nusciance rain bands 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted Thursday at 08:18 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:18 PM I’m sure it’s probably already been mentioned but holy crap if this happened in winter 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted Thursday at 08:25 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:25 PM 7 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said: I’m sure it’s probably already been mentioned but holy crap if this happened in winter outside of January, I could see this a big rainer with maybe elevation snows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted Thursday at 08:32 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:32 PM 1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: GFS has been consistent on showers Sunday into Monday with 20-30mph wind for most (besides immediate coast) with coastal flooding the biggest issue. The hype on this storm is ridiculous. That's DIT for ya. Last week he was saying how dry it's going to be for weeks and weeks and weeks through the end of November. Now he's talking about some apocalyptic storm. Poor guy 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowcrazed71 Posted Thursday at 08:34 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:34 PM 1 hour ago, Typhoon Tip said: It'll end up being a climo nor'easter in the end. most likely ... I agree Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted Thursday at 08:41 PM Share Posted Thursday at 08:41 PM 1 hour ago, WinterWolf said: I don’t think so…yes the other models got better, but the euro jumps all over now…and close in. Didn’t really do that before(very rarely)..that’s the difference. Fair enough, the urban legend continues to grow for the Euro of old, ha. I was just thinking even if the Euro is consistent now, we still don’t trust it like we used to against the others. It’s too bad. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Thursday at 09:05 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:05 PM We’ve all got some damage coming. Big signals now . Enjoy it folks 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Thursday at 09:15 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:15 PM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChangeofSeasonsWX Posted Thursday at 09:47 PM Share Posted Thursday at 09:47 PM We have yet to see another non-tropical system that matches the violence of November 1950. That really was a one of a kind setup as far as non-hurricane wind impacts go. Nothing else even comes close. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 10:02 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:02 PM Well 18z gfs certainly got wetter lol. Man this storm is all over the place. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Go Kart Mozart Posted Thursday at 10:04 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:04 PM 10 minutes ago, ChangeofSeasonsWX said: We have yet to see another non-tropical system that matches the violence of November 1950. That really was a one of a kind setup as far as non-hurricane wind impacts go. Nothing else even comes close. You can find online videos of the Ohio State vs. Michigan game played during that storm, which was a full-on blizzard in Columbus. The teams were punting on first down. https://www.google.com/search?q=osu+michigan+1950&oq=osu+michigan+1950&gs_lcrp=EgZjaHJvbWUyBggAEEUYOdIBCjEwMjE2ajBqMTWoAgiwAgE&sourceid=chrome&ie=UTF-8#fpstate=ive&vld=cid:a7aac814,vid:S85War5TWRk,st:0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Thursday at 10:08 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:08 PM 21 minutes ago, ChangeofSeasonsWX said: We have yet to see another non-tropical system that matches the violence of November 1950. That really was a one of a kind setup as far as non-hurricane wind impacts go. Nothing else even comes close. That storm also cut over WV to the lakes. So there’s that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Thursday at 10:58 PM Share Posted Thursday at 10:58 PM 56 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Well 18z gfs certainly got wetter lol. Man this storm is all over the place. Red herring's still on the table I'm noticing a weakening trend in the H500s that's very subtle over the last 2 days ( look at 18z two days ago and compare it to this run...etc). Eventual if that continues and it this slips below a forcing threshold it's a laugher. It's just not a convincing signal. But sure why not 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted Thursday at 11:25 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:25 PM 18Z Euro increasing qpf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted Thursday at 11:44 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:44 PM 2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Where do you find these graphics? lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Thursday at 11:48 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:48 PM 8 minutes ago, CT Rain said: Where do you find these graphics? lol I run them off my phone. It works great ! So many sources and it’s how I formulate my wind ideas . I saw you guys have 40-60 in CT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Thursday at 11:51 PM Share Posted Thursday at 11:51 PM 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: I run them off my phone. It works great ! So many sources and it’s how I formulate my wind ideas 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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