donsutherland1 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: whats the latest that either or both had 4 consecutive 80 degree highs Don? I noticed the records for the date were from 1944 and 1949, both years had endless summers. Central Park: October 11-14, 1954 Newark: October 15-18, 1908 Both Simultaneously: October 11-14, 1954 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, bluewave said: Nice to see the 12z CMC finally come on board with a more NW phase and closer to coast surface low. https://weather.gc.ca/model_forecast/global_e.html why no Canadian model runs on Tropical Tidbits or Pivotal ? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Models have rain moving in just after midnight Sunday now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, LibertyBell said: NYC adjusted upward? The evening news said the high at NYC was 79 No adjustment. The high of 80 occurred early in the afternoon. The station never checked the preliminary climate report before going on air. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago models showing up to 5 inches of rain for the central/south NJ Shore, 1-3 elsewhere with less far north 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Beneficial rains on the 12z Euro. Maybe for once we can get a short term NW trend next few days. That way the heaviest axis of rain could shift from CNJ to NYC to Southern CT And LI. But I will take any prolonged soaking rains I can get at this point. Glad to see the coastal storm track showing more life than we have seen in over a year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 12z Euro AI 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Big Jims Videos Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago closely monitoring this weekend system. Beaches for the most part up in Northern Ocean/Monmouth survived the offshore hurricanes quite well. The spring/summer replenishment from Lavallette to Bay Head held as well. I would be concerned about unprotected beaches like Belmar/Avon/Asbury Park if this holds. Will Walt be starting a thread on this? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 15 minutes ago, Big Jims Videos said: closely monitoring this weekend system. Beaches for the most part up in Northern Ocean/Monmouth survived the offshore hurricanes quite well. The spring/summer replenishment from Lavallette to Bay Head held as well. I would be concerned about unprotected beaches like Belmar/Avon/Asbury Park if this holds. Will Walt be starting a thread on this? 12z Euro has 60mph+ gusts on Jersey Shore from Sunday into Monday. Implied storm surge currently 2-4 feet. On top of astronomical tides would yield widespread moderate coastal flooding at times of high tides with a chance low end major levels could be reached. Will depend on the exact track and duration of strongest onshore winds. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 minute ago, bluewave said: 12z Euro has 60mph+ gusts on Jersey Shore from Sunday into Monday. Implied storm surge currently 2-4 feet. On top of astronomical tides would yield widespread moderate coastal flooding at times of high tides with a chance low end major levels could be reached. Will depend on the exact track and duration of strongest onshore winds. Inland track could be devastating. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago 43 minutes ago, Big Jims Videos said: closely monitoring this weekend system. Beaches for the most part up in Northern Ocean/Monmouth survived the offshore hurricanes quite well. The spring/summer replenishment from Lavallette to Bay Head held as well. I would be concerned about unprotected beaches like Belmar/Avon/Asbury Park if this holds. Will Walt be starting a thread on this? Yes... I want to do some outside work while still daylight but all ensembles now on board, despite the 12z/8 CMCE OP OTS. widespread wind driven 1", iso MAX 4 12z Sun-12z Tue G 50-60 Mph LI NJ coasts, beach erosion, multiple cycles of at least MINOR CF, with potential for major NJ coast Sun and Mon highest tide cycles. Probably start it around 8P. 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 21 minutes ago Share Posted 21 minutes ago Records: Highs: EWR: 89 (2007) NYC: 87 (2007) LGA: 89 (2007) JFK: 90 (2007) Lows: EWR: 32 (1935) NYC: 37 (1988) LGA: 40 (1988) JFK: 40 (2001) Historical: 1871 - Prolonged drought and dessicating winds led to the great Chicago fire, the Peshtigo horror, and the Michigan fire holocaust. Fire destroyed more than seventeen thousand buildings killing more than 200 persons in the city of Chicago, while a fire consumed the town of Peshtigo WI killing more than 1100 persons. In Wisconsin, a million acres of land were burned, and in Michigan, 2.5 million acres were burned killing 200 persons. "Tornadoes of fire" generated by intense heat caused houses to explode in fire, and burned to death scores of persons seeking refuge in open fields. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1871: The Great Chicago Fire burns much of the city to the ground, fanned by strong southwest winds. An estimated 250 were killed. On the same night, forest fires swept through Peshtigo, Wisconsin. An estimated 1,500 to possibly as many as 2,500 dies as gale-force winds push flames across town. Severe drought blamed for tinder-dry conditions. 1878: An estimated F3 tornado struck Monticello, Iowa, around 5:30 pm. The Catholic Church was demolished, along with several homes. The business portion of the town was comparatively uninjured. While no lives were lost, 11 people were injured. The German Church in Richland township was destroyed, along with other buildings in the surrounding county. A wind and hail storm occurred during the evening hours in Sigourney, Iowa, causing considerable damage. Fences and shade trees were blown down, and much glass was broken by hail, which fell in large stones. 1901 - A deluge at Galveston, TX, produced nearly twelve inches of rain in about a six hour period. The rains came precisely thirteen months after the day of the famous Galveston hurricane disaster. (David Ludlum) 1919: An intense tornado moved through the town of Hoisington, 11 miles north of Great Bend, Kansas. It damaged or destroyed 60 homes which resulted in $200,000 in damages. Business papers and canceled checks were found at Lincoln, 55 miles to the northeast. 1946: A minimal Category 1 hurricane made landfall over Bradenton, Florida, before tracking north-northeast across Tampa Bay. The storm was the last hurricane to make direct landfall in the Tampa Bay area. 1982 - An unusually early snowstorm hit the northern Black Hills of Wyoming and South Dakota. The storm produced up to 54 inches of snow, and winds as high as 70 mph. The snowfall was very much dependent upon topography. Rapid City, 20 miles away, received just a trace of snow. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Unseasonably cold weather prevailed from the Upper Mississippi Valley to the southeastern U.S. Thirty cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Madison WI with a reading of 22 degrees. The low of 28 degrees at Evansville IN was the coolest of record for so early in the season. Hot weather continued in the southwestern U.S. Phoenix AZ reported a record high of 104 degrees and a record tying 116 days of 100 degree weather for the year. Tucson AZ established an all-time record with 72 days of 100 degree weather for the year. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Snow was reported across parts of northern New England. Two inches blanketed Mount Snow VT. Warm weather continued in the northwestern U.S. The afternoon high of 80 degrees at Stampede Pass WA exceeded their previous record for October by seven degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Morning lows in the 20s were reported from the Northern Plains to the Upper Great Lakes. International Falls MN and Marquette MI reported record lows of 22 degrees. Unseasonably warm weather prevailed in central California as the Oakland Athletics won the American League pennant. San Luis Obispo CA reported a high of 99 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted 14 minutes ago Share Posted 14 minutes ago Eps is amped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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