Spooky Season (October Disco Thread)

[WxWatcher007]

At the end of the day I think my peak season forecast will be ok, but some underperformances really hurt me near the end. That’s how it goes. It’s still disappointing. 

Was surprised there was no major threat. If not for Humberto, Imelda would’ve been a hit in the Carolinas. 

Yes, SSTs and OHC are only part of the equation. 

[tamarack]

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

Not sure if it was legit, but FVE briefly reported -SN at the ASOS this morning. 

There are echoes overhead there, and it's at 47.3° lat. and 985' asl.  Their average date for first flakes is probably about now.  (Unfortunately, the airport apparently doesn't report snow.)

[CoastalWx]

1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Absolutely...I equate it to squats in weightlifting.....it's the goliath of lifts, but it's so dependent upon balance, stability and mobility....all of these minute details that are requisite for the unleashing of such fury.

And sort of the opposite to a little dry air entrainment in a hurricane, one moist or liquid ppffffffffftttttttttttt can throw off the whole thing. 

[kdxken]

2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

We need the "sick brag, bro" clip from WEEI

Seven!

[dendrite]

8 minutes ago, tamarack said:

There are echoes overhead there, and it's at 47.3° lat. and 985' asl.  Their average date for first flakes is probably about now.  (Unfortunately, the airport apparently doesn't report snow.)

Well it was precipitating. The airport ASOS had a brief period of reported snow between the rain obs. The temp was around 37-38 at the time. My skepticism was whether or not it was actually snow of if was just cold rain and the instrumentation was reporting snow in error. Sometimes they do that with marginal temps and light precip. Vis only got down to 8-9 miles too.

[weatherwiz]

Tropical isn't really a high knowledgeable area of mine, but I thought coming into the season it wasn't going to be a hyperactive season just going off the basics. I think sometimes with this advance in technology and models there is too much infatuation with models and their outputs. Reading the seasonal outlooks from NOAA/Colorado, they always mention how simulations are ran hundreds or thousands of times...sometimes you just have to use the basics and knowledge.   

[powderfreak]

One year ago today we had a healthy dump above 1,500ft.

Tied for earliest 12” depth at the summit stake at 3,800ft.

10” at 3,000ft.

[weatherwiz]

Man that is a violent shortwave coming through early Monday. 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

And sort of the opposite to a little dry air entrainment in a hurricane, one moist or liquid ppffffffffftttttttttttt can throw off the whole thing. 

There is a reason why I void at least 3 times throughout the day before squatting.

[tamarack]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Well it was precipitating. The airport ASOS had a brief period of reported snow between the rain obs. The temp was around 37-38 at the time. My skepticism was whether or not it was actually snow of if was just cold rain and the instrumentation was reporting snow in error. Sometimes they do that with marginal temps and light precip. Vis only got down to 8-9 miles too.

Maybe some graupel?

[Chrisrotary12]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

Man that is a violent shortwave coming through early Monday. 

Going to make my 10a tournament in Dover, NH interesting.

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Going to make my 10a tournament in Dover, NH interesting.

The timing on this has slowed quite a bit. Going to be one heck of a squall going across the region. 

[WxWatcher007]

1 hour ago, weatherwiz said:

Tropical isn't really a high knowledgeable area of mine, but I thought coming into the season it wasn't going to be a hyperactive season just going off the basics. I think sometimes with this advance in technology and models there is too much infatuation with models and their outputs. Reading the seasonal outlooks from NOAA/Colorado, they always mention how simulations are ran hundreds or thousands of times...sometimes you just have to use the basics and knowledge.   

I thought slightly AN. Too bullish on the peak, but nailed the big lull and when the tropics would heat up. It was a pretty big comeback but this season never had the runway others did. 

[kdxken]

2 hours ago, dendrite said:

Well it was precipitating. The airport ASOS had a brief period of reported snow between the rain obs. The temp was around 37-38 at the time. My skepticism was whether or not it was actually snow of if was just cold rain and the instrumentation was reporting snow in error. Sometimes they do that with marginal temps and light precip. Vis only got down to 8-9 miles too.

 

[dendrite]

18 minutes ago, kdxken said:

 

That’s just radar algorithms…not ground truth. Cranky should know that.

[kdxken]

37 minutes ago, dendrite said:

That’s just radar algorithms…not ground truth. Cranky should know that.

 

[Torch Tiger]

6 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

We need the "sick brag, bro" clip from WEEI

ask and you shall receive https://soundcloud.com/itsbri-369369283/sickbragbro

[dendrite]

33 minutes ago, kdxken said:

 

Yeah I’m not surprised there’s some light flakeage up there. I’m just saying radar images with ptype algorithms based on surface temps don’t prove anything. 

[tamarack]

2 hours ago, kdxken said:

 

Mud season - mid-October until freeze-up, NNE's 5th season.

[HoarfrostHubb]

11 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Mud season - mid-October until freeze-up, NNE's 5th season.

So there are two mud seasons?

[Ginx snewx]

On 9/28/2025 at 5:17 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Literally not a drop next 14 days 

Lol woops

[powderfreak]

Cold day.

High was 32F up above 3,500ft.

First true day requiring hat and gloves on the hill.

Frosted tips from rime up high.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

Cold day.

High was 32F up above 3,500ft.

First true day requiring hat and gloves on the hill.

Frosted tips from rime up high.

I was on 17 East today from Middlebury to Hill Farmstead and customer visits. Saw some flurries up near MRG. Was my first time on that road. All those horse shoe and hair pin turns. I was so car sick and I was driving . Holy shit . That area is insane . I could see white trees up above 3500 ‘ or so . Maybe Rime ice?

[powderfreak]

13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I was on 17 East today from Middlebury to Hill Farmstead and customer visits. Saw some flurries up near MRG. Was my first time on that road. All those horse shoe and hair pin turns. I was so car sick and I was driving . Holy shit . That area is insane . I could see white trees up above 3500 ‘ or so . Maybe Rime ice?

Awesome, ha.  Yeah App Gap on RT 17 gets up near 2,400ft passing MRG… no shortage of switchbacks.  I bet there was rime ice from the high elevation clouds all up and down the Spine.

[kdxken]

Holy crap with the winds. Stronger than during the nor'easter.

[HoarfrostHubb]

10 minutes ago, kdxken said:

Holy crap with the winds. Stronger than during the nor'easter.

Just started hearing them now 

[ineedsnow]

45 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Just started hearing them now 

gust were pretty good all day

[Ginx snewx]

Its that time. Sign up for snow submissions 

 

[kdxken]

30 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

gust were pretty good all day

Worcester in the past few hours for the confused fella. 

 

[kdxken]

Connecticut too.