WxWatcher007 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago At the end of the day I think my peak season forecast will be ok, but some underperformances really hurt me near the end. That’s how it goes. It’s still disappointing. Was surprised there was no major threat. If not for Humberto, Imelda would’ve been a hit in the Carolinas. Yes, SSTs and OHC are only part of the equation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 hours ago, dendrite said: Not sure if it was legit, but FVE briefly reported -SN at the ASOS this morning. There are echoes overhead there, and it's at 47.3° lat. and 985' asl. Their average date for first flakes is probably about now. (Unfortunately, the airport apparently doesn't report snow.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 hour ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Absolutely...I equate it to squats in weightlifting.....it's the goliath of lifts, but it's so dependent upon balance, stability and mobility....all of these minute details that are requisite for the unleashing of such fury. And sort of the opposite to a little dry air entrainment in a hurricane, one moist or liquid ppffffffffftttttttttttt can throw off the whole thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: We need the "sick brag, bro" clip from WEEI Seven! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 8 minutes ago, tamarack said: There are echoes overhead there, and it's at 47.3° lat. and 985' asl. Their average date for first flakes is probably about now. (Unfortunately, the airport apparently doesn't report snow.) Well it was precipitating. The airport ASOS had a brief period of reported snow between the rain obs. The temp was around 37-38 at the time. My skepticism was whether or not it was actually snow of if was just cold rain and the instrumentation was reporting snow in error. Sometimes they do that with marginal temps and light precip. Vis only got down to 8-9 miles too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Tropical isn't really a high knowledgeable area of mine, but I thought coming into the season it wasn't going to be a hyperactive season just going off the basics. I think sometimes with this advance in technology and models there is too much infatuation with models and their outputs. Reading the seasonal outlooks from NOAA/Colorado, they always mention how simulations are ran hundreds or thousands of times...sometimes you just have to use the basics and knowledge. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago One year ago today we had a healthy dump above 1,500ft. Tied for earliest 12” depth at the summit stake at 3,800ft. 10” at 3,000ft. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Man that is a violent shortwave coming through early Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, CoastalWx said: And sort of the opposite to a little dry air entrainment in a hurricane, one moist or liquid ppffffffffftttttttttttt can throw off the whole thing. There is a reason why I void at least 3 times throughout the day before squatting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Well it was precipitating. The airport ASOS had a brief period of reported snow between the rain obs. The temp was around 37-38 at the time. My skepticism was whether or not it was actually snow of if was just cold rain and the instrumentation was reporting snow in error. Sometimes they do that with marginal temps and light precip. Vis only got down to 8-9 miles too. Maybe some graupel? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: Man that is a violent shortwave coming through early Monday. Going to make my 10a tournament in Dover, NH interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 2 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said: Going to make my 10a tournament in Dover, NH interesting. The timing on this has slowed quite a bit. Going to be one heck of a squall going across the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxWatcher007 Posted 56 minutes ago Share Posted 56 minutes ago 1 hour ago, weatherwiz said: Tropical isn't really a high knowledgeable area of mine, but I thought coming into the season it wasn't going to be a hyperactive season just going off the basics. I think sometimes with this advance in technology and models there is too much infatuation with models and their outputs. Reading the seasonal outlooks from NOAA/Colorado, they always mention how simulations are ran hundreds or thousands of times...sometimes you just have to use the basics and knowledge. I thought slightly AN. Too bullish on the peak, but nailed the big lull and when the tropics would heat up. It was a pretty big comeback but this season never had the runway others did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted 35 minutes ago Share Posted 35 minutes ago 2 hours ago, dendrite said: Well it was precipitating. The airport ASOS had a brief period of reported snow between the rain obs. The temp was around 37-38 at the time. My skepticism was whether or not it was actually snow of if was just cold rain and the instrumentation was reporting snow in error. Sometimes they do that with marginal temps and light precip. Vis only got down to 8-9 miles too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted 16 minutes ago Share Posted 16 minutes ago 18 minutes ago, kdxken said: That’s just radar algorithms…not ground truth. Cranky should know that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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