Met1985 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago WpcSent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Yeah, the chatter across the NWS and WPC has definitely increased today with GSP mentioning a Major Winter Storm this weekend. Of course there are many details to be worked out. I'm keeping an eye on a sneaky little disturbance Thursday for possibly an appetizer before the Big Show! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mstr4j Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago I asked in the other thread and got crickets - maybe it was posted in the wrong thread. Long time lurker, and I just have a simple question. GSP area bias (no snow since God knows when). Is the issue with the track based on the location of the high? The high seems rather powerful, I think it was depicted anywhere between a 1040-1058 so cold dry air shouldnt be an issue. But does the placement of the high (and it literally looks like a 30-50 mile difference) create enough WAA to give sleet and freezing rain vs freezing rain with a powerful high Iike that, which shouldn't budge? If im not mistaken the last few years the issue was too cold and we had suppression city with New Orleans getting almost a foot, and Myrtle Beach picking up 6 inches. Most of the snows in this area are CAD events right? Rain cools down column with low dew points, then sleet, before it turns into snow and you hope all your qpf wasn't used in the transition. I am just curious what makes this setup different. - thanks in advance! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maggie Valley Steve Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 8 minutes ago, mstr4j said: I asked in the other thread and got crickets - maybe it was posted in the wrong thread. Long time lurker, and I just have a simple question. GSP area bias (no snow since God knows when). Is the issue with the track based on the location of the high? The high seems rather powerful, I think it was depicted anywhere between a 1040-1058 so cold dry air shouldnt be an issue. But does the placement of the high (and it literally looks like a 30-50 mile difference) create enough WAA to give sleet and freezing rain vs freezing rain with a powerful high Iike that, which shouldn't budge? If im not mistaken the last few years the issue was too cold and we had suppression city with New Orleans getting almost a foot, and Myrtle Beach picking up 6 inches. Most of the snows in this area are CAD events right? Rain cools down column with low dew points, then sleet, before it turns into snow and you hope all your qpf wasn't used in the transition. I am just curious what makes this setup different. - thanks in advance! I believe that you folks in GSP area are extremely close to a dividing line due to a possibility of a pesky warm nose. That said, this far out (beyond 36 to 48 hours) it is a wait and see situation. There is little doubt that the potential is rather high for a Major Winter Storm from Central Texas and points E to the Atlantic Coast. I believe that certainty is all we can expect for a Storm 5 to 7 days out. You're welcome to hang out with our group. We may not be the most popular, but the knowledge base of our Mountain folk is second to none in my opinion. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 26 minutes ago, mstr4j said: I asked in the other thread and got crickets - maybe it was posted in the wrong thread. Long time lurker, and I just have a simple question. GSP area bias (no snow since God knows when). Is the issue with the track based on the location of the high? The high seems rather powerful, I think it was depicted anywhere between a 1040-1058 so cold dry air shouldnt be an issue. But does the placement of the high (and it literally looks like a 30-50 mile difference) create enough WAA to give sleet and freezing rain vs freezing rain with a powerful high Iike that, which shouldn't budge? If im not mistaken the last few years the issue was too cold and we had suppression city with New Orleans getting almost a foot, and Myrtle Beach picking up 6 inches. Most of the snows in this area are CAD events right? Rain cools down column with low dew points, then sleet, before it turns into snow and you hope all your qpf wasn't used in the transition. I am just curious what makes this setup different. - thanks in advance! Maggie Steve is right. It’s too early to say how stacked the cold air will be. All the players have been there for a while now so the devil is in the details as they say, so stay tuned 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago I'll take that southern swing on the 18Z GFS all day. More room to move NW. 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sw NC weather Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Let’s keep it down there till Wednesday. This could get fun yall if everything lines up perfectly. It’s been a while. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheoahBald1 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago I think we are in a real spot fellas, could be bad wrong. But that’s just my opinion.. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueRidgeFolklore Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago I feel like we’ve seen this movie a dozen times. This will correct NW over the coming days. If you’re in the Southern Mountains from Highlands to Saluda, get ready. 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 17 minutes ago, Sw NC weather said: Let’s keep it down there till Wednesday. This could get fun yall if everything lines up perfectly. It’s been a while. Maybe a decade now without a good overrunning event like this! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago You know you're a when you start giggling like a crazy person as you check each layer of the atmosphere, and see everything solidly below freezing 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Don't judge This will be my first, see the whites of its eyes, well above warning criteria winter system here in the upstate and no, I don't count 22 when I was in Fountain Inn 4 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 2 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: You know you're a when you start giggling like a crazy person as you check each layer of the atmosphere, and see everything solidly below freezing We are all feeling that. 3 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 2 minutes ago, buckeyefan1 said: You know you're a when you start giggling like a crazy person as you check each layer of the atmosphere, and see everything solidly below freezing Its a perfect setup for your area! 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 minute ago, franklin NCwx said: Its a perfect setup for your area! Yes it is! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BretWx Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago One solid thing about us Mountain Folks is that we watch and never weenie out. It will always be what it is. 7 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ncjoaquin Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Probably won't happen this way, but the end of the month totals on the GFS are fun ( or funny) to look at. Could you imagine this? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 13 minutes ago, ncjoaquin said: Probably won't happen this way, but the end of the month totals on the GFS are fun ( or funny) to look at. Could you imagine this? I would love nothing more than to bless its heart in the best way possible, instead of the usual 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago The Euro alone would be blockbuster for the rest of the winter.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mercurydime Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago As one who has The Lee Side Blues, this particular setup has my attention. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buckethead Posted 3 hours ago Author Share Posted 3 hours ago Not weather related...but worth noting that we are having one helluva solar storm right now. Sent from my SM-S908U using Tapatalk 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Crush job for most all of WNC on 18z Euro. Some mixing issues as you head SW, but showing mid teens at the surface. This is one powerful storm. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheoahBald1 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Crush job for most all of WNC on 18z Euro. Some mixing issues as you head SW, but showing mid teens at the surface. This is one powerful storm. HR 144? It looked like plenty more was behind that?. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hvward Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 18z EPS has nearly the same totals as the 12z. Widespread 6"+. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDawg Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago That south side cutoff on the Euro is brutal… The mid level warmth looks quite strong for a relatively weak storm and a decent track; FL panhandle to off Savannah. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 minute ago, SnowDawg said: That south side cutoff on the Euro is brutal… The mid level warmth looks quite strong for a relatively weak storm and a decent track; FL panhandle to off Savannah. Cad will trend stronger on globals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 1 hour ago, CheoahBald1 said: HR 144? It looked like plenty more was behind that? . 18Z euro only goes to 144. There was more coming. 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CheoahBald1 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 18Z euro only goes to 144. There was more coming.Nice! Thanks. Yeah I wasn’t sure if paid subscriptions could see past hr 144. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowbird1230 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Hate looking ahead but shouldn't this produce major NWFS on the backside with such bitter air crashing in behind the storm? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 19 minutes ago, snowbird1230 said: Hate looking ahead but shouldn't this produce major NWFS on the backside with such bitter air crashing in behind the storm? I would say so. Probably somewhat dependent on how far up the coast it goes. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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