psv88 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Looks like we take a step down by the end of next week. Low 60s highs. Usually our first cool day with highs under 60 is first week of October so we are on schedule 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Newark has reached 80 for the fourth consecutive day. The last time that happened after September 20th was October 1-4, 2023. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago This has to be one of the most consistently warm Septembers I remember. Not hot…just warm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 24 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: This has to be one of the most consistently warm Septembers I remember. Not hot…just warm The consistency has been remarkable. Smallest Mean Temperature Standard Deviation for September (through September 25th for 2025) for Central Park: 1. 1968 3.43°2. 2025 3.75° (10th smallest difference between the mean temperatures for the first and second halves of September) 3. 1870 3.81° (6th smallest difference between the mean temperatures for the first and second halves of September) 4. 2024 3.94° 5. 1908 4.08° 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 17 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: The consistency has been remarkable. Smallest Mean Temperature Standard Deviation for September (through September 25th for 2025) for Central Park: 1. 1968 3.43°2. 2025 3.75° (10th smallest difference between the mean temperatures for the first and second halves of September) 3. 1870 3.81° (6th smallest difference between the mean temperatures for the first and second halves of September) 4. 2024 3.94° 5. 1908 4.08° Wow! Incredible stat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Westhampton reached 81° this afternoon. That broke the daily record of 80° from 1961. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 3 hours ago, psv88 said: Looks like we take a step down by the end of next week. Low 60s highs. Usually our first cool day with highs under 60 is first week of October so we are on schedule I'd add 5 degrees to that step down, we'll be 65-70 for highs. We are on the western fringe of the cold pool aloft, as the cold shot is now offshore from earlier runs this week. Then back to the 70s for highs with the warmth continuing again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 10 minutes ago, uofmiami said: I'd add 5 degrees to that step down, we'll be 65-70 for highs. We are on the western fringe of the cold pool aloft, as the cold shot is now offshore from earlier runs this week. Then back to the 70s for highs with the warmth continuing again. First step down for me was adjusting the time the landscape lights popped on. Second step down is the pool closing on Monday haha. After that is shutting off the irrigation system :D 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Newark has reached 86°. That's the fourth time it has reached 86° or above during the second half of September. The last time there were at least four such days during the second half of September was 2019 when there were five such days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 55 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: Westhampton reached 81° this afternoon. That broke the daily record of 80° from 1961. That is a low record high, even for Westhampton. Meanwhile my high today was 81. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Rainfall amounts in the New York City area were generally less than the 0.50"-1.50" forecast amounts. There was a stripe of heavier rainfall in parts of Connecticut. Storm total amounts included: Hartford: 1.72" Islip: 0.30" New Haven: 1.34" New York City-Central Park: 0.35" New York City-JFK Airport: 1.38" New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 0.33" Newark: 0.17" Storrs: 2.76" White Plains: 0.47" As a result, New York City is on track to finish with rainfall that is below the 4.31" monthly normal value for September. Almost as if to add insult to injury to the dry New York City area, in the past hour, Phoenix has picked up 1.09" of rain, along with winds gusting to 56 mph. The 1.11" so far today is its biggest rainstorm since October 13, 2018. Above normal temperatures will continue through the remainder of September. Another round of showers is possible Saturday night into Sunday. A significant rainfall is unlikely. The guidance and historical experience following a second half September mean temperature of 70° or above suggest that October will be warmer than normal in the New York City area. The two most recent Octobers with a cooler than normal first half like 2025 and a second half with a mean temperature of 70° or above were: 2017 (October mean temperature: 64.1° and October 2019: October mean temperature 59.9°). The extent of ridging to the north and interaction between the Humberto and Invest. 94 could ultimately determine whether Invest. 94 poses an eventual threat to a portion of the Southeast or stays out to sea. The potential Fujiwhara interaction would be unusual for the Atlantic basin. Typically, if the stronger system is to the right or east of the weaker one (possibly Invest. 94 as per most of the guidance at present), the stronger system will tend to deflect the weaker one northward and eastward sooner than might otherwise be the case. If both systems are of similar strength, they can rotate counterclockwise around a midpoint roughly between the centers of the two storms as they move along the steering flow. Two plausible scenarios are landfall along the South Carolina coast or a sharp turn out to sea after an approach toward the coastline. For now, tropics bear watching for the Southeast. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.4°C for the week centered around September 17. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.03°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.38°C. La Niña conditions will likely develop during mid- or late-autumn. The SOI was +9.81 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.341 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 86% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 70.1° (0.9° above normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.1° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 1 hour ago, lee59 said: That is a low record high, even for Westhampton. Meanwhile my high today was 81. It was. Islip also tied its daily record of 85° from 1970. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WestBabylonWeather Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Sitting on the deck right now like it’s July 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 75 and sunny in Mahwah. Gorgeous out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago 84/71/86 4th day in row 80 plus with several more to come Summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago very dry stretch upcoming after tomorrow night, could last weeks again 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted 59 minutes ago Share Posted 59 minutes ago 5 hours ago, psv88 said: Looks like we take a step down by the end of next week. Low 60s highs. Usually our first cool day with highs under 60 is first week of October so we are on schedule Usually we have a high in the 60s with full sun by mid September so this year its way late and its only day so very weak with any cool down this year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted 54 minutes ago Share Posted 54 minutes ago 22 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: It was. Islip also tied its daily record of 85° from 1970. I was surprised Islip got that warm, only made it to 81 here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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