SACRUS Posted yesterday at 03:52 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:52 PM 72 / 51 here ENW flow Clouds movement is fun to watch today low level ENE to SSW and higher clouds SW to NE 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted yesterday at 05:18 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:18 PM 18 hours ago, Dark Star said: Sorry, that is contradictory. I laugh when I see people wearing sandals shorts, a coat and a winter ski hat. It's all about comfort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rclab Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago 12 hours ago, cleetussnow said: Trynna picture what happened between the 2nd and third frame lol A fantastic gymnastic move. Pulling the hoodie over with her hands, jumping up and inserting her feet in the hood while still holding on, then flipping out of it. I was not skilled enough to capture the brief video (a grandchild wasn’t with me). The best I could do was the screen shots. The young lady was amazing. As always ….. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago 5 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said: Yeah, but I follow A LOT of places. For the past decades/years, coop sites would routinely own all of the coldest statewide low temperatures. A lot of people referred to it as an "airport heat effect" but I'm seeing lots of airport sites now in the mix for coldest regional/state lows. They are doing WAY better when it comes to radiating heat away with these new sensors. I can see it with my own two eyes. I'm in the middle of the woods and the airport surrounded by concrete is routinely now seeing low temperatures as low as mine when it used to be several degrees hotter. That's not due to drought. I haven’t heard any information suggesting that the new sensors being installed at the airports have an inherent cold bias during radiational cooling events. The coldest temperature in NJ since late August wasn’t from an airport but at the Walpack ,NJ climate station. Plus KFOK which is at an airport has always been a great radiational cooling spot out in the Hamptons. So very cold readings at airports which happen to located in great radiational cooling locations like the Pine Barrens with sandy soil have been a common occurrence long before the new sensors began to get rolled out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago Tomorrow will be variably cloudy with a few showers possible in places. Highs will top out mainly in the upper 60s. Thursday could be briefly warmer with highs in the upper 70s to perhaps lower 80s. A scattered shower or thundershower is possible Thursday night into Friday as a cold front pushes through. September 1-15 is on track to achieve a solid cool anomaly. Since 2000, there have been nine years that saw a cooler than normal first half of September. Two-thirds of those years went on to record a warmer than normal second half of September. Only two of those years (2017 and 2019) wound up with a monthly mean temperature of 70.0° or above. Overall, for two-thirds of those years, the cool start was sufficiently cool to produce a cooler than normal monthly anomaly. The last year that saw both a cooler than normal first half and second half of September was 2009. Prior to that, it was 2001. The last year to record a cooler than normal first half of September followed by a warmer than normal September was 2024. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.3°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.4°C for the week centered around August 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.33°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.32°C. La Niña conditions will likely develop during mid- or late-autumn. The SOI was -13.78 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.461 today. Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 59% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal September (1991-2020 normal). September will likely finish with a mean temperature near 68.3° (0.9° below normal). Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 0.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 18 hours ago Share Posted 18 hours ago 77 today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago 76/45 my splits both Monday and Tuesday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago 76 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BobbyHolikWillFindYou Posted 17 hours ago Share Posted 17 hours ago 3 hours ago, bluewave said: I haven’t heard any information suggesting that the new sensors being installed at the airports have an inherent cold bias during radiational cooling events. The coldest temperature in NJ since late August wasn’t from an airport but at the Walpack ,NJ climate station. Plus KFOK which is at an airport has always been a great radiational cooling spot out in the Hamptons. So very cold readings at airports which happen to located in great radiational cooling locations like the Pine Barrens with sandy soil have been a common occurrence long before the new sensors began to get rolled out. Walpack at 36 is wild to me. Im 50 miles East and woke up to a balmy 55. The woods are a cold, cold place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mgerb Posted 16 hours ago Share Posted 16 hours ago 1 hour ago, BobbyHolikWillFindYou said: Walpack at 36 is wild to me. Im 50 miles East and woke up to a balmy 55. The woods are a cold, cold place. It's also in a very low lying valley. Just perfect radiational cooling conditions there. https://www.njweather.org/station/79 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Looks quite warm overall next 10+ days outside a potential cutoff low. September could definitely sneak an AN anomaly despite the cool start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 10 hours ago, BobbyHolikWillFindYou said: Walpack at 36 is wild to me. Im 50 miles East and woke up to a balmy 55. The woods are a cold, cold place. The Delaware Water Gap area is a beautiful part of NJ. It’s too bad we don’t have a continuous record there going back as long as some of the other Sussex County observing sites. The Sussex airport has continuous records in August online going back to 2001. This August featured the lowest monthly reading of 43°. The old COOP which was nearby stoped posting data a few years ago. So it looks like it may have closed. Both the COOP and airport were operational back in August 2006. The airport had a low of 45° and the COOP 46°. Prior to the airport readings going online back around 2001, the coldest August reading at the Sussex COOP was 34° back in 1965. So if Walpack was 7° colder than the Sussex COOP back in 1965, then it could have fallen to around 27° in that much colder valley area than around the Sussex COOP and airport. Parts of NY and PA were also in the upper 20s during August 1965. That was the worst drought around the region in hundreds of years. Monthly Data for August 1965 for New JerseyClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. NEWTON COOP 34 SUSSEX 1 NW COOP 34 CHARLOTTEBURG RESERVOIR COOP 35 HIGH POINT PARK COOP 35 BOONTON 1 SE COOP 36 LAYTON 2 COOP 36 INDIAN MILLS 2 W COOP 37 PEMBERTON COOP 37 FLEMINGTON 5 NNW COOP 37 LONG VALLEY COOP 37 MORRIS PLAINS 1 W COOP 37 TOMS RIVER COOP 38 CHATSWORTH COOP 39 ESSEX FELLS SERVICE BLDG COOP 39 WANAQUE RAYMOND DAM COOP 39 BELLEPLAIN STA FOREST COOP 40 ATLANTIC CITY INTL AP WBAN 40 HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 40 LAMBERTVILLE COOP 40 NEW MONMOUTH COOP 40 CANOE BROOK COOP 40 BELVIDERE COOP 40 Atlantic City Area ThreadEx 40 Belvidere Area ThreadEx 40 SOMERVILLE 4 NW COOP 41 Monthly Data for August 1965 for New YorkClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. ELIZABETHTOWN COOP 26 SPECULATOR COOP 27 ANGELICA COOP 27 SLIDE MOUNTAIN COOP 28 FRANKLINVILLE COOP 28 ONEONTA 3 SE COOP 29 ROXBURY COOP 29 Monthly Data for August 1965 for PennsylvaniaClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. COUDERSPORT 4 NW COOP 27 AUSTINBURG 2 W COOP 28 KANE 1NNE COOP 30 LAWRENCEVILLE 2 S COOP 30 FRANCIS E WALTER DAM COOP 31 ENGLISH CENTER COOP 31 MILANVILLE COOP 31 EAST STROUDSBURG COOP 32 KARTHAUS (RIVER) COOP 32 EMPORIUM 1 N COOP 32 CLERMONT 8 SW COOP 32 BRADFORD 4SW RES 5 COOP 32 TOBYHANNA POCONO MOUNTAIN ARPT WBAN 32 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 15 hours ago, bluewave said: I haven’t heard any information suggesting that the new sensors being installed at the airports have an inherent cold bias during radiational cooling events. The coldest temperature in NJ since late August wasn’t from an airport but at the Walpack ,NJ climate station. Plus KFOK which is at an airport has always been a great radiational cooling spot out in the Hamptons. So very cold readings at airports which happen to located in great radiational cooling locations like the Pine Barrens with sandy soil have been a common occurrence long before the new sensors began to get rolled out. I looked for a bit the other day and was unsuccessful in trying to find a list of what sensors have been replaced. I’m interested in KMGJ right up the road. I found data on when the old equipment was installed, and it was old, but the file that was supposed to be an updated list of the replacement dates was blank. If you come across anything please share, thanks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 64 / 56 clouds and some areas of light showers drizzle. Clears out tomorrow - warms up upper 70s / low 80s through Sunday. Ridge over north with cutoff undercutting the ridge Mon - Tue clouds and some rain before flow comes around for an overall much warmer period with ridge into the northeast by the 9/16/17 and beyond. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Records: Highs: EWR: 98 (1983) NYC: 97 (1983) LGA: 95 (1983) JFK: 98 (1983) Lows: EWR: 44 (1938) NYC: 43 (1883) LGA: 50 (1978) JFK: 50 (1978) Historical: 1811: South Carolina was hit by a hurricane. The main highlight associated with the hurricane was a tornado that damaged downtown Charleston. 1900: South Dakota registered its maximum 24 hour precipitation record as 8.01 inches of rain fell at Elk Point, SD. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1910: Duluth had the shortest growing season ever with frost free days from June 14 to September 10 (87days.) Normally the frost-free season is 143 days. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1917: Duluth, MN saw its earliest freezing temperature reading with a record low of 31°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1919 - A hurricane struck the Florida Keys drowning more than 500 persons. (David Ludlum) 1944: Navy and Army Air Force B-24 Liberator planes flew into the "Great Atlantic Hurricane" from September 10th through the 15th. These were the first sanctioned military flights to obtain data on a hurricane. The data sent back was instrumental in helping hold the death toll from the destructive hurricane to 27 people. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1947: Downpour across the Iron Range - Hibbing, MN got 8.6 inches in three hours. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1960 - Hurricane Donna struck the Florida Keys, with winds gusting to 180 mph and a thirteen foot storm surge. The hurricane then moved north along the eastern coast of Florida and inundated Naples before moving out to sea. Hurricane Donna claimed fifty lives, injured 1800 others, and caused more than 300 million dollars damage. The Marathon/Tavernier area was almost completely destroyed, and in the Citrus Belt, most of the avacado crop was blown from the trees. Hurricane Donna wreaked havoc from Florida to Maine, with wind gusts to 100 mph along much of the coast. Hurricane Donna produced wind gusts to 121 mph at Charleston SC on the 11th, and wind gusts to 138 mph at Blue Hill Observatory MA on the 12th. The hurricane finally died over Maine two days later, producing more than five inches of rain over the state. (David Ludlum) (The Weather Channel) 1960: The center of Hurricane Donna passed over the middle of the Florida Keys between 2, and 3 am on this day. Donna was a Category 5 hurricane over the Atlantic and a Category 4 at landfall. This storm caused the deaths of over 100 in Puerto Rico, 50 in the United States, and 63 in a jet crash. The plane crash occurred on August 29th as a French airliner was attempting to land at Dakar, Senegal during a “blinding rainstorm.” The storm was likely a tropical disturbance at the time of the crash. 1961: On September 10th, the Television Infrared Observation Satellite observed an area of thunderstorms west-southwest of the Cape Verde Islands, suggesting a possible tropical cyclone. This storm is the first large tropical cyclone to be discovered on satellite imagery and would eventually become Hurricane Esther. 1965: After ravaging the Florida Keys on the 8th, Hurricane Betsy slammed in Louisiana with sustained winds of 125 to 130 mph and a minimum central pressure near 948 millibars or 28.00 inches of mercury. Houma, LA reported a wind gust of 130 mph. There were as many as 76 deaths and thousands injured. The storm surge and flooding from torrential rains caused an enormous amount of damage making this the greatest insured property loss in the U.S. up to this time. Betsy is known as first billion dollar hurricane with damage exceeding $1.4 billion dollars. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1969: Birmingham, AL dipped to 49°; their earliest recorded temperature under 50°. Other record low temperatures included: Atlanta, GA: 49°, Tupelo, MS: 50°, Chattanooga, TN: 50°-Tied, Montgomery, AL: 52°, Meridian, MS: 52°-Tied, Macon, GA: 52°-Tied and Tallahassee, FL: 54°. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1972: The Council Bluffs, Iowa area received wind damage and Shelby and Audobon Counties experienced a tornado. Rainfall totals in the three days from this date through the 12th were very impressive. Harlon, Iowa received 21 inches with 12.49 inches occurring on one day. Hundreds of families were left homeless from the flooding and losses of crops and buildings totaled nearly $20 million dollars. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1976: Tropical Storm Kathleen moved northward from the Baja into the desert region of southern California; officially weakening to a depression just before crossing into the U.S. Yuma, AZ reported sustained winds of 57 mph, the highest on record associated with an eastern Pacific tropical cyclone in the southwestern U.S. A wall of water left a 700 foot wide, 40 feet deep gap at the Myer Creek Bridge on I-8 in Ocotillo, CA. The 4 to 6 foot high wall of water destroyed 70% of the homes. Daggett, CA received 2.28 inches of rain which was the greatest one day amount in recorded history. Overall, five people died and damage was estimated at $333 million dollars. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1985: Late season heat wave ends in DC with seven straight 90° days. (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA) 1987 - A late afternoon thunderstorm roared through Austin TX producing wind gusts to 81 mph, and 2.17 inches of rain in just sixty minutes. The high winds toppled six National Guard helicopters at the Robert Mueller Municipal Airport, and damaged or destroyed numerous other aircraft. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Cool air sweeping into the north central U.S. brought snow to some of the higher elevations of Montana. The town of Kings Hill, southeast of Great Falls, was blanketed with six inches of snow. Tropical Storm Gilbert strenghtened to a hurricane over the eastern Carribean. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Light snow fell in Montana overnight, with three inches reported at Fairfield. Billings MT reported a record low of 33 degrees. Unseasonably warm weather prevailed in the northeastern U.S., with record highs of 86 degrees at Caribou ME and 90 degrees at Burlington VT. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1998: Tropical Storm Frances made landfall near Matagorda Bay, TX, causing the worst coastal flooding and beach erosion since Hurricane Carla in 1961. The storm's heavy rains ended a drought in East Texas but caused severe river flooding in parts of Texas and Louisiana. The highest rainfall total noted was 21.10 inches at Terrytown in southeast Louisiana. A major disaster declaration was issued for Cameron, Jefferson, Lafourche, and Terrebonne parishes in Louisiana. 1999: Straight line winds caused extensive damage at the Ardmore Industrial Park in Carter County, two miles northeast of Gene Autry, OK where a gust of 102 mph was measured. One aircraft hangar was completely destroyed and several were damaged. Several aircraft were overturned and three were destroyed. Damage was estimated at $2 million dollars. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2008: Hurricane Ike emerged in the south-central Gulf of Mexico heading for the Texas coast with maximum sustained winds of 100 mph and a minimum central pressure of 27.91 inches of mercury. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2009: Honolulu, Hawaii: Honolulu reports a record-tying high temperature of 92°F. (Ref. WxDoctor) 2017: Hurricane Irma crossed the Florida Keys as a Category 4 storm. 2018: Hurricane Florence was a powerful and long-lived Cape Verde hurricane, as well as the wettest tropical cyclone on record in the Carolinas and the ninth-wettest tropical cyclone to affect the contiguous United States. The sixth named storm, third hurricane, and the first major hurricane of the 2018 Atlantic hurricane season, Florence originated from a strong tropical wave that emerged off the west coast of Africa on August 30, 2018. Steady organization resulted in the formation of a tropical depression on the next day near Cape Verde. Progressing along a steady west-northwest trajectory, the system acquired tropical storm strength on September 1, and fluctuated in strength for several days over open ocean. An unexpected bout of rapid intensification ensued on September 4– 5, culminating with Florence becoming a Category 4 major hurricane on the Saffir–Simpson scale with estimated maximum sustained winds of 130 mph Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted 5 hours ago Author Share Posted 5 hours ago So... I see very little mPing on the on going sprinkles to moderate showers occurring NJ/LI/NYC area... a little disappointing. I see .08 in 1 hr vicinity LGA in the last hr or two. Lets see how fast the clouds go away from the coasts... could be a day or two? How about the 16z Sunday-06z/Tuesday showery event... unusual pattern development but possible and ensembles agree, except the lightest GEFS which seems to be lagging. I'll side with the EPS/CMCE on this one and those who have plans late Sun or Mon ,may want to consider raincoats etc. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 4 minutes ago, wdrag said: So... I see very little mPing on the on going sprinkles to moderate showers occurring NJ/LI/NYC area... a little disappointing. I see .08 in 1 hr vicinity LGA in the last hr or two. Lets see how fast the clouds go away from the coasts... could be a day or two? How about the 16z Sunday-06z/Tuesday showery event... unusual pattern development but possible and ensembles agree, except the lightest GEFS which seems to be lagging. I'll side with the EPS/CMCE on this one and those who have plans late Sun or Mon ,may want to consider raincoats etc. Yeah, hoping the Euro is correct about the heavy rain potential with the omega block and cutoff low next week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 59 with some on and off light rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rmine1 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Brightwaters: rain, 63 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted 4 hours ago Author Share Posted 4 hours ago 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Yeah, hoping the Euro is correct about the heavy rain potential with the omega block and cutoff low next week. smooth it for now... its raining today and that was relatively dismissed-underestimated by media communicators. VERY unusual pattern for Sun-Mon so not a lock 1.5"+ but am pretty sure many of us will see more rain than that which occurs today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 4 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Looks quite warm overall next 10+ days outside a potential cutoff low. September could definitely sneak an AN anomaly despite the cool start. Yeah average highs in the upper 70s now and quickly dropping so even low 80s will be AN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 0.01 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 40 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Yeah average highs in the upper 70s now and quickly dropping so even low 80s will be AN Where do you see low 80s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, qg_omega said: Where do you see low 80s Upton's forecasted high for KMGJ tomorrow is 81. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 12 minutes ago, qg_omega said: Where do you see low 80s Tomorrow and Sunday my forecast is low 80s. Also looks warm in the 7 to 10 day range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 18 hours ago, bluewave said: I haven’t heard any information suggesting that the new sensors being installed at the airports have an inherent cold bias during radiational cooling events. The coldest temperature in NJ since late August wasn’t from an airport but at the Walpack ,NJ climate station. Plus KFOK which is at an airport has always been a great radiational cooling spot out in the Hamptons. So very cold readings at airports which happen to located in great radiational cooling locations like the Pine Barrens with sandy soil have been a common occurrence long before the new sensors began to get rolled out. Those don't sound like representative readings. Likely in a sheltered valley or "frost hollow" that would violate WMO siting guidelines. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowDemon Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 6 hours ago, SnoSki14 said: Looks quite warm overall next 10+ days outside a potential cutoff low. September could definitely sneak an AN anomaly despite the cool start. Perhaps, but it looks like it cools back down again after day 10. Either way, nothing that exciting/interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
steve392 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Had some moderate rain earlier. Now sun appearing with a nice stiff breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 59 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Tomorrow and Sunday my forecast is low 80s. Also looks warm in the 7 to 10 day range Sundays forecast seems subject to change if Walt is correct with more rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 5 minutes ago, FPizz said: Sundays forecast seems subject to change if Walt is correct with more rain. True Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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