Sundog Posted yesterday at 03:27 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:27 PM 7 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: my forecasted highs for this week have all been boosted 3-5 degrees from a few days ago and are now in the 80-83 range It must be the dry conditions helping highs like Brian said. At least with the low dews it's still cooling down nicely at night, even in the city. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted yesterday at 04:41 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:41 PM 78 / 52 onshore flow another great day should touch 80 / 81. Overall dry continues till Thu then showers / storms possible, more humid SW flow. Overall warmer between the 4 - 11th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted yesterday at 04:45 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:45 PM Lots of clouds from offshore storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted yesterday at 05:07 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:07 PM Records: Highs: EWR: 98 (2010) NYC: 97 (1953) LGA: 96 (2010) JFK: 92 (2012) Lows: EWR: 50 (1934) NYC: 51 (1869) LGA: 55 (1967) JFK: 54 (1985) Historical: 1859: One of the largest geomagnetic storms on record occurred on this day in 1859. 1862: The Battle of Ox Hill (or Chantilly) is also known as the only major Civil War battle to have been fought during a storm. “A severe thunderstorm erupted, resulting in limited visibility and an increased dependence on the bayonet, as the rain soaked the ammunition of the infantry and made it useless.” From Taylor, Paul. He Hath Loosed the Fateful Lightning: The Battle of Ox Hill (Chantilly), September 1, 1862. 1869: Cleveland Abbe issued the first Weather Bulletin for the city of Cincinnati, Ohio. It contained a few observations telegraphed from distant observers and the “probabilities” for the next day. The bulletin was written by hand. 1894 - A forest fire driven by high winds burned down the town of Hinkley, MN, killing 418 persons. (David Ludlum) 1894: The Great Hinckley Fire, which burned an area of at least 200,000 acres or perhaps more than 250,000 acres including the town of Hinckley, Minnesota occurred on this day. The official death count was 418 though the actual number of fatalities was likely higher. 1897 - Hailstone drifts six feet deep were reported in Washington County, IA. (The Weather Channel) 1914 - The town of Bloomington, MI, was deluged with 9.78 inches of rain in 24 hours to establish a state record. (31st-1st) (The Weather Channel) 1928: Leslie Gray from the Weather Bureau in San Franciso was the first weather forecaster to be deployed to a wildfire. 1935: The 1935 Labor Day Hurricane began intensifying from a tropical storm early in the day to a Category 2 by the end of this day. Over the next 24 hours the cyclone would go through "bombogenesis" intensifying to a Category 5 storm with maximum sustained winds estimated at 160 mph with gusts exceeding 200 mph. This was the first Category 5 storm to hit the U.S. The records aren't good enough to say whether any earlier storms that hit the USA would be Category 5 by today's standards. (Ref. Jack Williams, USA Today.com) 1939: Lightning hit and killed 837 sheep bedded down for the night on top of Pine Canyon in Northwestern Utah. Both the sheep and the earth were wet from the passing thunderstorm, causing the lightning's electrical discharge to move completely through the herd. The sheepherder was in a tent, was knocked temporary unconscious but escaped death. (Ref. National Weather Service in Utah Lightning Information) 1950: Palm Springs, CA set their all-time September high temperature record with 121°. Other daily record highs included: Yuma, AZ: 123°, Phoenix, AZ: 116°, Las Vegas, NV: 113°, Sacramento, CA: 108°, Tucson, AZ: 107°, Stockton, CA: 105°, Bishop, CA: 104°, Winnemucca, NV: 101°, Winslow, AZ: 99°, Reno, NV: 99°, Elko, NV: 97° and Ely, NV: 93°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1952: A cold front brought damaging winds to Fort Worth, Texas, including the Carswell Air Force Base where thirty-five B-36 planes received damage. The anemometer indicated 90 mph winds before being smashed by debris. 1953: A heat wave that began in late August continued into early September continued across parts of the Midwest. Platteville, WI & South Bend, IN recorded their hottest September temperatures with 100° and 99° respectively. Fort Wayne, IN & Muskegon, MI tied their all-time September high temperature record with 100° & 95°. Other daily record highs included: Goshen, IN: 101°, Grand Rapids, MI: 97°, Lansing, MI: 96°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1955 - The temperature at Los Angeles, CA, soared to an all-time high of 110 degrees during an eight day string of 100 degree weather. (David Ludlum) 1961: An F4 tornado traveled through parts of Butler and Bremer Counties in Iowa. Unfortunately, there is limited information in the Storm Data entry about this event. Per Thomas Grazulis in Significant Tornadoes, the tornado began NW of Dumont and ended NE of Horton. Several farms along the path were "leveled". It was reported at one farm that fruit jars were "sucked out of the basement" after the house was swept away. There were 7 injuries reported with this event and zero fatalities. 1974: Lt. Judy Neuffer became the first female to fly a Hurricane Hunter aircraft through the eye of a hurricane. 1979 - A home in Centerville TN was hit by lightning and totally destroyed. It marked the third time that the house had been hit by lightning since being built in 1970. (The Weather Channel) 1983: Record heat gripped parts of the northern Rockies. Several locations recorded record highs for September including: Miles City, MT: 106°, Billings, MT: 103° and Sheridan, WY: 103°. At Billings, it was the 8th consecutive day with high temperatures above 90°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1985: Erratic Hurricane Elena baffled forecasters and Gulf Coast residents on the Sunday before Labor Day. The Hurricane had threatened the central Gulf Coast on Friday, only to turn east and spend Saturday menacing the Tampa Bay area with high winds, tides and heavy rains. By lunchtime Sunday, Elena was on the move again, but this time back to the west. The storm reached its minimum pressure of 951 millibars or 28.08 inches of mercury while the storm was 75 miles south of Apalachicola, FL. Elena's maximum reported coastal winds were over Dauphin Island, AL, where sustained winds of 105 mph with gusts to 135 mph were reported. Other maximum gusts reported ranged from 120 mph at Gulfport, MS, to 92 mph at Pensacola, FL. Maximum tides of 10 feet above normal were recorded at Apalachicola, FL, with reports of 6 to 8 feet above normal on Dauphin Island, AL. Approximately 1 million people were evacuated from low lying coastal areas during Elena’s approach. This large evacuation contributed to the fact that there were no deaths in the area of landfall. The four deaths which occurred resulted from falling trees and automobile accidents. One resident died of a heart attack. Total damage ranged from $1 to $1.5 billion dollars.(David Ludlum) (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1987 - Cool Canadian air invaded the Midwest. Six cities reported record low temperatures for the date, including Indianapolis IN with a reading of 44 degrees. Hot weather continued in the northwestern U.S. Five cities reported record high temperatures for the date, including Hanover WA, where the mercury soared to 106 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Thunderstorms produced heavy rain in the Upper Mississippi Valley. Ely, MN, was drenched with three inches of rain in two hours, and pelted with one inch hail. The heavy rain flooded streets and basements, and the high water pressure which resulted blew the covers off manholes. (The National Weather Summary)(Storm Data) 1989 - Thunderstorms developing ahead of a cold front produced severe weather in Oklahoma during the late afternoon and evening hours. Thunderstorms produced hail two inches in diameter west of Arapahoe, and wind gusts to 70 mph at Luther and south of Harrah. Early morning thunderstorms over Indiana drenched Kokomo with five to eight inches of rain, and spawned a tornado which injured three persons at Bruce Lake. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1999: Erratic Dennis was downgraded to a Tropical Storm as he drifted aimlessly just off Cape Hatteras, NC. Dennis would move southward, then northwestward before making landfall on the 4th with winds of 70 mph. Dennis' heavy rains would set the stage for massive flooding when Hurricane Floyd arrived a few weeks later. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2002: Across southern California, a heat wave sent temperatures soaring to 118° at Dulzura, 113° at Temecula, and 112° at Riverside and Menifee. Temperature gradients were remarkable near the coast. It was 77° at Newport Beach and 107° in Santa Ana, only ten miles difference, 72° in Oceanside Harbor and 87° in Oceanside Airport, only two miles difference, 81° in Sea World to 91° in San Diego - Lindbergh Field, only three miles difference. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2003: By midnight, Indianapolis, IN recorded its wettest day on record with 7.20 inches. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2008: Hurricane Gustav was the second most destructive hurricane of the 2008 Atlantic hurricane season. The storm was the seventh tropical cyclone, third hurricane, and second major hurricane of the season. Gustav caused serious damage and casualties in Haiti, the Dominican Republic, Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, Cuba and the United States. Gustav caused at least $6.6 billion (2008 USD) in damages. Gustav triggered the largest evacuation in United States history up to 2008. Once into the Gulf, Gustav gradually weakened because of increased wind shear and dry air. It weakened to a Category 2 hurricane late on August 31, and remained at that intensity until landfall on the morning of September 1 near Cocodrie, Louisiana. In total, an estimated 153 deaths had been attributed to Gustav in the U.S. and Caribbean. 2017: The temperature at Downtown San Francsico reached 106° setting their all-time record high. The previous record was 103° on June 14th, 2000. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted yesterday at 05:11 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:11 PM 1 hour ago, donsutherland1 said: Here's where things currently stand. I expect the drought coverage to increase on Thursday's update: Yeah, numerous top 10 driest summer reports in the Northeast. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted yesterday at 08:04 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:04 PM 2 hours ago, bluewave said: Yeah, numerous top 10 driest summer reports in the Northeast. You would think a dry summer like this would have been warmer. This month especially has been a rare August where the air condition window units were barely used. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted yesterday at 08:22 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:22 PM 5 hours ago, bluewave said: Something seems to have shifted with the drought pattern which emerged last fall. It used to be that rain events could be relied upon to beat model expectations. Now we seem to generally underperform longer range model expectations. When the wet patterns do materialize, then the heaviest is often localized with other areas not getting as much. So widespread soaking events have been more the outlier than the norm. Not sure yet if this is just a one year blip and we reverse again back to much wetter again down the road. But things have been getting very dry in Canada which we haven’t typically seen before. It’s probably too early to know if the wet pattern which began in 2003 is starting to get some pushback from recent drier tendencies. We also got some drier periods over this stretch but they didn’t last very long. Yeah can't remember a dry pattern like this in a long time ...now been going on for a year with my station receiving 31.65" rain in the past 12 months which is a 17" deficit! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted yesterday at 08:26 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:26 PM August 2007 closed without any rainfall during the last 10 days of the month, as was the case this year. September 1, 2007 opened up with a high of 79° and low of 64°; September 2025 began with a high of 78° and a low of 64°. September 2007 would go on to wind up warmer than normal with a mean temperature of 70.3° and drier than normal with monthly rainfall of just 1.81". Before one concludes that 2025 has a near identical twin, even if the outcome winds up similar over all, 2007 went on to see a strong La Niña develop following a preceding El Niño winter. The important point is that there are no "perfect" analogs so to speak. However, one needs larger samples. For example, the idea of a drier than normal September is based on 10 cases with no rainfall during August 22-31. It's just one piece of evidence. That the CFSv2 has swung from a wet to a dry idea increases confidence in that outcome. Should the forthcoming ECMWF monthly data reaffirm the earlier idea of a drier than normal September in the Northeast, confidence would increase further. Of course, the Tropics could always hurl a curve ball, perhaps later this month, that foils such forecasts. For now, with a quiet pattern expected to prevail through the near-term, one can look at some fun coincidences like the one mentioned for 2007. Generally cool and dry conditions will persist through midweek. Highs will generally top out in the upper 70s with lows in the 50s outside New York City and low 60s in New York City. It could turn somewhat warmer late in the week with highs on Thursday through Saturday approaching or reach the lower 80s before another cooler air mass moves into the region. A system could bring some rain on Friday into perhaps Saturday. Rainfall amounts appear likely to be mainly less than 0.50". The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was -0.4°C for the week centered around August 20. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.45°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.28°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue into early autumn. The SOI was -5.23 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.084 today. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted yesterday at 08:35 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:35 PM 11 minutes ago, doncat said: Yeah can't remember a dry pattern like this in a long time ...now been going on for a year with my station receiving 31.65" rain in the past 12 months which is a 17" deficit! Many parts of the region have seen among their ten driest water years (September 1-August 31) periods: Islip: 33.71" (9th driest) New York City-JFK Airport: 30.71" (6th driest) New York City-LaGuardia Airport: 32.90" (8th driest) White Plains: 33.47" (6th driest) Newark just missed. Its 31.79" ranked as the 11th driest water year. Note: Bridgeport is missing rainfall data, so it was excluded from the list. However, if one added 1"-2" of additional precipitation, its water year would rank between 4th and 6th driest on record. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted yesterday at 08:52 PM Share Posted yesterday at 08:52 PM Frequency of Measurable Daily Rainfall in September for NYC: Frequency of 1.00" or More Daily Rainfall in September for NYC: 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted yesterday at 09:17 PM Share Posted yesterday at 09:17 PM SST anmaly 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted yesterday at 09:19 PM Share Posted yesterday at 09:19 PM Global SST 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted yesterday at 09:40 PM Share Posted yesterday at 09:40 PM what a marine heatwave in the north pacific! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted yesterday at 09:56 PM Share Posted yesterday at 09:56 PM 2 hours ago, JerseyWx said: You would think a dry summer like this would have been warmer. This month especially has been a rare August where the air condition window units were barely used. Even with this cooler ending to August, it was still another top 10 warmest summer for many locations. This has been the case most summers since 2010. Plus the all-time June heat in the 100° to 105° range. So it was very nice to get a relaxation of this heat during August. The cooler conditions in May and August into the start of September prevented the warm spots from making a run on 50 days reaching 90° like 2022 and 2010. So we got lucky that the heat peaked early again in June and July. The Erin Cat 5 recurve and other wave breaks helped pull the trough into the East during recent weeks. My area actually ranked higher for 90° days this year than the warm spots like Newark. Time Series Summary for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CT - Jan through Dec Top 10 years 90° daysClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2022 17 0 2 2025 15 122 3 2010 14 0 4 1977 13 100 5 2021 12 0 - 2020 12 2 - 2012 12 3 6 2013 11 0 7 2002 10 3 - 1952 10 0 8 2024 9 1 9 2023 8 1 - 2019 8 2 - 2018 8 3 - 2016 8 0 - 1955 8 0 10 2011 7 0 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jan through Dec Top 10 years 90° daysClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2010 54 0 2 2022 49 0 - 1993 49 0 3 1988 43 0 4 2021 41 0 - 2002 41 0 - 1991 41 0 5 2016 40 0 - 1983 40 0 - 1959 40 0 6 1994 39 0 - 1944 39 0 7 2025 38 122 8 2005 37 0 - 1987 37 0 9 2018 36 0 - 1949 36 0 10 2015 35 0 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted yesterday at 11:25 PM Share Posted yesterday at 11:25 PM 1 hour ago, bluewave said: Even with this cooler ending to August, it was still another top 10 warmest summer for many locations. This has been the case most summers since 2010. Plus the all-time June heat in the 100° to 105° range. So it was very nice to get a relaxation of this heat during August. The cooler conditions in May and August into the start of September prevented the warm spots from making a run on 50 days reaching 90° like 2022 and 2010. So we got lucky that the heat peaked early again in June and July. The Erin Cat 5 recurve and other wave breaks helped pull the trough into the East during recent weeks. My area actually ranked higher for 90° days this year than the warm spots like Newark. Time Series Summary for NEW HAVEN TWEED AP, CT - Jan through Dec Top 10 years 90° daysClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2022 17 0 2 2025 15 122 3 2010 14 0 4 1977 13 100 5 2021 12 0 - 2020 12 2 - 2012 12 3 6 2013 11 0 7 2002 10 3 - 1952 10 0 8 2024 9 1 9 2023 8 1 - 2019 8 2 - 2018 8 3 - 2016 8 0 - 1955 8 0 10 2011 7 0 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jan through Dec Top 10 years 90° daysClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. 1 2010 54 0 2 2022 49 0 - 1993 49 0 3 1988 43 0 4 2021 41 0 - 2002 41 0 - 1991 41 0 5 2016 40 0 - 1983 40 0 - 1959 40 0 6 1994 39 0 - 1944 39 0 7 2025 38 122 8 2005 37 0 - 1987 37 0 9 2018 36 0 - 1949 36 0 10 2015 35 0 In addition, Islip ranked fourth and White Plains ranked 10th. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted yesterday at 11:37 PM Share Posted yesterday at 11:37 PM 1 hour ago, Brian5671 said: what a marine heatwave in the north pacific! Look at above Russia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastalplainsnowman Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago I fear I'll get the you-know-what tag for this, but is there any correlation between August temperatures and December snowfall? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 22 hours ago Share Posted 22 hours ago 49 minutes ago, coastalplainsnowman said: I fear I'll get the you-know-what tag for this, but is there any correlation between August temperatures and December snowfall? The oefficient of determination for December is very weak (0.013): Here's the scatter diagram: The coefficient of determination is almost zero for seasonal snowfall (almost no relationship) at 0.004: Here's the scatter diagram: For cases when August had a monthly mean temperature below 74°, 41.4% of winters saw 30" or more snow. For all other cases, 37.8% of the following winters saw 30" or more snowfall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JustinRP37 Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago What a very odd end to the summer. It really went out with a whimper. No big thunderstorms, no big heat after mid July, very quiet tropics so far, and things looking status quo for some time. Tick season also decreased substantially with the dry weather we have been experiencing. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 60 / 59 partly cloudy another dry day upper 70s and low 80s. Warmer Wed - Fri SW flow with enough sun should get the warmest spots to mid / perhaps upper 80s with enough sun on Friday. Front comes through Friday night with some showers and storms bringing the chance of widespread rains since early August. A bit cooler but a nice dry weekend overall once passed Saturday morning. Warmer week overall above normal starting the 8th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago Highs: EWR: 105 (1953) NYC: 102 (1953) LGA: 102 (1953) JFK: 93 (1973) Lows: EWR: 49 (2017) NYC: 51 (1886) LGA: 56 (2017) JFK: 53 (1949) Historical: 1775: The Independence Hurricane This savage hurricane raged from North Carolina to Newfoundland. Heavy rains began to fall across the colony on the 29th of August and slowly increased with time. The coast was ravaged from Currituck to Chincoteague. Wharves and storehouses on the waterfront of Norfolk were devastated. Bridges were carried away by the raging waters. At Williamsburg, mill dams broke and corn stalks were blown flat. Winds blew furiously until 10:00 p.m. Many ships were damaged as they were thrown ashore at Norfolk, Hampton, and York. Around twenty-five vessels were run ashore, or "irrecoverable gone." The gun ship H.M.S. Mercury was driven hard aground on Portsmouth Point at 5:00 p.m. on the 2nd. It was stranded in two feet of water for eight days (Shomette). The Liberty became "hopelessly stranded" in Back River, near Hampton. A number of locals boarded her, captured the crew, secured her goods, and set the ship afire in the first outright act of war. A full blockade of Hampton Roads thereafter brought shipping to a halt for three months. At least twenty-five died due to shipwreck.(Ref. The Independence Hurricane) 1882: Possibly the first photograph of a lightning strike was taken on this day by William Jennings in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. 1887: The U.S. Army Signal Service station in Greenville, SC reported a minimum temperature of 50°F. This observation at Greenville still stands as the record low for the day. Additional stations across the state recorded low temps in the low 50's. 1935 - Perhaps the most intense hurricane ever to hit the U.S. struck the Florida Keys with 200 mph winds. The hurricane produced a fifteen foot tide and waves thirty feet high. 400 persons perished in the storm on that Labor Day. The barometric pressure at Matecumbe Bay FL hits a record low for the U.S. of 26.35 inches. (David Ludlum) 1950 - The temperature at Mecca, CA, soared to 126 degrees to establish a U.S. record for the month of September. The low that morning was 89 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1950: The temperature at Mecca, CA soared to 126 degrees to establish a U.S. record for the month of September. The low that morning was 89 degrees. (The Weather Channel) (Ref. WxDoctor) (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1953: Boston, Massachusetts had 100 °F for the second time ever in September. Chicago, IL hit 101° for the second day in a row and the tenth of 11 consecutive days with a high temperature at 90° or higher. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) 1961: Denver, CO picked up 4.2 inches of snow, the earliest measurable snow for the Mile High City. (Ref. AccWeather Weather History) 1982: A wind gust of 121 mph was reported at the Chautauqua County Airport near Jamestown, NY causing an estimated half million dollars in damages to the terminal building, planes, cars and landing instruments. Rainfall totals exceeded two inches in places. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1985 1985 - After teasing residents along the Gulf of Mexico for two days, Hurricane Elena finally came ashore at Biloxi MS. The hurricane, packing winds of 127 mph, caused more than a billion dollars damage. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Late evening thunderstorms in the Northern Plains Region produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Jordan MT, and a ""hot flash"" at Redig SD. The temperature at Redig rose from 66 degrees at 10 PM to 86 degrees at 11 PM as thunderstorm winds gusted to 36 mph. Nine cities in the Upper Ohio Valley, the Tennessee Valley and the Central Gulf Coast States reported record low temperatures for the date, including Elkins WV with a reading of 38 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Unseasonably hot weather prevailed in the northwestern U.S. Afternoon highs of 98 degrees at Olympia WA, 98 degrees at Seattle WA, 105 degrees at Portland OR, and 110 degrees at Medford OR, established records for the month of September. Quillayute WA equalled their September record with an afternoon high of 97 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Eight cities in the Gulf Coast Region reported record high temperatures for the date as readings soared into the upper 90s. Houston TX and Port Arthur TX hit 99 degrees. Late evening thunderstorms, developing ahead of a cold front, produced wind gusts to 63 mph at Dickinson ND, and golf ball size hail in North Dakota and Nebraska. Winds along the cold front itself gusted to 62 mph at Buffalo SD. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1996: After teasing the entire Atlantic coast with winds as high as 140 mph, Hurricane Edouard skirted New England without making landfall. Hurricane force winds were recorded on Nantucket and Cape Cod, but wind damage was relatively minor. 1996: Large swells from Hurricane Fran knocked five people out of an 18-foot fishing boat in Jupiter Inlet, FL. The Coast Guard rescued all five people. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2002: An F3 tornado roared into downtown Ladysmith, WI at mid-afternoon, heavily damaging 64 blocks of the business district. Fortunately, it was Labor Day, and most of the stores were closed for the holiday or the toll would have been much worse. The National Weather Service came under fire for not issuing a tornado warning before the storm struck. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2003: Indianapolis, IN was drenched with 7.20 inches of rain on this date for its greatest single day rainfall on record. (Ref. WxDoctor) 2006: Tropical Storm Ernesto dumped 8.93 inches of rain on Norfolk, VA for the city's greatest single day rainfall on record. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) (Sep. 1st-2nd) Heavy rains from the remnants of Tropical Storm Ernesto fell on SE PA. In Schwenksville, a man jumped into an overflowing retention basin to try to rescue his dog. The dog was sucked into and through the outflow pipe and survived; his master drowned. (Ref. Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA) 2008: Northeastern Illinois: In Chicago the thermometer at O'Hare IAP hits 94°F (34.4°C), and Midway tops out at 95°F (35°C), the first such high there in 761 days, and the warmest day of the year Kankakee, New Lennox, Plainfield and Palatine (my home town hit 97°F. (Ref. WxDoctor) 2002: An F3 tornado destroyed much of the downtown area of Ladysmith, Wisconsin. Overall damage was estimated at $20 million, but there were no fatalities. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago Euro has a sneaky 90 for Saturday with a couple light rain chances late this week 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 15 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: Euro has a sneaky 90 for Saturday with a couple light rain chances late this week It will probably come down to frontal timing. The GFS has 90° on Friday for the warm spots in NJ. The Euro has a slightly slower frontal passage so the 90° on Saturday. Won’t take much to beat guidance by a few degrees with how dry it has been. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 2 hours ago, JustinRP37 said: What a very odd end to the summer. It really went out with a whimper. No big thunderstorms, no big heat after mid July, very quiet tropics so far, and things looking status quo for some time. Tick season also decreased substantially with the dry weather we have been experiencing. Just beyond bone dry here-looks like a desert. Even drier than 2023 and last fall. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago Noticing some leaf color change already 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 8 hours ago Share Posted 8 hours ago 1 minute ago, Stormlover74 said: Noticing some leaf color change already Cool mornings plus dry conditions Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 3 hours ago, Stormlover74 said: Euro has a sneaky 90 for Saturday with a couple light rain chances late this week Finally a little heat and humidity Friday into Saturday, but what a stretch of weather after that. Behind the front it's going to be a long period of cool comfortable weather. It's going to be great weather next week, but boy do we need rain. The chance of rain Friday into Saturday doesn't look impressive. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Consistent with the idea that a dry end of August often leads to below normal rainfall during the first week of September and September overall, the latest NBM has further trimmed rainfall amounts from yesterday's runs. Now, it shows some showers on Friday and then Saturday evening into Sunday morning with a frontal passage. Rainfall amounts for both events are light. The latest CFSv2 shows drier than normal conditions through at least its Week 1 and Week 2 forecasts. All said, early on, September appears to be on course for a drier than normal month. Model skill falls off sharply beyond two weeks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago what once looked like a decently wet system coming up the coast is now a cold front with showers 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 55 for the low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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