Hurricane Erin: 140 MPH - 935 mb - NW @ 12

[wthrmn654]

[wthrmn654]

As it stands right now this thing should cross at the 70,35 if not just to the left of it , when it's going northeast ish with regards to the north east region

[Wannabehippie]

looking very healthy.

[wthrmn654]

At 1200 UTC, 18 August 2025, MAJOR HURRICANE ERIN (AL05) was located in the North Atlantic basin at 22.9°N and 70.5°W. The current intensity was 120 kt and the center was moving at 10 kt at a bearing of 305 degrees. The minimum central pressure was 935 mb.

[wthrmn654]

11:00 AM EDT Mon Aug 18
Location: 23.1°N 70.8°W
Moving: WNW at 10 mph
Min pressure: 935 mb
Max sustained: 140 mph

[wthrmn654]

Based on a number of recent aircraft center fixes, Erin's forward 
speed has slowed to around 8 or 9 kt.  Although there hasn't 
been much motion this morning, the hurricane has again wobbled 
to the west-northwest.  Nonetheless, the steering pattern and track 
guidance remains about the same as it has been over the past day.  
Water vapor imagery shows a trough developing near U.S. 
mid-Atlantic coastline, and creating a weakness in the western 
Atlantic subtropical ridge.  During the next few days, Erin is 
expected to turn northward into this weakness, and move between 
Bermuda and the U.S. east coast in about 72 hours.  The official 
track forecast is very close to the previous NHC prediction and 
close to the dynamical model consensus.  Later in the forecast 
period, an approaching trough should cause Erin to accelerate 
northeastward over the northern Atlantic.

[WxWatcher007]

Also from the NHC

4. Interests along the Outer Banks of North Carolina and Bermuda
should monitor the progress of Erin.  Tropical storm conditions 
and coastal flooding are possible in the North Carolina Outer Banks 
beginning late Wednesday and a Tropical Storm and Storm Surge Watch 
may be required later today.

[wthrmn654]

Af 304 seems to be having some issues with finding a center?  3 passes in a row,  935,938, then 936.

 

[wthrmn654]

Boy what a win for the icon of it's dammed consistency pans out 

 

Also the euro AI. Both have been stubbornly consistent. 

[wthrmn654]

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from

the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 230

miles (370 km).

[NorthHillsWx]

Looks like Erin has made the turn to the north 

[eyewall]

14 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Looks like Erin has made the turn to the north 

It does in fact appear a more northward trajectory has resumed.

[olafminesaw]

IR appearance has degraded considerably in the last hour or two. Trying to complete an ERC and probably feeling more of the shear now. May gradually weaken until shear can abate

[Boston Bulldog]

Yeah the northerly shear is pretty apparent with the restricted outflow on the northern part of the circulation. Compare the extent of outflow on the north side to the south side, huge difference.

[BarryStantonGBP]

GET IN LADS

SHE JUST COOKED US SOME MORE SCRAN

Atlantic - Caribbean Sea - Gulf of America
Tropical Weather Outlook (en Español*) 800 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 2025 Tropical Weather Discussion 1215 UTC Mon Aug 18 2025
Hurricane Erin  Satellite | Buoys | Grids | Storm Archive ...ERIN STRENGTHENS... ...EXPECTED TO GROW EVEN LARGER... 11:00 AM EDT Mon Aug 18 Location: 23.1°N 70.8°W Moving: WNW at 10 mph Min pressure: 935 mb Max sustained: 140 mph

[Wannabehippie]

Eye obscured, and looks to be open to the south.