August 2025 Summer Thread

[CoastalWx]

17 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

Skynet differs.

Go ensembles vs an op run.

[512high]

56F for the low, great morning! I was emailed from three municipalities a lot of water restrictions on the NH Seacoast as well, not what a irrigation company wants to hear...lol 

[Typhoon Tip]

Two days ago ... both the numerical teleconnectors, and the spatial-synoptic evolution, from all three ens means, looked "shot across the bow"-esque with the post August 20 range...    As Scott also mentioned, there's a signal now to confined that more to just the third-ish week.  The last week of the month reverses.     

I remember commenting a month ago, that I didn't like the August cool idea being floated at the time - memed to death by the usual X suspects - because there has been this leitmotif to lower Pacific NW heights.  We may still end the month more marginal-AN. It'll be close.   Regardless, whenever the models this season have showed more ridging in Pac NW outlooks, it was proven unstable. Within short days ... new height crash and troughs were digging down the B.C. coast.   So long as that return base-state behavior is there, that's a non-linear indicator where the forcing the hemisphere wants to really be - it's your "correction vector".      Here we are again...   We'll see, but as of this moment starting to characterize as a mere pattern reset.    

 

[kdxken]

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks like we warm right back up last week of the month. 

You say warm up, to what? '80s for a couple days or an extended stretch?

[tamarack]

16 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Found the tree that lightning hit in that early Julorch storm. Not more than 200yds behind the house .

 https://imgur.com/a/q5rg3tU

Nasty stuff.  Pic below is from 3/27/21, a day after that 70-foot fir tree was blown apart, 55 yards from the house.  In addition to traumatizing our yellow Lab mix (she was still shaking 45 minutes later), the strike ruined the connection between our generator and its dedicated panel.  We only learned that in April when power went off.  Genny started as usual but no transfer to the house.  Technicians came and created a manual work-around (in rain turning to snow plus wind) so I could go down-cella, open the panel and flip the switch, until they could do a complete fix when the ground had thawed.  Last winter the transfer again quit but I could do the manual switch; the tech came in the spring and had to replace the toasted auto-switch within the panel - probably had been compromised back in 2021 then finally died.

 

[CoastalWx]

50 minutes ago, kdxken said:

You say warm up, to what? '80s for a couple days or an extended stretch?

Let’s pull 85-90

[Damage In Tolland]

35 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Nasty stuff.  Pic below is from 3/27/21, a day after that 70-foot fir tree was blown apart, 55 yards from the house.  In addition to traumatizing our yellow Lab mix (she was still shaking 45 minutes later), the strike ruined the connection between our generator and its dedicated panel.  We only learned that in April when power went off.  Genny started as usual but no transfer to the house.  Technicians came and created a manual work-around (in rain turning to snow plus wind) so I could go down-cella, open the panel and flip the switch, until they could do a complete fix when the ground had thawed.  Last winter the transfer again quit but I could do the manual switch; the tech came in the spring and had to replace the toasted auto-switch within the panel - probably had been compromised back in 2021 then finally died.

 

This neighborhood has had 2-3 strikes just this summer. We sit on ledge which I think attracts lightning . The one in MBY was right before July 4 and another was 5-6 houses down in that wild strobe light overnight MCS

[HoarfrostHubb]

Yeah. We will get another decently warm stretch the end of the month.  

[kdxken]

Best time of the year. Last few weeks of August and the first few weeks of September.  Bluebird skies today. 

 

 

[HoarfrostHubb]

2 hours ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

...well you enjoy hot temps..

I love all kinds of weather, other than high humidity.  I love the weather coming this week but also appreciate what this past week was.  

[Damage In Tolland]

Wasn’t today supposed to be coc k and smoke? Dews upper 60’s- 70 . Lol 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

35 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Wasn’t today supposed to be coc k and smoke? Dews upper 60’s- 70 . Lol 

Always take the over on temps under on rain. 

 

[HoarfrostHubb]

38 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Wasn’t today supposed to be coc k and smoke? Dews upper 60’s- 70 . Lol 

Borderline CoC here. 80F. Not too dewy.  Partly cloudy.  No smoke 

[Damage In Tolland]

7 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Borderline CoC here. 80F. Not too dewy.  Partly cloudy.  No smoke 

79/70 here 

[tamarack]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

This neighborhood has had 2-3 strikes just this summer. We sit on ledge which I think attracts lightning . The one in MBY was right before July 4 and another was 5-6 houses down in that wild strobe light overnight MCS

Meh here.  Only 4 days with thunder and except one strike about 3 miles distant last May, nothing has come within 5 miles.  Average here thru mid-August is 11 and lowest thru 8/31 is 8, in 2010 (also that year's total).

[Torch Tiger]

47 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

79/70 here 

Coc

[dendrite]

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Wasn’t today supposed to be coc k and smoke? Dews upper 60’s- 70 . Lol 

No

[Baroclinic Zone]

Tickling 90 here.

88F

[metagraphica]

3 hours ago, kdxken said:

Best time of the year. Last few weeks of August and the first few weeks of September.  Bluebird skies today. 

 

 

Wish we had this kind of weather AND the sun setting after 8:30pm.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Nice isolated shower here. Couple of rumbles.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

Absolutely poured here, still moderate.
Nothing like a quick .40” to water the yard. 

[Go Kart Mozart]

7 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

Go ensembles vs an op run.

I wonder about that.  Are there verification graphs that compare the two?  My prejudiced and unscientific observation makes me think that Skynet is very good out past a week or so.

[HoarfrostHubb]

5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Absolutely poured here, still moderate.
Nothing like a quick .40” to water the yard. 

I was gonna say, looks decent on radar there. 

[Damage In Tolland]

14 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

I was gonna say, looks decent on radar there. 

Congrats on 1-3”

[HoarfrostHubb]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Congrats on 1-3”

Humidity def tickling up.  Stuffy

[kdxken]

28 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Absolutely poured here, still moderate.
Nothing like a quick .40” to water the yard. 

 

[Lava Rock]

What a shitty lake day

Sent from my SM-S921U using Tapatalk

[Damage In Tolland]

24 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Humidity def tickling up.  Stuffy

It’s Dewey here all day thankfully . Never dried out  Was out enjoying it in various ways in yard 

[Damage In Tolland]

Gotta wonder with Erin coming farther NW .. what will that do to the mild down next week? Delay it, maybe increase dews for a day .. ??maybe even a Pre somewhere  that’s not modeled quite yet . She is definitely going to affect and change the look to some degree next week . We just don’t know 

[powderfreak]

Dry heater.

90/47 at BTV for 23% RH.

It’s beautiful out.  86/51 here.  Deep blue.  No humidity at all but warm.

Didn’t realize there was such a dew boundary.  Temperatures actually seem hotter north under drier air.