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August 2025 Summer Thread


Torch Tiger
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Two days ago ... both the numerical teleconnectors, and the spatial-synoptic evolution, from all three ens means, looked "shot across the bow"-esque with the post August 20 range...    As Scott also mentioned, there's a signal now to confined that more to just the third-ish week.  The last week of the month reverses.     

I remember commenting a month ago, that I didn't like the August cool idea being floated at the time - memed to death by the usual X suspects - because there has been this leitmotif to lower Pacific NW heights.  We may still end the month more marginal-AN. It'll be close.   Regardless, whenever the models this season have showed more ridging in Pac NW outlooks, it was proven unstable. Within short days ... new height crash and troughs were digging down the B.C. coast.   So long as that return base-state behavior is there, that's a non-linear indicator where the forcing the hemisphere wants to really be - it's your "correction vector".      Here we are again...   We'll see, but as of this moment starting to characterize as a mere pattern reset.    

 

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16 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Found the tree that lightning hit in that early Julorch storm. Not more than 200yds behind the house .

 https://imgur.com/a/q5rg3tU

Nasty stuff.  Pic below is from 3/27/21, a day after that 70-foot fir tree was blown apart, 55 yards from the house.  In addition to traumatizing our yellow Lab mix (she was still shaking 45 minutes later), the strike ruined the connection between our generator and its dedicated panel.  We only learned that in April when power went off.  Genny started as usual but no transfer to the house.  Technicians came and created a manual work-around (in rain turning to snow plus wind) so I could go down-cella, open the panel and flip the switch, until they could do a complete fix when the ground had thawed.  Last winter the transfer again quit but I could do the manual switch; the tech came in the spring and had to replace the toasted auto-switch within the panel - probably had been compromised back in 2021 then finally died.

 

IMG_0953.JPG

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35 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Nasty stuff.  Pic below is from 3/27/21, a day after that 70-foot fir tree was blown apart, 55 yards from the house.  In addition to traumatizing our yellow Lab mix (she was still shaking 45 minutes later), the strike ruined the connection between our generator and its dedicated panel.  We only learned that in April when power went off.  Genny started as usual but no transfer to the house.  Technicians came and created a manual work-around (in rain turning to snow plus wind) so I could go down-cella, open the panel and flip the switch, until they could do a complete fix when the ground had thawed.  Last winter the transfer again quit but I could do the manual switch; the tech came in the spring and had to replace the toasted auto-switch within the panel - probably had been compromised back in 2021 then finally died.

 

IMG_0953.JPG

This neighborhood has had 2-3 strikes just this summer. We sit on ledge which I think attracts lightning . The one in MBY was right before July 4 and another was 5-6 houses down in that wild strobe light overnight MCS

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2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

This neighborhood has had 2-3 strikes just this summer. We sit on ledge which I think attracts lightning . The one in MBY was right before July 4 and another was 5-6 houses down in that wild strobe light overnight MCS

Meh here.  Only 4 days with thunder and except one strike about 3 miles distant last May, nothing has come within 5 miles.  Average here thru mid-August is 11 and lowest thru 8/31 is 8, in 2010 (also that year's total).

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