July 2025 Obs/Disco ... possible historic month for heat

[Damage In Tolland]

Dews of 63-64 , towering CU and smoke. This is Coc k?

[powderfreak]

16 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said:

Lets not confuse COC weather with summer beach weather. I'd want mid 80s+ for the beach, with dews in the 60's at least. 

If its good for the roofers and pavers, it's usually good for 99% of daily life activities... except beach and pool parties.  Though we all remember as a kid, it does not matter.  Most kids DGAF if they go swimming when it's 72F or 92F.  They are going into the pool either way.

[powderfreak]

2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Dews of 63-64 , towering CU and smoke. This is Coc k?

That inch of rain you got yesterday evaporating into your sensor?

You'll mix out this afternoon... 63F fits with the current ASOS stations of 58-60F around there.

Looks like its still advecting in.

40s north, 50s central and still some holding near 60F around you.

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

That inch of rain you got yesterday evaporating into your sensor?

You'll mix out this afternoon... 63F fits with the current ASOS stations of 58-60F around there.

Looks like its still advecting in.

40s north, 50s central and still some holding near 60F around you.

Fine with us . The less dry chilly air the better. That much closer to the return Wednesday 

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 hour ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

you won't be writing that in 2 1/2 months if the warmth looks like it is going to extend into October and November...

Probably will be a warm fall.

[kdxken]

8 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

That inch of rain you got yesterday evaporating into your sensor?

You'll mix out this afternoon... 63F fits with the current ASOS stations of 58-60F around there.

Looks like its still advecting in.

40s north, 50s central and still some holding near 60F around you.

Yup

[weatherwiz]

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Probably will be a warm fall.

Won't mind sitting outside in October watching Bruins games. Hopefully we roll 80's and 90 right through October. 

[Great Snow 1717]

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Probably will be a warm fall.

.....well don't forget that according to one person here, winter begins on 11/1...

[CoastalWx]

Up at Loon, definitely a Fall feel.

[dryslot]

Going to be a chilly overnight for the radiators tonight.

[powderfreak]

13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Fine with us . The less dry chilly air the better. That much closer to the return Wednesday 

Yeah, looks like a warm weekend.  I'll be down in Woodstock later this week and the weekend to breath it all in.

[Lava Rock]

68/54. Almost fall-like with the breeze.

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

Yeah, looks like a warm weekend.  I'll be down in Woodstock later this week and the weekend to breath it all in.

Graham is headed up there for the weekend in VT. So you’ll be around in CT for beers! 

[NoCORH4L]

10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Up at Loon, definitely a Fall feel.

First shot across the bow for real? 

[dryslot]

67/46°F, Very fall like outside today.

[metagraphica]

79/60 almost perfect except a slight haze coloring the blue sky.

[forkyfork]

it doesn't feel like fall it feels like a summer from the past

[weatherwiz]

It will suck if we can't get one legit (like EML potential) severe weather threat in the upcoming pattern. The important details will be 

Where ridge axis is centered and how expansive (latitudinal) the ridge is - this will be important in terms of the strength of the mlvl flow and where that axis traverses along with strength of shortwave energy traversing the flow. We would want to see the pattern favor shortwave amplification over the Northeast. 

Where any plumes of EML air eject and whether they can maintain their integrity which will be dependent on convection and how overturned the airmass would get over the northern Plains and upper-Midwest. 

The synoptic look is something that could favor EML advection into our region, however, any EML advection could also easily get shunted to our southwest.  

[weatherwiz]

2 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

it doesn't feel like fall it feels like a summer from the past

yup...this is what summer used to feel like in the 90's after our FROPAs...when we used to also get nasty squall line blowing across the region. 

[forkyfork]

4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

It will suck if we can't get one legit (like EML potential) severe weather threat in the upcoming pattern. The important details will be 

Where ridge axis is centered and how expansive (latitudinal) the ridge is - this will be important in terms of the strength of the mlvl flow and where that axis traverses along with strength of shortwave energy traversing the flow. We would want to see the pattern favor shortwave amplification over the Northeast. 

Where any plumes of EML air eject and whether they can maintain their integrity which will be dependent on convection and how overturned the airmass would get over the northern Plains and upper-Midwest. 

The synoptic look is something that could favor EML advection into our region, however, any EML advection could also easily get shunted to our southwest.  

we had a chance in june but we got a weird flash flood blob instead of a derecho

[Typhoon Tip]

6 hours ago, dendrite said:

The maps are trash…especially the 2m 18z anomaly ones. 

Yeah…it’s going to be that cold in the upper midwest with this look. 

heh... you're responding to 'if pixels then plug it' posters.   i mean you know that anyway, just sayn'    there's not much objective analytical effort there.

see blue ( or red if it's the other season)?     it gets pasted in -

 

[powderfreak]

33 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Graham is headed up there for the weekend in VT. So you’ll be around in CT for beers! 

Haha yeah they are all headed up to a wedding here so I’ll miss them at the Lake.  It’s my folks’ 45 wedding anniversary so our clan is meeting up down there.

[Typhoon Tip]

19 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

it doesn't feel like fall it feels like a summer from the past

they're responding to the sense that it is cooler than it was, being their sole trigger

[Damage In Tolland]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

Haha yeah they are all headed up to a wedding here so I’ll miss them at the Lake.  It’s my folks’ 45 wedding anniversary so our clan is meeting up down there.

Plenty of reason to head to Woodstock Treehouse location to rip a few back . It’s right there. 

[forkyfork]

16 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

yup...this is what summer used to feel like in the 90's after our FROPAs...when we used to also get nasty squall line blowing across the region. 

events like this are dead

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/event.php?date=20000602

[Damage In Tolland]

That big CU field must hsbe been the wind shift. NW now and dew down 59. See you again soon on Wednesday Dr. Dew 

[weatherwiz]

6 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

events like this are dead

https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/archive/event.php?date=20000602

Back when we used to do widespread damaging wind events well. Those 90's years into the early 2000's had some memorable events. We would even do overnight severe well. August 9, 2000 was something...was non stop crashing thunder. 

[forkyfork]

13 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

they're responding to the sense that it is cooler than it was, being their sole trigger

imagine if this happened again

[weathafella]

3 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

imagine if this happened again

My memory of July 2009 was cool-especially the first half.  

[dendrite]

68.4/48