Torch Tiger Posted June 15 Author Share Posted June 15 A cold front approaches New England Thursday afternoon/evening, this could trigger a severe weather risk. While we are looking five days out there is already an area highlighted to our southwest by SPC for the potential of severe storms. Quick look, there is instability to tap into, guidance has MUCAPE values above 2,000 J/kg, steep lapse rates including mid-level lapse rates of 7C/km, modest effective shear of ~35 knots. The machine-learning at CSU highlights much of the region with a 15% to 30% chance of severe weather, which is impressive this far out and will be something that needs to be watched. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 15 Share Posted June 15 19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Euro is hot. Oh baby. Congrats metfan. 107° NYC…LFG 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted June 15 Share Posted June 15 Okay, okay, I'll install. Sheesh.. 4 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted June 15 Share Posted June 15 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Congrats metfan. 107° NYC…LFG Awesome. I’m in NYC for 6/23-6/24 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 15 Share Posted June 15 ACATT gone wild. Things you love to see 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 15 Share Posted June 15 38 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: ACATT gone wild. Things you love to see Going to be impressive for a few days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 15 Share Posted June 15 50 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: ACATT gone wild. Things you love to see Got the lotion and tissues out for this stretch? 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted June 15 Share Posted June 15 2 hours ago, Torch Tiger said: A cold front approaches New England Thursday afternoon/evening, this could trigger a severe weather risk. While we are looking five days out there is already an area highlighted to our southwest by SPC for the potential of severe storms. Quick look, there is instability to tap into, guidance has MUCAPE values above 2,000 J/kg, steep lapse rates including mid-level lapse rates of 7C/km, modest effective shear of ~35 knots. The machine-learning at CSU highlights much of the region with a 15% to 30% chance of severe weather, which is impressive this far out and will be something that needs to be watched. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cyclone-68 Posted June 15 Share Posted June 15 Ha! The Sox traded Devers away to the Giants 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted June 15 Share Posted June 15 Rafael dever's gone. People are bitching about it when just a month ago all were saying how much they wanted him traded and how much contract we'd have to eat. Good move if you ask me. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 And I'm not going to complain. Likely the last day of cutting with a long sleeve shirt for quite a while. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 Hold everything with this heatwave malarkey. Ineedsnow have you seen 18z GFS? Moves a little southeast and we're in business! 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kdxken Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 Brief mild up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 9 hours ago, kdxken said: NBM maybe? Just a guess. And more to come. Starting in July policy will be for the forecast to be populated with the NBM and largely left alone except for the near term. But we are wasting human resources generating dewpoint grids on day 7 given the current staffing situation. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 What is the gfs bringing through nne fri afternoon? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 11 minutes ago, dendrite said: What is the gfs bringing through nne fri afternoon? lol 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 1 hour ago, powderfreak said: lol 39° and rain Friday afternoon. What a way to start the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowedin Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 No wonder the hummers have been going crazy lately. They must have some sense of what’s coming. It’s weird as for the last few weeks or so, the feeders have been kind of quiet after the early surge in May and now they’re back with a vengeance! I think we should take the hint. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 Euro is still hitting near 24C 850s next Tue with W-WNW flow. GFS is looking similar…100° threat on both models. The 6/24 records are already vulnerable at most sites. The GFS lost that goofy summer “polar vortex” too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 00z GFS with 7 straight days 97-102 for SNE next week 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 00z GFS with 7 straight days 97-102 for SNE next week Not happenin, but it’ll be pretty hot some days. Looks like there’s a bit of afternoon overmixing in some of these gfs runs again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 got down to 48 last night.. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 52 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: 00z GFS with 7 straight days 97-102 for SNE next week Gonna be some folks that succumb to the heat in the ACATT crowd. Will become shut ins… invalids, recluse Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 Euro has hundies much of next week on favored spots Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 11 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Gonna be some folks that succumb to the heat in the ACATT crowd. Will become shut ins… invalids, recluse ACATT will never be able to get past the iron heat dome. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Not happenin, but it’ll be pretty hot some days. Looks like there’s a bit of afternoon overmixing in some of these gfs runs again. EPS is historically hot this far out. This is no typical heat signal Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pennfisherman Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 Heres your weekly "what is this" post from me... can someone explain ACATT...? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Gonna be some folks that succumb to the heat in the ACATT crowd. Will become shut ins… invalids, recluse That’s funny coming from the number one AC pusher man on the forum. 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 6 minutes ago, Pennfisherman said: Heres your weekly "what is this" post from me... can someone explain ACATT...? Thanks All Cold All The Time. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted June 16 Share Posted June 16 23 hours ago, CoastalWx said: Not sure why anybody looks at the gfs anymore. I'd like to thank the GFS for being good for like 6-12 months forcing the ECMWF to give the Euro away for free. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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