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June 2025 Obs/Disco


Torch Tiger
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39 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

The weekend looks mainly dry in SNE. Models really backing off on anything 

I wouldn't say it's totally backing off but there's a nice area of relatively dry weather that's showing up on the globals and the ensembles, but it's been fluctuating in size and location last few days.  Let's see if it sticks.

Screenshot 2025-06-04 at 9.20.33 PM Medium.jpeg

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This is a warm season AFD.  Hazy, quiet, warm conditions after some record/near record temps.  Summer vibe tonight.

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 703 PM EDT Wednesday...Mostly clear skies with some
residual wildfire smoke will likely yield a colorful sunset
tonight across the North Country. We likely tied or broke a few
temperature records today looking at observations but we will
wait until 8 PM to begin sending out any record statement as we
want to ensure the data is correct. Otherwise, it`ll be a quiet
night across the region with increasing cloud cover toward
morning as a cold front approaches the region.
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Just now, CoastalWx said:

Edit, not sure what happened but the run was off. Yeah it looks decent.

Even keeps that pseudo EML through Friday. The shear is meh but that's some pretty hefty CAPE for these parts (MLCAPE 2500-3000). But yeah tomorrow probably has some capping issues but that weak boundary could be enough to set something off, especially early evening. Friday I think may have a bit more potential for storms. 

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1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

Even keeps that pseudo EML through Friday. The shear is meh but that's some pretty hefty CAPE for these parts (MLCAPE 2500-3000). But yeah tomorrow probably has some capping issues but that weak boundary could be enough to set something off, especially early evening. Friday I think may have a bit more potential for storms. 

500 temps drop slightly tomorrow in the aftn 

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1 minute ago, weatherwiz said:

Even keeps that pseudo EML through Friday. The shear is meh but that's some pretty hefty CAPE for these parts (MLCAPE 2500-3000). But yeah tomorrow probably has some capping issues but that weak boundary could be enough to set something off, especially early evening. Friday I think may have a bit more potential for storms. 

Friday has that look, where we don't overturn the air mass on Thursday and end up doing the marginal risk on Friday instead.

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Just now, OceanStWx said:

Friday has that look, where we don't overturn the air mass on Thursday and end up doing the marginal risk on Friday instead.

Yup...was telling my friend earlier, we probably want tomorrow to have very little in the way of storms with Friday holding the better potential. I wish shear was a tad stronger but I'll take some intense pulse type storms. 

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1 hour ago, Modfan2 said:

Have the air on but debating whether to turn off or leave on; it’s slightly humid out but temp outside will be much lower thaw hat my air is set to

Debated this myself earlier.  If I open windows it won't be quite cool enough, so put the inverters on 64 and Quiet.  With the outside temps relatively cool they won't run a lot, but the air circulation when they do is worth it.

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"Hot and somewhat humid conditions are on tap for today with the risk of afternoon and evening isolated showers and thunderstorms...but
most locations will remain dry. A much better chance of showers and thunderstorms exists Friday especially north of the Connecticut and Rhode Island border...where localized torrential rainfall and an isolated threat for severe weather will exist. A few showers and
thunderstorms will remain possible Saturday but with temperatures cooling to seasonable levels. Mainly dry and seasonable weather is
expected Sunday and Monday before the next chance of showers arrives
by next Tuesday and/or Wednesday"

 

Not terrible. Summer like.

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6 hours ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

Already have the living room  down to 66°  with just the fans.

I have zero opposition to air-conditioning and use it when I’m uncomfortable, I am suggesting that this is not a hot stretch of weather yet.  

Lows of upper 60s or higher are when I start using the AC.

57.4° this morning…didn’t even need the window fans.

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