June 2025 Obs/Disco

[Torch Tiger]

 A cold front approaches New England Thursday
afternoon/evening, this could trigger a severe weather risk.
While we are looking five days out there is already an area
highlighted to our southwest by SPC for the potential of severe
storms. Quick look, there is instability to tap into, guidance
has MUCAPE values above 2,000 J/kg, steep lapse rates including
mid-level lapse rates of 7C/km, modest effective shear of ~35
knots. The machine-learning at CSU highlights much of the region
with a 15% to 30% chance of severe weather, which is impressive
this far out and will be something that needs to be watched.

[dendrite]

19 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro is hot. Oh baby.

Congrats metfan. 107° NYC…LFG

[kdxken]

Okay, okay, I'll install. Sheesh..

[HoarfrostHubb]

1 hour ago, dendrite said:

Congrats metfan. 107° NYC…LFG

Awesome.  I’m in NYC for 6/23-6/24

 

[Damage In Tolland]

ACATT gone wild. Things you love to see 

[ineedsnow]

38 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

ACATT gone wild. Things you love to see 

Going to be impressive for a few days 

[powderfreak]

50 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

ACATT gone wild. Things you love to see 

Got the lotion and tissues out for this stretch?

[Cyclone-68]

2 hours ago, Torch Tiger said:

 A cold front approaches New England Thursday
afternoon/evening, this could trigger a severe weather risk.
While we are looking five days out there is already an area
highlighted to our southwest by SPC for the potential of severe
storms. Quick look, there is instability to tap into, guidance
has MUCAPE values above 2,000 J/kg, steep lapse rates including
mid-level lapse rates of 7C/km, modest effective shear of ~35
knots. The machine-learning at CSU highlights much of the region
with a 15% to 30% chance of severe weather, which is impressive
this far out and will be something that needs to be watched.

 

[Cyclone-68]

Ha! The Sox traded Devers away to the Giants 

[kdxken]

Rafael dever's gone. People are bitching about it when just a month ago all were saying how much they wanted him traded and how much contract we'd have to eat. 

Good move if you ask me.

[kdxken]

And I'm not going to complain. Likely the last day of cutting with a long sleeve shirt for quite a while.

[kdxken]

Hold everything with this heatwave malarkey. Ineedsnow have you seen 18z GFS? Moves a little southeast and we're in business!

 

[kdxken]

Brief mild up.

[OceanStWx]

9 hours ago, kdxken said:

NBM maybe? Just a guess.

And more to come. Starting in July policy will be for the forecast to be populated with the NBM and largely left alone except for the near term. 

But we are wasting human resources generating dewpoint grids on day 7 given the current staffing situation.

[dendrite]

What is the gfs bringing through nne fri afternoon?

[powderfreak]

11 minutes ago, dendrite said:

What is the gfs bringing through nne fri afternoon?

lol

[dendrite]

1 hour ago, powderfreak said:

lol

39° and rain Friday afternoon. What a way to start the weekend.

[Snowedin]

No wonder the hummers have been going crazy lately. They must have some sense of what’s coming. It’s weird as for the last few weeks or so, the feeders have been kind of quiet after the early surge in May and now they’re back with a vengeance! I think we should take the hint.