June 2025 Obs/Disco

[Torch Tiger]

i just took a look at my accuwx maps/temps

lol

[H2Otown_WX]

2 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

Accuweather should just rebrand to Climoweather 

Meh, that's a lot of money to just use climo as a forecast

[kdxken]

"Lower-than-normal forecast confidence heading into Friday, as guidance struggles with weak disturbances passing through the zonal flow aloft. The first chance for rain comes Friday morning as strong mid-level flow converges over SNE. There is little to no upper-air support, so it may be difficult to see more than just increased cloud cover and perhaps some weak showers. As for the weekend, guidance is in significant disagreement with rain chances as the GFS stretches a surface high into the region from the east, keeping us dry but cool for the weekend. The Euro and Canadian push the surface high further offshore, allowing a weak low-pressure system to exit the southern Great Lakes and move into the region. Examining the cluster analysis of all members from the GFS, Euro, and Canadian ensembles reveals that a wetter solution is favored, with only 14% of the ensemble members predicting a completely dry forecast. 56% of the ensemble members favor at least some light precipitation, while 30% indicate heavier precipitation and a washout."

 

Our luck has to change at some point right?

[dendrite]

53.6° -RA

Everything is sobbing wet again. 0.23” through the tipper.