June 2025 discussion-obs: Summerlike

[Sundog]

Hey anyone in the low 90s right now around here?

Because that's what the 12z EURO said we were currently at lololol

[Brian5671]

26 minutes ago, winterwarlock said:

If it doesn't surge to 90 today it could be a tiny 3 day heatwave for most

If that.  Most wont get to 90 today so it's a 2 day burst of heat and then back to 75-85 depending on location

[Wxoutlooksblog]

There's no storm east of here right now. All the action is well to our south. Storms that were developing to our nw are falling apart as the high pressure ridge builds in. But time is short for Central Park to get from their 1PM temperature of 78 to their expected high of 92. I don't think they're going to make it.

WX/PT

[IrishRob17]

82/75, only .10 this morning but it keeps the weekend streak going. 

[Brian5671]

5 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

There's no storm east of here right now. All the action is well to our south. Storms that were developing to our nw are falling apart as the high pressure ridge builds in. But time is short for Central Park to get from their 1PM temperature of 78 to their expected high of 92. I don't think they're going to make it.

WX/PT

Upton still has BDR hitting 93-yet it's only 80 there right now....

[Stormlover74]

8 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

If that.  Most wont get to 90 today so it's a 2 day burst of heat and then back to 75-85 depending on location

Wednesday will still be well into the 90s here

[steve392]

Up to 86 now.  

[winterwx21]

3 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Wednesday will still be well into the 90s here

Yep we're stilling looking at one of the most intense 3 day heat periods ever. Three days in a row of temps around 100 doesn't happen too often. Probably 102 or 103 here on Tuesday. 

[lee59]

82.5 here

[LibertyBell]

47 minutes ago, Sundog said:

This renegade storm circled in red is producing clouds moving to the SE and is prolonging the cloud cover across the NYC area

it's basically a high overcast.  I remember seeing this several times during our 4 day lack of sunshine lol

 

[LibertyBell]

19 minutes ago, IrishRob17 said:

82/75, only .10 this morning but it keeps the weekend streak going. 

this streak will be longer than DiMaggio's at this rate Rob!

[LibertyBell]

25 minutes ago, Sundog said:

Hey anyone in the low 90s right now around here?

Because that's what the 12z EURO said we were currently at lololol

81 lol and a high overcast.
 

[Cfa]

88 here, 90 seems possible.

[bluewave]

4 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

Yes but wet ground can also suppress temperatures, we didn't see this kind of thing in 1999 or 2010.

 

Only if it rains on the day when the expected peak temperatures of any given heatwave are expected to occur. The July 1995 Derecho went just to our north. Then we had the first heat indices near 130° with temps over 100° and dew points near 85°. That was one of the most extreme weather days of the 1990s. The scariest part was probably all the campers in the Adirondacks in tents with 115 mph gusts and one of the most electrified derechos for total CG strikes. 
 

[SACRUS]

 

 

Up to 83 with the slowly visible sun

 

[ForestHillWx]

Just got back to town and catching up. Was camping with the kids on the Delaware by Milford. Didn’t expect this mornings storms, but good to be away. 

Yesterday was one of the best days I’ve had on the river. Temp was 68.5 and a good current; barely paddled. 

[dWave]

28 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

There's no storm east of here right now. All the action is well to our south. Storms that were developing to our nw are falling apart as the high pressure ridge builds in. But time is short for Central Park to get from their 1PM temperature of 78 to their expected high of 92. I don't think they're going to make it.

WX/PT

I think in general it's possible but very difficult at the Park. Places like LGA can have a high at 6 pm or so. Some updated hourly forecasts have low 90s at 7pm. The Park doesn't do late day highs well though.  Wet soil and foliage plus evening sun drops below the trees and does reach there. Sometimes Central Park will keep pace with other area obs then flatline in mid afternoon while everyone else not under a sea breeze keeps climbing.

[LibertyBell]

10 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Only if it rains on the day when the expected peak temperatures of any given heatwave are expected to occur. The July 1995 Derecho went just to our north. Then we had the first heat indices near 130° with temps over 100° and dew points near 85°. That was one of the most extreme weather days of the 1990s. The scariest part was probably all the campers in the Adirondacks in tents with 115 mph gusts and one of the most electrified derechos for total CG strikes. 
 

This might have been our final rain for the summer, I remember there was zero rain in August that year and all those wildfires.

[bluewave]

7 minutes ago, dWave said:

I think in general it's possible but very difficult at the Park. Places like LGA can have a high at 6 pm or so. Some updated hourly forecasts have low 90s at 7pm. The Park doesn't do late day highs well though.  Wet soil and foliage plus evening sun drops below the trees and does reach there. Sometimes Central Park will keep pace with other area obs then flatline in mid afternoon while everyone else not under a sea breeze keeps climbing.

The HRRR has a late day high in the low 90s.

 

[Dark Star]

31 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

Upton still has BDR hitting 93-yet it's only 80 there right now....

If there was meteorological gambling, I would put $100 on EWR to hit 90 today...

[SACRUS]

1 minute ago, LibertyBell said:

This might have been our final rain for the summer, I remember there was zero rain in August that year and all those wildfires.

 

JFK
1995

Rainfall totals

May: 3.44
June: 2.73
Jul: 3.37
Aug: 0.22
Sep: 3.41
 

[Brian5671]

Just now, Dark Star said:

If there was meteorological gambling, I would put $100 on EWR to hit 90 today...

EWR for sure...

[bluewave]

5 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

This might have been our final rain for the summer, I remember there was zero rain in August that year and all those wildfires.

I can still remember all the local ponds nearly drying up that August.

[SACRUS]

 

Kick in the gut MCS about through raining into NJ - clearing continues to build from the NE.  We have 3.5 hours to heat up

 

83/ 70 here

[weatherpruf]

37 minutes ago, Wxoutlooksblog said:

There's no storm east of here right now. All the action is well to our south. Storms that were developing to our nw are falling apart as the high pressure ridge builds in. But time is short for Central Park to get from their 1PM temperature of 78 to their expected high of 92. I don't think they're going to make it.

WX/PT

well, as someone who just dealt with a horrific situation in raritan bay a couple hours ago, i can tell you that there was no talk of thunder and squalls when we scheduled our trip; forecast was high of 97, sunny, light winds to increase out of the southwest this afternoon. instead we got clouds, lightning, pouring rain, and 5-6 foot seas with monstrous white caps. we are very happy to have made it to port alive. a 25 foot whaler was tossed around like a tin skiff. 

[SACRUS]

[Sundog]

4 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

How far SW can it go. Just an epic bust on the models 

[SACRUS]

 

 

https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/goes//wfo.php?wfo=phi

 

 

[Superstorm]

How far SW can it go. Just an epic bust on the models 

Those things always end up further south and west than modeled.


.

[bluewave]

5 hours ago, Sundog said:

This is literally my favorite video from that day. 

2010,2011, and 2012 were the toughest 3 year period for our local trees in s long time. First we had the March 2010 high wind event. Then the September 2010 macroburst and tornado. This was followed by Hurricane Irene in August 2011. Then the record late October snowstorm in 2011 which caused so much tree damage. Then Hurricane Sandy in October 2012.