bncho Posted September 23 Share Posted September 23 11 minutes ago, JenkinsJinkies said: I wonder what the conditions would have to be where one can reliability say that 2003/2010/2016 will never happen again even if you live in Boston and if you want that level of snow again you’ll have to move north AND up in elevation. you'll probably be dead by then 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted September 23 Share Posted September 23 2 minutes ago, bncho said: you'll probably be dead by then I'd say 200-300 years. But who knows. Mother nature will probably throw a curve ball and we'll have ice age lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ephesians2 Posted September 24 Share Posted September 24 I could see it being a -EPO / -PNA / southeast ridge kind of winter with a few brief but relatively intense cold shots but overall warmer than last year. I've heard that the North Atlantic anomalies signal a +NAO, but if we get some transient blocking in January or even March, we could luck into something. 2021-22 was mostly like that except for Jan and we had chances. I don't even think there was much blocking that year. If we had had Dec 2022 later on, it also could have produced. Something like 2017-2018 or last year is probably the best case scenario. (I'm using 1981-2010 anomalies in this image on purpose. It's just so hard to get a legitimately cold winter now. Even this September is likely going to end up above normal here.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted Saturday at 05:05 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:05 PM On 9/15/2025 at 6:51 AM, stormy said: Sometimes fall patterns can be harbingers for the coming winter. 1977 is an excellent example. Low pressure over eastern NC. tomorrow with chilly high pressure wedging down from New England....................... Can this become a habit as we slide into winter???? Again, low pressure to the south over NC, with high pressure to the north over eastern NY. Cool with .73" rain. Could be a snow threat in January.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted Saturday at 05:46 PM Share Posted Saturday at 05:46 PM On 9/12/2025 at 8:53 AM, katabatic said: That was a pretty good storm out in the Garrett County area as well. I ended up with exactly a foot. I remember man you absolutely slayed it when you paid a visit to the high country in the West and got to jebwalk in 11 feet of fresh snow up there! I was so damn jealous it wasn't even funny. Then and now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted Saturday at 08:27 PM Share Posted Saturday at 08:27 PM 4 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted Saturday at 09:33 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:33 PM 1 hour ago, mitchnick said: That must be mostly Siberia I would think. But, still good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Saturday at 10:26 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:26 PM How we looking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted Saturday at 10:26 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:26 PM Just now, clskinsfan said: How we looking? The wrong part of the pacific is warm 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted Saturday at 10:29 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:29 PM 3 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: How we looking? 1 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted Saturday at 10:42 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:42 PM 10 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: Is that before or after the mid January heat wave? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted Saturday at 10:43 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:43 PM 16 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: How we looking? It's a pending La Nina, so. . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted Saturday at 11:01 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:01 PM 17 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: It's a pending La Nina, so. . . Weak Nina is not the end of the world. Although I confess I have looked at nothing so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted Saturday at 11:42 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:42 PM 39 minutes ago, clskinsfan said: Weak Nina is not the end of the world. Although I confess I have looked at nothing so far. 16-17 was a weak Niña. 19-20 was neutral but given the region temps it was a “weak weak Niña” of sorts Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted Sunday at 01:30 AM Share Posted Sunday at 01:30 AM 3 hours ago, clskinsfan said: How we looking? Don't let that weak Nina get to you. Mid Atlantic will still have plenty of snow and frigid Vodka-Cold weather. You're gonna need a bigger shovel. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted Sunday at 04:44 AM Share Posted Sunday at 04:44 AM 5 hours ago, JenkinsJinkies said: 16-17 was a weak Niña. 19-20 was neutral but given the region temps it was a “weak weak Niña” of sorts 19-20 had a DJF ONI of +0.5c. Our last Weak Nina was 22-23 (-0.7 ONI), and arguably last Winter because the RONI was close to -1.0c. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago Fwiw, Cansips updated October forecast for D-F looks a lot like last month's of around normal to slightly above as you head south. Temps https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cansips®ion=eus&pkg=T2maMean_month&runtime=2025100100&fh=4 H5 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cansips®ion=namer&pkg=z500aMean_month&runtime=2025100100&fh=4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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