dailylurker Posted April 29, 2025 Share Posted April 29, 2025 We might as well take it out of the long range thread. The euro looks pretty impressive with the rain this weekend. Hopefully we all get water in our basements and swamps in our yards. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted April 29, 2025 Author Share Posted April 29, 2025 Let's track it like it's a Christmas blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted April 29, 2025 Share Posted April 29, 2025 1 hour ago, dailylurker said: Let's track it like it's a Christmas blizzard. A few GEFS members seems to have a rainy solution, but the op wants nothing to do with it. 18z icon remains on board 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted April 30, 2025 Share Posted April 30, 2025 2 hours ago, dailylurker said: Let's track it like it's a Christmas blizzard. With about as much chance of verification. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted April 30, 2025 Share Posted April 30, 2025 Ratios look good on the ICON at least. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted April 30, 2025 Share Posted April 30, 2025 12 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Ratios look good on the ICON at least. Kuchera maps? 10:1 euro looks about like we'd expect for a Christmas blizzard analogue. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted April 30, 2025 Share Posted April 30, 2025 Euro, euro-Ai, and icon still onboard. GGEM jumped onboard at 0z. Gfs still says no. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted April 30, 2025 Share Posted April 30, 2025 The gfs can go to hell. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted April 30, 2025 Share Posted April 30, 2025 3 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Euro, euro-Ai, and icon still onboard. GGEM jumped onboard at 0z. Gfs still says no. I’m getting February 20th flashbacks now 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted April 30, 2025 Share Posted April 30, 2025 Ukie also on team euro 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted April 30, 2025 Share Posted April 30, 2025 6 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Euro, euro-Ai, and icon still onboard. GGEM jumped onboard at 0z. Gfs still says no. GFS versus the world. I'm going with the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted April 30, 2025 Share Posted April 30, 2025 6 minutes ago, ravensrule said: GFS versus the world. I'm going with the world. 12z made a big step toward the other guidance 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted April 30, 2025 Share Posted April 30, 2025 58 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: 12z made a big step toward the other guidance In particular, the GEFS made a huge move towards the other guidance. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted April 30, 2025 Share Posted April 30, 2025 Possibly a full cave on 18z gfs 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted April 30, 2025 Share Posted April 30, 2025 54 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Possibly a full cave on 18z gfs Full-blown, massive cave. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 1, 2025 Share Posted May 1, 2025 GFS vastly prefers Pennsylvania for the 3"+ amounts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted May 1, 2025 Share Posted May 1, 2025 34 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: GFS vastly prefers Pennsylvania for the 3"+ amounts. There is a bit of a signal for the highest amounts being north of here, but all 3 global ensemble means are 2"+ for most of this subforum, and 2 out of 3 have 2+" for the entire subforum. And it's spread out over multiple days instead of being some convective deluge that can't sink in. This looks a much-needed huge win for our region. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 1, 2025 Share Posted May 1, 2025 13 hours ago, North Balti Zen said: The gfs can go to hell. Rooting for the drought stricken areas. I don't really even need the rain here but I will take it just for some sort of excitement lol. Gimmie some damn thunder. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 1, 2025 Share Posted May 1, 2025 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted May 1, 2025 Share Posted May 1, 2025 The 00z 5-1 GEM pushes the heavy rains north into Pennsylvania. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted May 1, 2025 Author Share Posted May 1, 2025 Hopefully not the dreaded north trend and congrats to places that don't need rain lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 1, 2025 Share Posted May 1, 2025 These heavy rain events seem to shift north and east at the last minute. How long until we're looking at no rain and PA/NY get a deluge? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
katabatic Posted May 1, 2025 Share Posted May 1, 2025 16 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: These heavy rain events seem to shift north and east at the last minute. How long until we're looking at no rain and PA/NY get a deluge? I knew it's been dry in the last few years but dang...in LWX's disco, they mention IAD is down 33" since 2021. It's been absolutely forever since the whole forum gets a soaker. Looks like we'll get something beneficial altho the bullseye is well north. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted May 1, 2025 Author Share Posted May 1, 2025 30 minutes ago, katabatic said: I knew it's been dry in the last few years but dang...in LWX's disco, they mention IAD is down 33" since 2021. It's been absolutely forever since the whole forum gets a soaker. Looks like we'll get something beneficial altho the bullseye is well north. Hopefully this doesn't become some 2 week long stretch of sprinkles and drizzle that amounts to like .20 like last September. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted May 1, 2025 Share Posted May 1, 2025 12z NAM seems to back up the 00z globals in showing more to the west of 95 (through 00z monday) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted May 1, 2025 Share Posted May 1, 2025 43 minutes ago, dailylurker said: Hopefully this doesn't become some 2 week long stretch of sprinkles and drizzle that amounts to like .20 like last September. Yea that would be less than idea. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongRanger Posted May 1, 2025 Share Posted May 1, 2025 I'd like some free water for the plants but whoever put up the drywall to our west did a heckuva job. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted May 1, 2025 Share Posted May 1, 2025 WB 12 Z EURO precip totals through Day 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted May 1, 2025 Share Posted May 1, 2025 The euro is doing a pretty good job at depicting the desert of Stephens City. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted May 1, 2025 Share Posted May 1, 2025 My greatest fear for rainfall potential is the strength of the Atlantic Ridge over the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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