May 2025

[MGorse]

3 hours ago, winterwx21 said:

I'm surprised one hasn't been issued for Middlesex. I'm up to 1.85" and it's still pouring. We're getting training with these downpours. 

Not sure how many are aware, but NWS Mount Holly discontinued the issuance of Flood Advisories last year. More focus on the warnings.

[Sundog]

Looks like the rain overperformed for a lot of us. 

[Stormlover74]

Looks like some showers tomorrow but probably not a washout

[stu]

How the heck is it May 14th and we still haven't put in the window AC units? I don't ever remember it staying this cool this late in the year. Am I crazy?

[Stormlover74]

19 minutes ago, stu said:

How the heck is it May 14th and we still haven't put in the window AC units? I don't ever remember it staying this cool this late in the year. Am I crazy?

It's been well above average but not alot of heat.  I did turn my ac on last weekend when it was upper 80s

[donsutherland1]

Showers will wind down later tonight. Although parts of the region picked up 1.00" or more of rain over the past two days, much higher amounts of rainfall were recorded farther south. For example, parts of western Virginia and western North Carolina saw more than 3.50" of rain. Sedalia (4 NW), VA picked up 5.36" of rain.

It will turn somewhat warmer tomorrow and the week could end with temperatures in the upper 70s to perhaps 80°. Showers are possible during the weekend.

Elsewhere, parts of Texas are experiencing extreme heat. Cotulla, TX reached 112°, which broke the May monthly record of 110° that was set just yesterday. Meanwhile, International Falls reached 91°, its fourth consecutive 90° day. The prior earliest four-day heatwave occurred on June 4-7, 1988

The extended guidance has grown noticeably cooler for the second half of May than it had been. Both the CFSv2 and ECMWF weekly guidance are now in good agreement that the second half of the month could average near or even below normal overall.

Consistent with the guidance, it could turn unseasonably cool early next week following the coming weekend.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was 0.0°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.1°C for the week centered around May 7. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +0.55°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged -0.07°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely continue through at least mid summer.

Early indications are that summer 2025 will be warmer than normal in the New York City and Philadelphia areas. The potential exists for a much warmer than normal summer (more than 1° above normal).

The SOI was -3.35 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.160 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 66% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal May (1991-2020 normal). May will likely finish with a mean temperature near 65.0° (1.8° above normal).

 

[JerseyWx]

2 hours ago, stu said:

How the heck is it May 14th and we still haven't put in the window AC units? I don't ever remember it staying this cool this late in the year. Am I crazy?

I was thinking about this earlier.  We've put them in later, but I agree, usually they'd be in by now.  Considering how next week looks, we might make it to June without them.